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icon for Ganador de la elección de magistrado del condado de Hsinchu
Política·Taiwán

Ganador de la elección de magistrado del condado de Hsinchu

icon for Ganador de la elección de magistrado del condado de Hsinchu
Política·Taiwán

Ganador de la elección de magistrado del condado de Hsinchu

Cheng Chao-fang 40%

Hsu Hsin-ying 0

Lin Szu-ming 0

Chen Chien-hsien 0

Polymarket
NUEVO

Cheng Chao-fang 40%

Hsu Hsin-ying 0

Lin Szu-ming 0

Chen Chien-hsien 0

Polymarket
NUEVO
icon for Cheng Chao-fang

Cheng Chao-fang

$21 Vol.

60%

icon for Hsu Hsin-ying

Hsu Hsin-ying

$96 Vol.

44%

icon for Lin Szu-ming

Lin Szu-ming

$21 Vol.

47%

icon for Chen Chien-hsien

Chen Chien-hsien

$21 Vol.

45%

Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Magistrate of Hsinchu County as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder Magistrates appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).Hsinchu County's magistrate race remains tightly contested ahead of Taiwan's November 28 local elections, with trader consensus reflecting a fragmented field and lingering KMT primary divisions. Hsu Hsin-ying secured the KMT nomination in March after defeating deputy magistrate Chen Chien-hsien, yet internal tensions persist as evidenced by Chen's absence from recent party rallies. The DPP's June nomination of Zhubei Mayor Cheng Chao-fang adds a competitive challenge in a county long held by the KMT. Additional contenders including Lin Szu-ming and others dilute support, sustaining near-even implied probabilities. Key factors that could shift odds include unified KMT campaigning, DPP turnout efforts in Zhubei, or late polling shifts among key voting blocs.

Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Magistrate of Hsinchu County as a result of this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder Magistrates appointed before the election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).
Volumen
$159
Fecha de finalización
28 nov 2026
Mercado abierto
Aug 14, 2026, 8:53 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Magistrate of Hsinchu County as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder Magistrates appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).
Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Magistrate of Hsinchu County as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder Magistrates appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).Hsinchu County's magistrate race remains tightly contested ahead of Taiwan's November 28 local elections, with trader consensus reflecting a fragmented field and lingering KMT primary divisions. Hsu Hsin-ying secured the KMT nomination in March after defeating deputy magistrate Chen Chien-hsien, yet internal tensions persist as evidenced by Chen's absence from recent party rallies. The DPP's June nomination of Zhubei Mayor Cheng Chao-fang adds a competitive challenge in a county long held by the KMT. Additional contenders including Lin Szu-ming and others dilute support, sustaining near-even implied probabilities. Key factors that could shift odds include unified KMT campaigning, DPP turnout efforts in Zhubei, or late polling shifts among key voting blocs.

Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Magistrate of Hsinchu County as a result of this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder Magistrates appointed before the election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).
Volumen
$159
Fecha de finalización
28 nov 2026
Mercado abierto
Aug 14, 2026, 8:53 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Magistrate of Hsinchu County as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder Magistrates appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).

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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"Ganador de la elección de magistrado del condado de Hsinchu" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 4 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "Cheng Chao-fang" con 60%, seguido de "Lin Szu-ming" con 47%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 60¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 60% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

"Ganador de la elección de magistrado del condado de Hsinchu" es un mercado recién creado en Polymarket, lanzado el Aug 14, 2026. Como mercado nuevo, esta es tu oportunidad de ser uno de los primeros operadores en establecer las probabilidades y las señales de precio iniciales del mercado. También puedes guardar esta página en marcadores para seguir el volumen y la actividad de trading a medida que el mercado gana tracción.

Para operar en "Ganador de la elección de magistrado del condado de Hsinchu", explora los 4 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "Ganador de la elección de magistrado del condado de Hsinchu" es "Cheng Chao-fang" con 60%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 60% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es "Lin Szu-ming" con 47%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "Ganador de la elección de magistrado del condado de Hsinchu" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.