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Elecciones·Elección Principal

Next Serb Presidency Member of Bosnia and Herzegovina?

icon for Next Serb Presidency Member of Bosnia and Herzegovina?
Elecciones·Elección Principal

Next Serb Presidency Member of Bosnia and Herzegovina?

Željka Cvijanović 87%

Marinko Božović 5.2%

Siniša Karan 2.7%

Branko Blanuša 1.6%

Polymarket

$32,076 Vol.

Željka Cvijanović 87%

Marinko Božović 5.2%

Siniša Karan 2.7%

Branko Blanuša 1.6%

Polymarket

$32,076 Vol.

icon for Željka Cvijanović

Željka Cvijanović

$27,074 Vol.

87%

icon for Marinko Božović

Marinko Božović

$300 Vol.

5%

icon for Siniša Karan

Siniša Karan

$1,410 Vol.

3%

icon for Branko Blanuša

Branko Blanuša

$1,068 Vol.

2%

icon for Draško Stanivuković

Draško Stanivuković

$939 Vol.

1%

icon for Nebojša Vukanović

Nebojša Vukanović

$1,286 Vol.

1%

The Presidency of Bosnia and Herzegovina is a three-member collective head of state, consisting of one Bosniak member, one Croat member, and one Serb member. The Bosniak and Croat members are elected from the Federation of Bosnia and Herzegovina, while the Serb member is elected from Republika Srpska. General elections in Bosnia and Herzegovina are scheduled to be held on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed individual elected to serve as the Serb member of the Presidency of Bosnia and Herzegovina as a result of this election. Interim, temporary, or caretaker Presidency members will not count. If no such Presidency member has been elected by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Central Election Commission of Bosnia and Herzegovina (izbori.ba); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.**Željka Cvijanović holds dominant trader consensus at 87% for the Serb seat on Bosnia and Herzegovina’s tripartite Presidency in the October 4, 2026 general election, driven by her incumbency since 2022 and nomination as the candidate of the ruling SNSD-led coalition in Republika Srpska.** SNSD’s organizational reach, voter base, and recent narrow victory by its candidate Siniša Karan in the 2025–26 RS presidential contest (confirmed after a February 2026 rerun) underpin expectations of strong entity-level support. Coalition partners formally backed Cvijanović alongside Savo Minić for RS president in late June 2026, following internal party processes and a joint action agreement. Opposition candidates—Marinko Božović (SDS), Nebojša Vukanović (For Justice and Order), Draško Stanivuković, and Branko Blanuša—remain fragmented with limited polling visibility and no unified front capable of overcoming SNSD’s structural advantages in RS. Siniša Karan’s lower odds reflect his current RS role rather than a direct challenge for the BiH seat. No major late developments have altered the landscape ahead of the vote.

The Presidency of Bosnia and Herzegovina is a three-member collective head of state, consisting of one Bosniak member, one Croat member, and one Serb member. The Bosniak and Croat members are elected from the Federation of Bosnia and Herzegovina, while the Serb member is elected from Republika Srpska. General elections in Bosnia and Herzegovina are scheduled to be held on October 4, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the listed individual elected to serve as the Serb member of the Presidency of Bosnia and Herzegovina as a result of this election.

Interim, temporary, or caretaker Presidency members will not count.

If no such Presidency member has been elected by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Central Election Commission of Bosnia and Herzegovina (izbori.ba); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volumen
$32,076
Fecha de finalización
4 oct 2026
Mercado abierto
May 12, 2026, 7:51 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The Presidency of Bosnia and Herzegovina is a three-member collective head of state, consisting of one Bosniak member, one Croat member, and one Serb member. The Bosniak and Croat members are elected from the Federation of Bosnia and Herzegovina, while the Serb member is elected from Republika Srpska. General elections in Bosnia and Herzegovina are scheduled to be held on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed individual elected to serve as the Serb member of the Presidency of Bosnia and Herzegovina as a result of this election. Interim, temporary, or caretaker Presidency members will not count. If no such Presidency member has been elected by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Central Election Commission of Bosnia and Herzegovina (izbori.ba); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The Presidency of Bosnia and Herzegovina is a three-member collective head of state, consisting of one Bosniak member, one Croat member, and one Serb member. The Bosniak and Croat members are elected from the Federation of Bosnia and Herzegovina, while the Serb member is elected from Republika Srpska. General elections in Bosnia and Herzegovina are scheduled to be held on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed individual elected to serve as the Serb member of the Presidency of Bosnia and Herzegovina as a result of this election. Interim, temporary, or caretaker Presidency members will not count. If no such Presidency member has been elected by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Central Election Commission of Bosnia and Herzegovina (izbori.ba); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.**Željka Cvijanović holds dominant trader consensus at 87% for the Serb seat on Bosnia and Herzegovina’s tripartite Presidency in the October 4, 2026 general election, driven by her incumbency since 2022 and nomination as the candidate of the ruling SNSD-led coalition in Republika Srpska.** SNSD’s organizational reach, voter base, and recent narrow victory by its candidate Siniša Karan in the 2025–26 RS presidential contest (confirmed after a February 2026 rerun) underpin expectations of strong entity-level support. Coalition partners formally backed Cvijanović alongside Savo Minić for RS president in late June 2026, following internal party processes and a joint action agreement. Opposition candidates—Marinko Božović (SDS), Nebojša Vukanović (For Justice and Order), Draško Stanivuković, and Branko Blanuša—remain fragmented with limited polling visibility and no unified front capable of overcoming SNSD’s structural advantages in RS. Siniša Karan’s lower odds reflect his current RS role rather than a direct challenge for the BiH seat. No major late developments have altered the landscape ahead of the vote.

The Presidency of Bosnia and Herzegovina is a three-member collective head of state, consisting of one Bosniak member, one Croat member, and one Serb member. The Bosniak and Croat members are elected from the Federation of Bosnia and Herzegovina, while the Serb member is elected from Republika Srpska. General elections in Bosnia and Herzegovina are scheduled to be held on October 4, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the listed individual elected to serve as the Serb member of the Presidency of Bosnia and Herzegovina as a result of this election.

Interim, temporary, or caretaker Presidency members will not count.

If no such Presidency member has been elected by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Central Election Commission of Bosnia and Herzegovina (izbori.ba); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volumen
$32,076
Fecha de finalización
4 oct 2026
Mercado abierto
May 12, 2026, 7:51 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The Presidency of Bosnia and Herzegovina is a three-member collective head of state, consisting of one Bosniak member, one Croat member, and one Serb member. The Bosniak and Croat members are elected from the Federation of Bosnia and Herzegovina, while the Serb member is elected from Republika Srpska. General elections in Bosnia and Herzegovina are scheduled to be held on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed individual elected to serve as the Serb member of the Presidency of Bosnia and Herzegovina as a result of this election. Interim, temporary, or caretaker Presidency members will not count. If no such Presidency member has been elected by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Central Election Commission of Bosnia and Herzegovina (izbori.ba); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"Next Serb Presidency Member of Bosnia and Herzegovina?" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 6 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "Željka Cvijanović" con 87%, seguido de "Marinko Božović" con 5%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 87¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 87% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

A día de hoy, "Next Serb Presidency Member of Bosnia and Herzegovina?" ha generado $32.1K en volumen total de trading desde que el mercado se lanzó el May 12, 2026. Este nivel de actividad refleja un fuerte compromiso de la comunidad de Polymarket y ayuda a garantizar que las probabilidades actuales estén respaldadas por un amplio grupo de participantes del mercado. Puedes seguir los movimientos de precios en vivo y operar en cualquier resultado directamente en esta página.

Para operar en "Next Serb Presidency Member of Bosnia and Herzegovina?", explora los 6 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "Next Serb Presidency Member of Bosnia and Herzegovina?" es "Željka Cvijanović" con 87%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 87% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es "Marinko Božović" con 5%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "Next Serb Presidency Member of Bosnia and Herzegovina?" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.