Maryland's 7th congressional district remains a reliably Democratic seat, anchored by its urban core in Baltimore and surrounding areas that have delivered consistent double-digit margins for Democratic candidates in recent cycles. Incumbent Kweisi Mfume secured the party nomination in the June 2026 primary and enters the November general election with the structural advantages of incumbency, name recognition, and alignment with the district's partisan voting index exceeding D+30. The Republican nominee faces limited path-to-victory prospects in a constituency where Democratic performance has historically exceeded 75-80 percent. Trader consensus reflected in the current pricing incorporates these baseline factors while allowing for low-probability disruptions such as late-cycle scandals, health-related withdrawals, or unforeseen national electoral waves capable of narrowing but not overturning the established partisan gap.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoMD-07 Ganador de las elecciones de la Cámara
MD-07 Ganador de las elecciones de la Cámara
$24,360 Vol.
$24,360 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Partido Demócrata
97%
Partido Republicano
2%
$24,360 Vol.
$24,360 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Partido Demócrata
$15,273 Vol.
97%
Partido Republicano
$9,087 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Maryland's 7th congressional district remains a reliably Democratic seat, anchored by its urban core in Baltimore and surrounding areas that have delivered consistent double-digit margins for Democratic candidates in recent cycles. Incumbent Kweisi Mfume secured the party nomination in the June 2026 primary and enters the November general election with the structural advantages of incumbency, name recognition, and alignment with the district's partisan voting index exceeding D+30. The Republican nominee faces limited path-to-victory prospects in a constituency where Democratic performance has historically exceeded 75-80 percent. Trader consensus reflected in the current pricing incorporates these baseline factors while allowing for low-probability disruptions such as late-cycle scandals, health-related withdrawals, or unforeseen national electoral waves capable of narrowing but not overturning the established partisan gap.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercado abierto: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
Volumen
$24,360Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Maryland's 7th congressional district remains a reliably Democratic seat, anchored by its urban core in Baltimore and surrounding areas that have delivered consistent double-digit margins for Democratic candidates in recent cycles. Incumbent Kweisi Mfume secured the party nomination in the June 2026 primary and enters the November general election with the structural advantages of incumbency, name recognition, and alignment with the district's partisan voting index exceeding D+30. The Republican nominee faces limited path-to-victory prospects in a constituency where Democratic performance has historically exceeded 75-80 percent. Trader consensus reflected in the current pricing incorporates these baseline factors while allowing for low-probability disruptions such as late-cycle scandals, health-related withdrawals, or unforeseen national electoral waves capable of narrowing but not overturning the established partisan gap.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volumen
$24,360Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Maryland's 7th congressional district remains a reliably Democratic seat, anchored by its urban core in Baltimore and surrounding areas that have delivered consistent double-digit margins for Democratic candidates in recent cycles. Incumbent Kweisi Mfume secured the party nomination in the June 2026 primary and enters the November general election with the structural advantages of incumbency, name recognition, and alignment with the district's partisan voting index exceeding D+30. The Republican nominee faces limited path-to-victory prospects in a constituency where Democratic performance has historically exceeded 75-80 percent. Trader consensus reflected in the current pricing incorporates these baseline factors while allowing for low-probability disruptions such as late-cycle scandals, health-related withdrawals, or unforeseen national electoral waves capable of narrowing but not overturning the established partisan gap.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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