Skip to main content
icon for Elección al Senado de Maranhão: 2do Lugar
Política·Elección Principal

Elección al Senado de Maranhão: 2do Lugar

icon for Elección al Senado de Maranhão: 2do Lugar
Política·Elección Principal

Elección al Senado de Maranhão: 2do Lugar

Raimundo Moreira 45%

Wilson Leite 26%

Simplício Araújo 26%

Dr. Hilton Gonçalo 25%

Polymarket
NUEVO

Raimundo Moreira 45%

Wilson Leite 26%

Simplício Araújo 26%

Dr. Hilton Gonçalo 25%

Polymarket
NUEVO
icon for Raimundo Moreira

Raimundo Moreira

$36 Vol.

45%

icon for Wilson Leite

Wilson Leite

$36 Vol.

26%

icon for Simplício Araújo

Simplício Araújo

$36 Vol.

26%

icon for Dr. Hilton Gonçalo

Dr. Hilton Gonçalo

$36 Vol.

25%

icon for Enilton Rodrigues

Enilton Rodrigues

$36 Vol.

25%

icon for Weverton Rocha

Weverton Rocha

$36 Vol.

22%

icon for Lahesio Bonfim

Lahesio Bonfim

$36 Vol.

22%

icon for Cidônio Gonçalves

Cidônio Gonçalves

$36 Vol.

21%

icon for Eliziane Gama

Eliziane Gama

$36 Vol.

21%

icon for Fufuca

Fufuca

$52 Vol.

20%

icon for Roseana Sarney

Roseana Sarney

$36 Vol.

19%

The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Maranhão is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).**Maranhão’s Senate race for the second seat remains highly competitive ahead of the October 4, 2026 election, with two seats awarded under plurality block voting.** Multiple candidates—including incumbents Weverton Rocha (PDT) and Eliziane Gama (PT), plus challengers such as Roseana Sarney (MDB), André Fufuca (PP), and Lahesio Bonfim (NOVO)—are polling within a narrow band for second place, keeping implied probabilities clustered near 40-50%. Recent party conventions finalized an 11-candidate field in early August, while polls released in the same period show Roseana Sarney leading overall but a fragmented contest for the runner-up spot. This dynamic sustains tight trader pricing because small shifts in voter preferences, turnout among key regional blocs, or late alliances could reorder the ranking without a dominant frontrunner emerging. Further polling releases or campaign momentum through September represent the clearest catalysts for separation.

The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Maranhão is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.

Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volumen
$412
Fecha de finalización
4 oct 2026
Mercado abierto
Aug 17, 2026, 6:00 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Maranhão is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Maranhão is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).**Maranhão’s Senate race for the second seat remains highly competitive ahead of the October 4, 2026 election, with two seats awarded under plurality block voting.** Multiple candidates—including incumbents Weverton Rocha (PDT) and Eliziane Gama (PT), plus challengers such as Roseana Sarney (MDB), André Fufuca (PP), and Lahesio Bonfim (NOVO)—are polling within a narrow band for second place, keeping implied probabilities clustered near 40-50%. Recent party conventions finalized an 11-candidate field in early August, while polls released in the same period show Roseana Sarney leading overall but a fragmented contest for the runner-up spot. This dynamic sustains tight trader pricing because small shifts in voter preferences, turnout among key regional blocs, or late alliances could reorder the ranking without a dominant frontrunner emerging. Further polling releases or campaign momentum through September represent the clearest catalysts for separation.

The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Maranhão is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.

Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volumen
$412
Fecha de finalización
4 oct 2026
Mercado abierto
Aug 17, 2026, 6:00 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Maranhão is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).

Relacionado

icon for Will Roseana Sarney win the most votes in the 2026 Maranhão Senate election?

Will Roseana Sarney win the most votes in the 2026 Maranhão Senate election?

77%
icon for ¿Obtendrá Veneziano la segunda mayor cantidad de votos en las elecciones al Senado de Paraíba de 2026?

¿Obtendrá Veneziano la segunda mayor cantidad de votos en las elecciones al Senado de Paraíba de 2026?

48%
Sí
icon for ¿Janaina Riva obtendrá la segunda mayor cantidad de votos en las elecciones al Senado de Mato Grosso de 2026?

¿Janaina Riva obtendrá la segunda mayor cantidad de votos en las elecciones al Senado de Mato Grosso de 2026?

41%
Sí

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"Elección al Senado de Maranhão: 2do Lugar" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 11 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "Raimundo Moreira" con 45%, seguido de "Wilson Leite" con 26%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 45¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 45% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

"Elección al Senado de Maranhão: 2do Lugar" es un mercado recién creado en Polymarket, lanzado el Aug 17, 2026. Como mercado nuevo, esta es tu oportunidad de ser uno de los primeros operadores en establecer las probabilidades y las señales de precio iniciales del mercado. También puedes guardar esta página en marcadores para seguir el volumen y la actividad de trading a medida que el mercado gana tracción.

Para operar en "Elección al Senado de Maranhão: 2do Lugar", explora los 11 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "Elección al Senado de Maranhão: 2do Lugar" es "Raimundo Moreira" con 45%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 45% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es "Wilson Leite" con 26%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "Elección al Senado de Maranhão: 2do Lugar" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.