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icon for Elección al Senado de Mato Grosso: 2do Lugar
Política·Brasil

Elección al Senado de Mato Grosso: 2do Lugar

icon for Elección al Senado de Mato Grosso: 2do Lugar
Política·Brasil

Elección al Senado de Mato Grosso: 2do Lugar

Jose Medeiros 44%

Mauro Mendes 28%

Coronel Darwin 23%

Janaina Riva 21%

Polymarket
NUEVO

Jose Medeiros 44%

Mauro Mendes 28%

Coronel Darwin 23%

Janaina Riva 21%

Polymarket
NUEVO
icon for Jose Medeiros

Jose Medeiros

$43 Vol.

44%

icon for Mauro Mendes

Mauro Mendes

$43 Vol.

28%

icon for Coronel Darwin

Coronel Darwin

$43 Vol.

23%

icon for Janaina Riva

Janaina Riva

$143 Vol.

21%

icon for Pedro Taques

Pedro Taques

$43 Vol.

18%

icon for Fávaro

Fávaro

$43 Vol.

17%

icon for Galvan

Galvan

$43 Vol.

9%

icon for Profesor Nelson Ferreira

Profesor Nelson Ferreira

$43 Vol.

7%

icon for Beny Godoy

Beny Godoy

$43 Vol.

6%

icon for Margareth Buzetti

Margareth Buzetti

$43 Vol.

5%

The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Mato Grosso is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).**Mato Grosso’s two Senate seats draw a fragmented field of ten registered candidates after mid-August party conventions, with voters selecting two names on the October 4 ballot.** Recent Real Time Big Data polling shows former governor Mauro Mendes (União Brasil) and state deputy Janaína Riva (MDB) locked in a technical tie near 25-27 percent, while José Medeiros (PL), Carlos Fávaro (PSD), and Pedro Taques trail in the low-to-mid teens. This dispersion keeps second-place probabilities tightly bunched, as modest shifts in any major bloc or late alliances can reorder the ranking behind the likely leader. Traders price the contest as highly uncertain because no single challenger has consolidated the remaining vote, and historical patterns in multi-seat races show frequent late swings from turnout differences or campaign momentum. Fresh polling, cross-party endorsements, or issue-focused debates on agribusiness and mining could widen gaps before election day.

The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Mato Grosso is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.

Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volumen
$532
Fecha de finalización
4 oct 2026
Mercado abierto
Aug 17, 2026, 6:03 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Mato Grosso is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Mato Grosso is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).**Mato Grosso’s two Senate seats draw a fragmented field of ten registered candidates after mid-August party conventions, with voters selecting two names on the October 4 ballot.** Recent Real Time Big Data polling shows former governor Mauro Mendes (União Brasil) and state deputy Janaína Riva (MDB) locked in a technical tie near 25-27 percent, while José Medeiros (PL), Carlos Fávaro (PSD), and Pedro Taques trail in the low-to-mid teens. This dispersion keeps second-place probabilities tightly bunched, as modest shifts in any major bloc or late alliances can reorder the ranking behind the likely leader. Traders price the contest as highly uncertain because no single challenger has consolidated the remaining vote, and historical patterns in multi-seat races show frequent late swings from turnout differences or campaign momentum. Fresh polling, cross-party endorsements, or issue-focused debates on agribusiness and mining could widen gaps before election day.

The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Mato Grosso is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.

Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volumen
$532
Fecha de finalización
4 oct 2026
Mercado abierto
Aug 17, 2026, 6:03 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Mato Grosso is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).

Relacionado

icon for ¿Capitán Contar obtendrá la segunda mayor cantidad de votos en la elección al Senado de Mato Grosso do Sul de 2026?

¿Capitán Contar obtendrá la segunda mayor cantidad de votos en la elección al Senado de Mato Grosso do Sul de 2026?

54%
Sí
icon for ¿Mauro Mendes obtendrá la mayor cantidad de votos en las elecciones al Senado de Mato Grosso de 2026?

¿Mauro Mendes obtendrá la mayor cantidad de votos en las elecciones al Senado de Mato Grosso de 2026?

52%
Sí
icon for ¿Reinaldo Azambuja obtendrá la mayor cantidad de votos en la elección al Senado de Mato Grosso do Sul en 2026?

¿Reinaldo Azambuja obtendrá la mayor cantidad de votos en la elección al Senado de Mato Grosso do Sul en 2026?

82%
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"Elección al Senado de Mato Grosso: 2do Lugar" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 10 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "Jose Medeiros" con 44%, seguido de "Mauro Mendes" con 28%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 44¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 44% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

"Elección al Senado de Mato Grosso: 2do Lugar" es un mercado recién creado en Polymarket, lanzado el Aug 17, 2026. Como mercado nuevo, esta es tu oportunidad de ser uno de los primeros operadores en establecer las probabilidades y las señales de precio iniciales del mercado. También puedes guardar esta página en marcadores para seguir el volumen y la actividad de trading a medida que el mercado gana tracción.

Para operar en "Elección al Senado de Mato Grosso: 2do Lugar", explora los 10 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "Elección al Senado de Mato Grosso: 2do Lugar" es "Jose Medeiros" con 44%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 44% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es "Mauro Mendes" con 28%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "Elección al Senado de Mato Grosso: 2do Lugar" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.