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icon for Elección al Senado de Mato Grosso do Sul: 1er lugar
Política·Brasil

Elección al Senado de Mato Grosso do Sul: 1er lugar

icon for Elección al Senado de Mato Grosso do Sul: 1er lugar
Política·Brasil

Elección al Senado de Mato Grosso do Sul: 1er lugar

Reinaldo Azambuja 78%

Vander Loubet 8%

Valderi Garcia 6.0%

Soraya 5.7%

Polymarket
NUEVO

Reinaldo Azambuja 78%

Vander Loubet 8%

Valderi Garcia 6.0%

Soraya 5.7%

Polymarket
NUEVO
icon for Reinaldo Azambuja

Reinaldo Azambuja

$540 Vol.

78%

icon for Vander Loubet

Vander Loubet

$43 Vol.

8%

icon for Valderi Garcia

Valderi Garcia

$43 Vol.

6%

icon for Soraya

Soraya

$43 Vol.

6%

icon for Daniel Junior

Daniel Junior

$43 Vol.

6%

icon for Capitão Contar

Capitão Contar

$55 Vol.

5%

icon for Roberto Oshiro

Roberto Oshiro

$114 Vol.

4%

icon for Valter da Comagran

Valter da Comagran

$112 Vol.

3%

icon for Beto do Movimento

Beto do Movimento

$43 Vol.

3%

icon for Luiz Lemes

Luiz Lemes

$64 Vol.

3%

The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Mato Grosso do Sul is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Reinaldo Azambuja (PL), the former Mato Grosso do Sul governor, holds a commanding position in trader consensus for first place in the October 2026 Senate election due to consistent leads in August 2026 polls, including Real Time Big Data surveys showing him at 30% or higher in consolidated voting intentions. His established name recognition from two terms as governor, recent campaign launch emphasizing federal resource decentralization, and affiliation with the PL party have reinforced this edge over competitors such as Capitão Contar and Vander Loubet. Other listed candidates trail significantly in early polling, contributing to lower implied probabilities, while structural factors like the state's two-seat Senate contest and voter turnout patterns continue to shape assessments ahead of the October vote.

The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Mato Grosso do Sul is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.

Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volumen
$1,100
Fecha de finalización
4 oct 2026
Mercado abierto
Aug 17, 2026, 6:02 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Mato Grosso do Sul is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Mato Grosso do Sul is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Reinaldo Azambuja (PL), the former Mato Grosso do Sul governor, holds a commanding position in trader consensus for first place in the October 2026 Senate election due to consistent leads in August 2026 polls, including Real Time Big Data surveys showing him at 30% or higher in consolidated voting intentions. His established name recognition from two terms as governor, recent campaign launch emphasizing federal resource decentralization, and affiliation with the PL party have reinforced this edge over competitors such as Capitão Contar and Vander Loubet. Other listed candidates trail significantly in early polling, contributing to lower implied probabilities, while structural factors like the state's two-seat Senate contest and voter turnout patterns continue to shape assessments ahead of the October vote.

The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Mato Grosso do Sul is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.

Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volumen
$1,100
Fecha de finalización
4 oct 2026
Mercado abierto
Aug 17, 2026, 6:02 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Mato Grosso do Sul is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).

Relacionado

icon for ¿Capitán Contar obtendrá la segunda mayor cantidad de votos en la elección al Senado de Mato Grosso do Sul de 2026?

¿Capitán Contar obtendrá la segunda mayor cantidad de votos en la elección al Senado de Mato Grosso do Sul de 2026?

55%
Sí
icon for ¿Mauro Mendes obtendrá la mayor cantidad de votos en las elecciones al Senado de Mato Grosso de 2026?

¿Mauro Mendes obtendrá la mayor cantidad de votos en las elecciones al Senado de Mato Grosso de 2026?

57%
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icon for ¿Janaina Riva obtendrá la segunda mayor cantidad de votos en las elecciones al Senado de Mato Grosso de 2026?

¿Janaina Riva obtendrá la segunda mayor cantidad de votos en las elecciones al Senado de Mato Grosso de 2026?

45%
Sí

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"Elección al Senado de Mato Grosso do Sul: 1er lugar" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 10 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "Reinaldo Azambuja" con 78%, seguido de "Vander Loubet" con 8%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 78¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 78% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

"Elección al Senado de Mato Grosso do Sul: 1er lugar" es un mercado recién creado en Polymarket, lanzado el Aug 17, 2026. Como mercado nuevo, esta es tu oportunidad de ser uno de los primeros operadores en establecer las probabilidades y las señales de precio iniciales del mercado. También puedes guardar esta página en marcadores para seguir el volumen y la actividad de trading a medida que el mercado gana tracción.

Para operar en "Elección al Senado de Mato Grosso do Sul: 1er lugar", explora los 10 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "Elección al Senado de Mato Grosso do Sul: 1er lugar" es "Reinaldo Azambuja" con 78%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 78% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es "Vander Loubet" con 8%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "Elección al Senado de Mato Grosso do Sul: 1er lugar" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.