Recent Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts for Tokyo indicate an overnight minimum of 24°C on August 19 under mostly cloudy skies, aligning closely with the market's leading outcomes at 25°C (49.5%) and 24°C (37%). These implied probabilities reflect trader consensus on typical mid-August conditions shaped by the dominant Pacific high-pressure system, which suppresses radiative cooling, combined with high humidity levels of 75–80% and urban heat retention from Tokyo's built environment that limit nocturnal temperature drops. Historical climatology shows average August lows near 24°C, with current atmospheric stability keeping readings above 22°C absent unusual cooling. Model consensus points to minimal variability in the short term, and any light showers are expected to have limited impact; updated JMA guidance will refine these odds ahead of resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más baja en Tokio el 19 de agosto?
¿La temperatura más baja en Tokio el 19 de agosto?
25°C 50%
24°C 37%
23°C 7%
26°C 5%
NUEVO
NUEVO
19 ago 2026
20°C o menos
<1%
21°C
1%
22°C
2%
23°C
7%
24°C
37%
25°C
50%
26°C
5%
27°C
2%
28°C
1%
29°C
<1%
30°C o más
<1%
25°C 50%
24°C 37%
23°C 7%
26°C 5%
NUEVO
NUEVO
19 ago 2026
20°C o menos
$118 Vol.
<1%
21°C
$86 Vol.
1%
22°C
$108 Vol.
2%
23°C
$286 Vol.
7%
24°C
$345 Vol.
37%
25°C
$1,579 Vol.
50%
26°C
$585 Vol.
5%
27°C
$118 Vol.
2%
28°C
$86 Vol.
1%
29°C
$81 Vol.
<1%
30°C o más
$104 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts for Tokyo indicate an overnight minimum of 24°C on August 19 under mostly cloudy skies, aligning closely with the market's leading outcomes at 25°C (49.5%) and 24°C (37%). These implied probabilities reflect trader consensus on typical mid-August conditions shaped by the dominant Pacific high-pressure system, which suppresses radiative cooling, combined with high humidity levels of 75–80% and urban heat retention from Tokyo's built environment that limit nocturnal temperature drops. Historical climatology shows average August lows near 24°C, with current atmospheric stability keeping readings above 22°C absent unusual cooling. Model consensus points to minimal variability in the short term, and any light showers are expected to have limited impact; updated JMA guidance will refine these odds ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Aug 17, 2026, 12:28 AM ET
Volumen
$3,497Fecha de finalización
19 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 17, 2026, 12:28 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts for Tokyo indicate an overnight minimum of 24°C on August 19 under mostly cloudy skies, aligning closely with the market's leading outcomes at 25°C (49.5%) and 24°C (37%). These implied probabilities reflect trader consensus on typical mid-August conditions shaped by the dominant Pacific high-pressure system, which suppresses radiative cooling, combined with high humidity levels of 75–80% and urban heat retention from Tokyo's built environment that limit nocturnal temperature drops. Historical climatology shows average August lows near 24°C, with current atmospheric stability keeping readings above 22°C absent unusual cooling. Model consensus points to minimal variability in the short term, and any light showers are expected to have limited impact; updated JMA guidance will refine these odds ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$3,497Fecha de finalización
19 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 17, 2026, 12:28 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts for Tokyo indicate an overnight minimum of 24°C on August 19 under mostly cloudy skies, aligning closely with the market's leading outcomes at 25°C (49.5%) and 24°C (37%). These implied probabilities reflect trader consensus on typical mid-August conditions shaped by the dominant Pacific high-pressure system, which suppresses radiative cooling, combined with high humidity levels of 75–80% and urban heat retention from Tokyo's built environment that limit nocturnal temperature drops. Historical climatology shows average August lows near 24°C, with current atmospheric stability keeping readings above 22°C absent unusual cooling. Model consensus points to minimal variability in the short term, and any light showers are expected to have limited impact; updated JMA guidance will refine these odds ahead of resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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