Current forecasts from meteorological agencies indicate a minimum temperature near 26°C in Tel Aviv on August 23, aligning with the market's leading implied probability. In this Mediterranean coastal setting, the sea's thermal inertia and prevailing westerly sea breezes typically prevent sharp nocturnal cooling during peak summer, sustaining overnight lows several degrees above inland areas. Historical August averages hover around 24–25°C, with urban heat island effects from dense development further elevating minima. Recent model consensus shows stable high-pressure conditions and minimal cloud cover, limiting radiative cooling and supporting the 25–26°C range over cooler outliers. Updated guidance from sources like the Israel Meteorological Service will refine exact readings before resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿Temperatura más baja en Tel Aviv el 23 de agosto?
26°C 99%
23°C 3%
24°C 2%
25°C 2%
$3,059 Vol.
$3,059 Vol.
21°C or below
<1%
22°C
1%
23°C
3%
24°C
2%
25°C
19%
26°C
99%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C or higher
<1%
26°C 99%
23°C 3%
24°C 2%
25°C 2%
$3,059 Vol.
$3,059 Vol.
21°C or below
<1%
22°C
1%
23°C
3%
24°C
2%
25°C
19%
26°C
99%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Aug 21, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecasts from meteorological agencies indicate a minimum temperature near 26°C in Tel Aviv on August 23, aligning with the market's leading implied probability. In this Mediterranean coastal setting, the sea's thermal inertia and prevailing westerly sea breezes typically prevent sharp nocturnal cooling during peak summer, sustaining overnight lows several degrees above inland areas. Historical August averages hover around 24–25°C, with urban heat island effects from dense development further elevating minima. Recent model consensus shows stable high-pressure conditions and minimal cloud cover, limiting radiative cooling and supporting the 25–26°C range over cooler outliers. Updated guidance from sources like the Israel Meteorological Service will refine exact readings before resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado

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