Recent model runs from GFS and ECMWF place Moscow's minimum temperature on September 8 near 6–9°C, slightly below the 1991–2020 average low of 9.3°C amid ongoing northwest flow and lingering cloud cover from a cool early-September pattern. This positions the implied probability of 4°C or below nearly even with 14°C or higher, reflecting uncertainty in radiational cooling under variable skies versus modest warm-air advection. Historical analogs show occasional early-September drops below 5°C when clear, calm conditions align with polar air, while typical September minima cluster near 8–11°C. Updated official guidance from Russia's Hydrometeorological Center and next model cycles will clarify overnight cloud trends and wind speeds that determine whether minimums dip sharply or stabilize in the mid-single digits.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿Temperatura más baja en Moscú el 8 de septiembre?
¿Temperatura más baja en Moscú el 8 de septiembre?
4°C o menos 97%
14°C o más 96%
11°C 50%
12°C 50%
NUEVO
NUEVO
8 sep 2026
4°C o menos
97%
5°C
26%
6°C
26%
7°C
26%
8°C
26%
9°C
26%
10°C
1%
11°C
50%
12°C
50%
13°C
8%
14°C o más
96%
4°C o menos 97%
14°C o más 96%
11°C 50%
12°C 50%
NUEVO
NUEVO
8 sep 2026
4°C o menos
$0 Vol.
97%
5°C
$0 Vol.
26%
6°C
$0 Vol.
26%
7°C
$0 Vol.
26%
8°C
$0 Vol.
26%
9°C
$0 Vol.
26%
10°C
$150 Vol.
1%
11°C
$50 Vol.
50%
12°C
$200 Vol.
50%
13°C
$50 Vol.
8%
14°C o más
$0 Vol.
96%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 8 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model runs from GFS and ECMWF place Moscow's minimum temperature on September 8 near 6–9°C, slightly below the 1991–2020 average low of 9.3°C amid ongoing northwest flow and lingering cloud cover from a cool early-September pattern. This positions the implied probability of 4°C or below nearly even with 14°C or higher, reflecting uncertainty in radiational cooling under variable skies versus modest warm-air advection. Historical analogs show occasional early-September drops below 5°C when clear, calm conditions align with polar air, while typical September minima cluster near 8–11°C. Updated official guidance from Russia's Hydrometeorological Center and next model cycles will clarify overnight cloud trends and wind speeds that determine whether minimums dip sharply or stabilize in the mid-single digits.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 8 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Sep 6, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volumen
$450Fecha de finalización
8 sep 2026Mercado abierto
Sep 6, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 8 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model runs from GFS and ECMWF place Moscow's minimum temperature on September 8 near 6–9°C, slightly below the 1991–2020 average low of 9.3°C amid ongoing northwest flow and lingering cloud cover from a cool early-September pattern. This positions the implied probability of 4°C or below nearly even with 14°C or higher, reflecting uncertainty in radiational cooling under variable skies versus modest warm-air advection. Historical analogs show occasional early-September drops below 5°C when clear, calm conditions align with polar air, while typical September minima cluster near 8–11°C. Updated official guidance from Russia's Hydrometeorological Center and next model cycles will clarify overnight cloud trends and wind speeds that determine whether minimums dip sharply or stabilize in the mid-single digits.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 8 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$450Fecha de finalización
8 sep 2026Mercado abierto
Sep 6, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent model runs from GFS and ECMWF place Moscow's minimum temperature on September 8 near 6–9°C, slightly below the 1991–2020 average low of 9.3°C amid ongoing northwest flow and lingering cloud cover from a cool early-September pattern. This positions the implied probability of 4°C or below nearly even with 14°C or higher, reflecting uncertainty in radiational cooling under variable skies versus modest warm-air advection. Historical analogs show occasional early-September drops below 5°C when clear, calm conditions align with polar air, while typical September minima cluster near 8–11°C. Updated official guidance from Russia's Hydrometeorological Center and next model cycles will clarify overnight cloud trends and wind speeds that determine whether minimums dip sharply or stabilize in the mid-single digits.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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