Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate mostly cloudy skies and a 60-70% chance of rain or thunderstorms for Guangzhou on September 6, which limits solar heating and caps daily highs near 30-32°C. This aligns with the market-implied probabilities clustering around 31-33°C, as increased cloud cover and precipitation reduce peak temperatures compared to the 32.7°C climatological average for the date. Higher humidity and potential afternoon showers further moderate extremes, while lighter winds offer little mixing to alter surface readings. Model consensus on rain timing introduces modest uncertainty between the closely matched 31°C and 32°C outcomes, with drier scenarios supporting a brief push toward 33°C. Updated National Meteorological Center guidance or refined model runs expected overnight could shift these odds ahead of resolution based on official observations at Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en Guangzhou el 6 de septiembre?
¿La temperatura más alta en Guangzhou el 6 de septiembre?
32°C 33%
31°C 27%
33°C 21%
30°C 7%
NUEVO
NUEVO
6 sep 2026
26°C o menos
<1%
27°C
1%
28°C
1%
29°C
4%
30°C
7%
31°C
27%
32°C
33%
33°C
21%
34°C
7%
35°C
1%
36°C o más
1%
32°C 33%
31°C 27%
33°C 21%
30°C 7%
NUEVO
NUEVO
6 sep 2026
26°C o menos
$460 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$120 Vol.
1%
28°C
$59 Vol.
1%
29°C
$294 Vol.
4%
30°C
$251 Vol.
7%
31°C
$392 Vol.
27%
32°C
$281 Vol.
33%
33°C
$590 Vol.
21%
34°C
$2,779 Vol.
7%
35°C
$748 Vol.
1%
36°C o más
$291 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate mostly cloudy skies and a 60-70% chance of rain or thunderstorms for Guangzhou on September 6, which limits solar heating and caps daily highs near 30-32°C. This aligns with the market-implied probabilities clustering around 31-33°C, as increased cloud cover and precipitation reduce peak temperatures compared to the 32.7°C climatological average for the date. Higher humidity and potential afternoon showers further moderate extremes, while lighter winds offer little mixing to alter surface readings. Model consensus on rain timing introduces modest uncertainty between the closely matched 31°C and 32°C outcomes, with drier scenarios supporting a brief push toward 33°C. Updated National Meteorological Center guidance or refined model runs expected overnight could shift these odds ahead of resolution based on official observations at Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Sep 4, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Volumen
$6,265Fecha de finalización
6 sep 2026Mercado abierto
Sep 4, 2026, 12:58 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgggResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate mostly cloudy skies and a 60-70% chance of rain or thunderstorms for Guangzhou on September 6, which limits solar heating and caps daily highs near 30-32°C. This aligns with the market-implied probabilities clustering around 31-33°C, as increased cloud cover and precipitation reduce peak temperatures compared to the 32.7°C climatological average for the date. Higher humidity and potential afternoon showers further moderate extremes, while lighter winds offer little mixing to alter surface readings. Model consensus on rain timing introduces modest uncertainty between the closely matched 31°C and 32°C outcomes, with drier scenarios supporting a brief push toward 33°C. Updated National Meteorological Center guidance or refined model runs expected overnight could shift these odds ahead of resolution based on official observations at Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$6,265Fecha de finalización
6 sep 2026Mercado abierto
Sep 4, 2026, 12:58 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgggResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate mostly cloudy skies and a 60-70% chance of rain or thunderstorms for Guangzhou on September 6, which limits solar heating and caps daily highs near 30-32°C. This aligns with the market-implied probabilities clustering around 31-33°C, as increased cloud cover and precipitation reduce peak temperatures compared to the 32.7°C climatological average for the date. Higher humidity and potential afternoon showers further moderate extremes, while lighter winds offer little mixing to alter surface readings. Model consensus on rain timing introduces modest uncertainty between the closely matched 31°C and 32°C outcomes, with drier scenarios supporting a brief push toward 33°C. Updated National Meteorological Center guidance or refined model runs expected overnight could shift these odds ahead of resolution based on official observations at Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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