**Persistent monsoon-driven cloud cover and thunderstorm activity are positioning 30–32°C as the leading outcomes for Lucknow’s September 6 maximum temperature, with 31°C commanding the strongest market-implied probability at 49.5%.** Official forecasts from the India Meteorological Department and international models indicate generally cloudy skies with spells of rain or thundershowers on September 6, consistent with active monsoon conditions across Uttar Pradesh. These factors limit daytime solar heating and cap afternoon highs near or slightly below the seasonal average of about 32°C. Recent observations show daily maxima of 31–32°C with high humidity (often above 70–90%) and light winds, patterns expected to continue and suppress any significant warming. Model consensus points to limited intensification potential, keeping the distribution tightly clustered around 30–32°C while assigning negligible probability to extremes above 33°C or below 29°C. Updated guidance ahead of the 24-hour window will be the key near-term catalyst for any shifts in trader positioning.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en Lucknow el 6 de septiembre?
¿La temperatura más alta en Lucknow el 6 de septiembre?
31°C 51%
30°C 25%
32°C 21%
29°C 5%
NUEVO
NUEVO
6 sep 2026
24°C o menos
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
1%
28°C
2%
29°C
5%
30°C
25%
31°C
51%
32°C
21%
33°C
3%
34°C o más
<1%
31°C 51%
30°C 25%
32°C 21%
29°C 5%
NUEVO
NUEVO
6 sep 2026
24°C o menos
$395 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$135 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$311 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$210 Vol.
1%
28°C
$391 Vol.
2%
29°C
$498 Vol.
5%
30°C
$172 Vol.
25%
31°C
$396 Vol.
51%
32°C
$313 Vol.
21%
33°C
$89 Vol.
3%
34°C o más
$196 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Persistent monsoon-driven cloud cover and thunderstorm activity are positioning 30–32°C as the leading outcomes for Lucknow’s September 6 maximum temperature, with 31°C commanding the strongest market-implied probability at 49.5%.**
Official forecasts from the India Meteorological Department and international models indicate generally cloudy skies with spells of rain or thundershowers on September 6, consistent with active monsoon conditions across Uttar Pradesh. These factors limit daytime solar heating and cap afternoon highs near or slightly below the seasonal average of about 32°C. Recent observations show daily maxima of 31–32°C with high humidity (often above 70–90%) and light winds, patterns expected to continue and suppress any significant warming. Model consensus points to limited intensification potential, keeping the distribution tightly clustered around 30–32°C while assigning negligible probability to extremes above 33°C or below 29°C. Updated guidance ahead of the 24-hour window will be the key near-term catalyst for any shifts in trader positioning.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Sep 4, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volumen
$3,106Fecha de finalización
6 sep 2026Mercado abierto
Sep 4, 2026, 12:56 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilkResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Persistent monsoon-driven cloud cover and thunderstorm activity are positioning 30–32°C as the leading outcomes for Lucknow’s September 6 maximum temperature, with 31°C commanding the strongest market-implied probability at 49.5%.**
Official forecasts from the India Meteorological Department and international models indicate generally cloudy skies with spells of rain or thundershowers on September 6, consistent with active monsoon conditions across Uttar Pradesh. These factors limit daytime solar heating and cap afternoon highs near or slightly below the seasonal average of about 32°C. Recent observations show daily maxima of 31–32°C with high humidity (often above 70–90%) and light winds, patterns expected to continue and suppress any significant warming. Model consensus points to limited intensification potential, keeping the distribution tightly clustered around 30–32°C while assigning negligible probability to extremes above 33°C or below 29°C. Updated guidance ahead of the 24-hour window will be the key near-term catalyst for any shifts in trader positioning.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$3,106Fecha de finalización
6 sep 2026Mercado abierto
Sep 4, 2026, 12:56 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilkResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Persistent monsoon-driven cloud cover and thunderstorm activity are positioning 30–32°C as the leading outcomes for Lucknow’s September 6 maximum temperature, with 31°C commanding the strongest market-implied probability at 49.5%.** Official forecasts from the India Meteorological Department and international models indicate generally cloudy skies with spells of rain or thundershowers on September 6, consistent with active monsoon conditions across Uttar Pradesh. These factors limit daytime solar heating and cap afternoon highs near or slightly below the seasonal average of about 32°C. Recent observations show daily maxima of 31–32°C with high humidity (often above 70–90%) and light winds, patterns expected to continue and suppress any significant warming. Model consensus points to limited intensification potential, keeping the distribution tightly clustered around 30–32°C while assigning negligible probability to extremes above 33°C or below 29°C. Updated guidance ahead of the 24-hour window will be the key near-term catalyst for any shifts in trader positioning.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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