Forecast models from sources including GFS and official Russian Hydrometeorological Center guidance point to a daily minimum near 12–14°C for Moscow on August 24, driven by moderate southwesterly winds, partly cloudy skies, and limited overnight radiative cooling under a weakening high-pressure influence. Recent days have featured a cooling trend with daytime highs dropping from the mid-20s°C, setting up this near-normal late-August pattern where the lowest readings typically occur in the early morning hours. Market-implied odds remain dispersed across the 9–15°C range because ensemble spreads and local variations in cloud cover or wind could shift the exact minimum by 1–3°C, with historical August lows averaging near 12°C providing climatological context. New model runs and official updates tonight will likely refine the outlook ahead of resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿Temperatura más baja en Moscú el 24 de agosto?
¿Temperatura más baja en Moscú el 24 de agosto?
9°C o menos 74%
13°C 37%
10°C 20%
11°C 20%
NUEVO
NUEVO
24 ago 2026
9°C o menos
74%
10°C
20%
11°C
20%
12°C
20%
13°C
28%
14°C
20%
15°C
19%
16°C
3%
17°C
<1%
18°C
1%
19°C o más
<1%
9°C o menos 74%
13°C 37%
10°C 20%
11°C 20%
NUEVO
NUEVO
24 ago 2026
9°C o menos
$47 Vol.
74%
10°C
$0 Vol.
20%
11°C
$0 Vol.
20%
12°C
$0 Vol.
20%
13°C
$5 Vol.
28%
14°C
$0 Vol.
20%
15°C
$9 Vol.
19%
16°C
$43 Vol.
3%
17°C
$30 Vol.
<1%
18°C
$14 Vol.
1%
19°C o más
$162 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from sources including GFS and official Russian Hydrometeorological Center guidance point to a daily minimum near 12–14°C for Moscow on August 24, driven by moderate southwesterly winds, partly cloudy skies, and limited overnight radiative cooling under a weakening high-pressure influence. Recent days have featured a cooling trend with daytime highs dropping from the mid-20s°C, setting up this near-normal late-August pattern where the lowest readings typically occur in the early morning hours. Market-implied odds remain dispersed across the 9–15°C range because ensemble spreads and local variations in cloud cover or wind could shift the exact minimum by 1–3°C, with historical August lows averaging near 12°C providing climatological context. New model runs and official updates tonight will likely refine the outlook ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Aug 22, 2026, 2:30 AM ET
Volumen
$311Fecha de finalización
24 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 22, 2026, 2:30 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from sources including GFS and official Russian Hydrometeorological Center guidance point to a daily minimum near 12–14°C for Moscow on August 24, driven by moderate southwesterly winds, partly cloudy skies, and limited overnight radiative cooling under a weakening high-pressure influence. Recent days have featured a cooling trend with daytime highs dropping from the mid-20s°C, setting up this near-normal late-August pattern where the lowest readings typically occur in the early morning hours. Market-implied odds remain dispersed across the 9–15°C range because ensemble spreads and local variations in cloud cover or wind could shift the exact minimum by 1–3°C, with historical August lows averaging near 12°C providing climatological context. New model runs and official updates tonight will likely refine the outlook ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$311Fecha de finalización
24 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 22, 2026, 2:30 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from sources including GFS and official Russian Hydrometeorological Center guidance point to a daily minimum near 12–14°C for Moscow on August 24, driven by moderate southwesterly winds, partly cloudy skies, and limited overnight radiative cooling under a weakening high-pressure influence. Recent days have featured a cooling trend with daytime highs dropping from the mid-20s°C, setting up this near-normal late-August pattern where the lowest readings typically occur in the early morning hours. Market-implied odds remain dispersed across the 9–15°C range because ensemble spreads and local variations in cloud cover or wind could shift the exact minimum by 1–3°C, with historical August lows averaging near 12°C providing climatological context. New model runs and official updates tonight will likely refine the outlook ahead of resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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