Persistent high pressure and subtropical humidity are anchoring Miami's overnight lows near 80–82°F on August 12, aligning with the market's tight clustering around the 80–81°F (40.5%) and 82–83°F (31.0%) bins. Limited radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies, combined with urban heat retention and warm Gulf Stream influence, has produced recent nightly minima in the low-to-mid 80s, consistent with NOAA climatology for early-to-mid August. Model consensus from NWS and AccuWeather shows minimal deviation unless stronger sea-breeze convection develops before dawn, which could shave a degree or two. Traders are weighting these typical patterns heavily while noting small resolution risks from exact station readings at Miami International Airport.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿Temperatura más baja en Miami el 12 de agosto?
¿Temperatura más baja en Miami el 12 de agosto?
80-81°F 41%
82-83°F 31%
78-79°F 23%
84-85°F 6%
NUEVO
NUEVO
12 ago 2026
71°F o menos
<1%
72-73°F
<1%
74-75°F
1%
76-77°F
5%
78-79°F
23%
80-81°F
41%
82-83°F
31%
84-85°F
6%
86-87°F
1%
88-89°F
1%
90°F o más
<1%
80-81°F 41%
82-83°F 31%
78-79°F 23%
84-85°F 6%
NUEVO
NUEVO
12 ago 2026
71°F o menos
$376 Vol.
<1%
72-73°F
$255 Vol.
<1%
74-75°F
$212 Vol.
1%
76-77°F
$39 Vol.
5%
78-79°F
$107 Vol.
23%
80-81°F
$75 Vol.
41%
82-83°F
$230 Vol.
31%
84-85°F
$28 Vol.
6%
86-87°F
$300 Vol.
1%
88-89°F
$1,676 Vol.
1%
90°F o más
$320 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent high pressure and subtropical humidity are anchoring Miami's overnight lows near 80–82°F on August 12, aligning with the market's tight clustering around the 80–81°F (40.5%) and 82–83°F (31.0%) bins. Limited radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies, combined with urban heat retention and warm Gulf Stream influence, has produced recent nightly minima in the low-to-mid 80s, consistent with NOAA climatology for early-to-mid August. Model consensus from NWS and AccuWeather shows minimal deviation unless stronger sea-breeze convection develops before dawn, which could shave a degree or two. Traders are weighting these typical patterns heavily while noting small resolution risks from exact station readings at Miami International Airport.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Aug 10, 2026, 9:30 PM ET
Volumen
$3,617Fecha de finalización
12 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 10, 2026, 9:30 PM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent high pressure and subtropical humidity are anchoring Miami's overnight lows near 80–82°F on August 12, aligning with the market's tight clustering around the 80–81°F (40.5%) and 82–83°F (31.0%) bins. Limited radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies, combined with urban heat retention and warm Gulf Stream influence, has produced recent nightly minima in the low-to-mid 80s, consistent with NOAA climatology for early-to-mid August. Model consensus from NWS and AccuWeather shows minimal deviation unless stronger sea-breeze convection develops before dawn, which could shave a degree or two. Traders are weighting these typical patterns heavily while noting small resolution risks from exact station readings at Miami International Airport.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$3,617Fecha de finalización
12 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 10, 2026, 9:30 PM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Persistent high pressure and subtropical humidity are anchoring Miami's overnight lows near 80–82°F on August 12, aligning with the market's tight clustering around the 80–81°F (40.5%) and 82–83°F (31.0%) bins. Limited radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies, combined with urban heat retention and warm Gulf Stream influence, has produced recent nightly minima in the low-to-mid 80s, consistent with NOAA climatology for early-to-mid August. Model consensus from NWS and AccuWeather shows minimal deviation unless stronger sea-breeze convection develops before dawn, which could shave a degree or two. Traders are weighting these typical patterns heavily while noting small resolution risks from exact station readings at Miami International Airport.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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