Current forecasts from the National Weather Service and AccuWeather indicate a high near 91–93°F for Miami on August 12 under partly cloudy skies with light easterly winds and only isolated thunderstorm chances, positioning the 92–93°F bin as the market leader at 63.5% implied probability. Typical August climatology features an average daily maximum of 89–91°F, with historical records near 96°F, but recent high-pressure dominance and drier air have suppressed extreme heat while allowing modest afternoon warming. Model consensus shows limited upside for 94–95°F absent stronger insolation or stalled outflow boundaries, while lower outcomes remain unlikely given observed trends and official guidance. Updated NWS briefings and real-time observations near peak heating will refine these market-implied odds.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en Miami el 12 de agosto?
¿La temperatura más alta en Miami el 12 de agosto?
92-93°F 66%
94-95°F 32%
90-91°F 3%
96-97°F 2%
NUEVO
$14,118 Vol.
NUEVO
$14,118 Vol.
12 ago 2026
83°F o menos
1%
84-85°F
<1%
86-87°F
<1%
88-89°F
1%
90-91°F
3%
92-93°F
66%
94-95°F
32%
96-97°F
2%
98-99°F
<1%
100-101°F
<1%
102°F o más
<1%
92-93°F 66%
94-95°F 32%
90-91°F 3%
96-97°F 2%
NUEVO
$14,118 Vol.
NUEVO
$14,118 Vol.
12 ago 2026
83°F o menos
$702 Vol.
1%
84-85°F
$959 Vol.
<1%
86-87°F
$615 Vol.
<1%
88-89°F
$1,247 Vol.
1%
90-91°F
$1,261 Vol.
3%
92-93°F
$3,766 Vol.
66%
94-95°F
$3,318 Vol.
32%
96-97°F
$1,132 Vol.
2%
98-99°F
$338 Vol.
<1%
100-101°F
$463 Vol.
<1%
102°F o más
$318 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from the National Weather Service and AccuWeather indicate a high near 91–93°F for Miami on August 12 under partly cloudy skies with light easterly winds and only isolated thunderstorm chances, positioning the 92–93°F bin as the market leader at 63.5% implied probability. Typical August climatology features an average daily maximum of 89–91°F, with historical records near 96°F, but recent high-pressure dominance and drier air have suppressed extreme heat while allowing modest afternoon warming. Model consensus shows limited upside for 94–95°F absent stronger insolation or stalled outflow boundaries, while lower outcomes remain unlikely given observed trends and official guidance. Updated NWS briefings and real-time observations near peak heating will refine these market-implied odds.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Aug 10, 2026, 9:03 PM ET
Volumen
$14,118Fecha de finalización
12 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 10, 2026, 9:03 PM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from the National Weather Service and AccuWeather indicate a high near 91–93°F for Miami on August 12 under partly cloudy skies with light easterly winds and only isolated thunderstorm chances, positioning the 92–93°F bin as the market leader at 63.5% implied probability. Typical August climatology features an average daily maximum of 89–91°F, with historical records near 96°F, but recent high-pressure dominance and drier air have suppressed extreme heat while allowing modest afternoon warming. Model consensus shows limited upside for 94–95°F absent stronger insolation or stalled outflow boundaries, while lower outcomes remain unlikely given observed trends and official guidance. Updated NWS briefings and real-time observations near peak heating will refine these market-implied odds.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$14,118Fecha de finalización
12 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 10, 2026, 9:03 PM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecasts from the National Weather Service and AccuWeather indicate a high near 91–93°F for Miami on August 12 under partly cloudy skies with light easterly winds and only isolated thunderstorm chances, positioning the 92–93°F bin as the market leader at 63.5% implied probability. Typical August climatology features an average daily maximum of 89–91°F, with historical records near 96°F, but recent high-pressure dominance and drier air have suppressed extreme heat while allowing modest afternoon warming. Model consensus shows limited upside for 94–95°F absent stronger insolation or stalled outflow boundaries, while lower outcomes remain unlikely given observed trends and official guidance. Updated NWS briefings and real-time observations near peak heating will refine these market-implied odds.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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