**Current forecasts from models and monitoring agencies indicate a minimum temperature of 8°C in Cape Town on August 23, 2026, driving the overwhelming 98% market-implied probability for that outcome.** Clear skies, moderate southerly winds around 10-20 km/h, and stable high pressure have supported gradual overnight cooling consistent with typical late-winter patterns, where minima often fall to 8–12°C under similar conditions. Recent daily lows in the 6–9°C range have reinforced trader expectations for this exact threshold. The market reflects aggregated sentiment based on real capital, with high confidence in official station readings (such as Cape Town International Airport) resolving at 8°C. Only a significant forecast revision from rapid warming or localized station anomalies could realistically shift the outcome.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿Temperatura más baja en Ciudad del Cabo el 23 de agosto?
¿Temperatura más baja en Ciudad del Cabo el 23 de agosto?
8°C 98%
7°C 2%
6°C o menos <1%
15°C <1%
$6,291 Vol.
$6,291 Vol.
23 ago 2026
6°C o menos
1%
7°C
2%
8°C
98%
9°C
<1%
10°C
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C o más
<1%
8°C 98%
7°C 2%
6°C o menos <1%
15°C <1%
$6,291 Vol.
$6,291 Vol.
23 ago 2026
6°C o menos
$452 Vol.
1%
7°C
$148 Vol.
2%
8°C
$241 Vol.
98%
9°C
$916 Vol.
<1%
10°C
$458 Vol.
<1%
11°C
$472 Vol.
<1%
12°C
$571 Vol.
<1%
13°C
$413 Vol.
<1%
14°C
$58 Vol.
<1%
15°C
$1,259 Vol.
<1%
16°C o más
$1,303 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Current forecasts from models and monitoring agencies indicate a minimum temperature of 8°C in Cape Town on August 23, 2026, driving the overwhelming 98% market-implied probability for that outcome.** Clear skies, moderate southerly winds around 10-20 km/h, and stable high pressure have supported gradual overnight cooling consistent with typical late-winter patterns, where minima often fall to 8–12°C under similar conditions. Recent daily lows in the 6–9°C range have reinforced trader expectations for this exact threshold. The market reflects aggregated sentiment based on real capital, with high confidence in official station readings (such as Cape Town International Airport) resolving at 8°C. Only a significant forecast revision from rapid warming or localized station anomalies could realistically shift the outcome.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Aug 21, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Volumen
$6,291Fecha de finalización
23 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 21, 2026, 12:31 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACTResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Current forecasts from models and monitoring agencies indicate a minimum temperature of 8°C in Cape Town on August 23, 2026, driving the overwhelming 98% market-implied probability for that outcome.** Clear skies, moderate southerly winds around 10-20 km/h, and stable high pressure have supported gradual overnight cooling consistent with typical late-winter patterns, where minima often fall to 8–12°C under similar conditions. Recent daily lows in the 6–9°C range have reinforced trader expectations for this exact threshold. The market reflects aggregated sentiment based on real capital, with high confidence in official station readings (such as Cape Town International Airport) resolving at 8°C. Only a significant forecast revision from rapid warming or localized station anomalies could realistically shift the outcome.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$6,291Fecha de finalización
23 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 21, 2026, 12:31 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACTResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Current forecasts from models and monitoring agencies indicate a minimum temperature of 8°C in Cape Town on August 23, 2026, driving the overwhelming 98% market-implied probability for that outcome.** Clear skies, moderate southerly winds around 10-20 km/h, and stable high pressure have supported gradual overnight cooling consistent with typical late-winter patterns, where minima often fall to 8–12°C under similar conditions. Recent daily lows in the 6–9°C range have reinforced trader expectations for this exact threshold. The market reflects aggregated sentiment based on real capital, with high confidence in official station readings (such as Cape Town International Airport) resolving at 8°C. Only a significant forecast revision from rapid warming or localized station anomalies could realistically shift the outcome.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Preguntas frecuentes