Recent cold air advection from the south has kept overnight temperatures near or at freezing across the Buenos Aires region, with official observations on August 22 confirming a minimum of 0°C under clear, dry conditions. Model consensus and surface observations support a similar outcome for the 23rd, as persistent southerly flow and limited cloud cover allow radiational cooling to reach the 0°C threshold. Historical August climatology shows rare dips to this level, reinforcing trader consensus around the market-implied 99.5% probability for exactly 0°C. A shift to northerly winds or increased cloud cover could raise the minimum above freezing, though current guidance shows low likelihood of such changes before dawn.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿Temperatura más baja en Buenos Aires el 23 de agosto?
¿Temperatura más baja en Buenos Aires el 23 de agosto?
0°C 99.5%
-1°C <1%
-2°C or below <1%
1°C <1%
$4,906 Vol.
$4,906 Vol.
23 ago 2026
-2°C or below
1%
-1°C
1%
0°C
100%
1°C
<1%
2°C
<1%
3°C
<1%
4°C
<1%
5°C
<1%
6°C
<1%
7°C
<1%
8°C or higher
<1%
0°C 99.5%
-1°C <1%
-2°C or below <1%
1°C <1%
$4,906 Vol.
$4,906 Vol.
23 ago 2026
-2°C or below
$244 Vol.
1%
-1°C
$254 Vol.
1%
0°C
$524 Vol.
100%
1°C
$267 Vol.
<1%
2°C
$263 Vol.
<1%
3°C
$998 Vol.
<1%
4°C
$1,263 Vol.
<1%
5°C
$263 Vol.
<1%
6°C
$253 Vol.
<1%
7°C
$293 Vol.
<1%
8°C or higher
$283 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent cold air advection from the south has kept overnight temperatures near or at freezing across the Buenos Aires region, with official observations on August 22 confirming a minimum of 0°C under clear, dry conditions. Model consensus and surface observations support a similar outcome for the 23rd, as persistent southerly flow and limited cloud cover allow radiational cooling to reach the 0°C threshold. Historical August climatology shows rare dips to this level, reinforcing trader consensus around the market-implied 99.5% probability for exactly 0°C. A shift to northerly winds or increased cloud cover could raise the minimum above freezing, though current guidance shows low likelihood of such changes before dawn.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Aug 22, 2026, 12:28 AM ET
Volumen
$4,906Fecha de finalización
23 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 22, 2026, 12:28 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saezResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent cold air advection from the south has kept overnight temperatures near or at freezing across the Buenos Aires region, with official observations on August 22 confirming a minimum of 0°C under clear, dry conditions. Model consensus and surface observations support a similar outcome for the 23rd, as persistent southerly flow and limited cloud cover allow radiational cooling to reach the 0°C threshold. Historical August climatology shows rare dips to this level, reinforcing trader consensus around the market-implied 99.5% probability for exactly 0°C. A shift to northerly winds or increased cloud cover could raise the minimum above freezing, though current guidance shows low likelihood of such changes before dawn.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$4,906Fecha de finalización
23 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 22, 2026, 12:28 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saezResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent cold air advection from the south has kept overnight temperatures near or at freezing across the Buenos Aires region, with official observations on August 22 confirming a minimum of 0°C under clear, dry conditions. Model consensus and surface observations support a similar outcome for the 23rd, as persistent southerly flow and limited cloud cover allow radiational cooling to reach the 0°C threshold. Historical August climatology shows rare dips to this level, reinforcing trader consensus around the market-implied 99.5% probability for exactly 0°C. A shift to northerly winds or increased cloud cover could raise the minimum above freezing, though current guidance shows low likelihood of such changes before dawn.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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