Recent official forecasts from agencies including the Met Office and BBC Weather highlight a minimum temperature of 16°C for Ankara on August 23, driven by clear skies enabling efficient nocturnal radiative cooling over the Anatolian plateau under a stable high-pressure system. This aligns with late-August climatology where average lows range 15–17°C, supported by model consensus showing light northerly winds and minimal cloud cover limiting heat retention. The market-implied 96.7% probability on 16°C reflects trader assessment of these verified conditions and resolution criteria tied to official daily minimum readings. Unexpected increases in humidity, persistent cloud cover, or warmer air advection could raise the minimum above this threshold, though current observations make such shifts unlikely.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿Temperatura más baja en Ankara el 23 de agosto?
16°C 96.7%
20°C <1%
15°C o menos <1%
17°C <1%
$3,342 Vol.
$3,342 Vol.
15°C o menos
<1%
16°C
97%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C o más
<1%
16°C 96.7%
20°C <1%
15°C o menos <1%
17°C <1%
$3,342 Vol.
$3,342 Vol.
15°C o menos
<1%
16°C
97%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C o más
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Aug 21, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Fuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTACResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTACResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent official forecasts from agencies including the Met Office and BBC Weather highlight a minimum temperature of 16°C for Ankara on August 23, driven by clear skies enabling efficient nocturnal radiative cooling over the Anatolian plateau under a stable high-pressure system. This aligns with late-August climatology where average lows range 15–17°C, supported by model consensus showing light northerly winds and minimal cloud cover limiting heat retention. The market-implied 96.7% probability on 16°C reflects trader assessment of these verified conditions and resolution criteria tied to official daily minimum readings. Unexpected increases in humidity, persistent cloud cover, or warmer air advection could raise the minimum above this threshold, though current observations make such shifts unlikely.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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