Recent short-range ensemble forecasts for Amsterdam show notable divergence in overnight radiative cooling and boundary-layer moisture on August 25–26, driving the near-even split between sub-12 °C and 22 °C-plus minimums. Easterly to southeasterly flow is expected to advect warmer, more humid air while scattered showers and thunderstorms increase cloud cover, limiting nocturnal temperature drops; however, any clearing behind convective activity could allow stronger surface cooling toward historical late-August lows near 13 °C. Model spread in precipitation timing, dew-point depression, and low-level wind shear creates the observed market balance, with updated runs from agencies such as ECMWF and national meteorological services likely to narrow resolution criteria before market close.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿Temperatura más baja en Ámsterdam el 26 de agosto?
¿Temperatura más baja en Ámsterdam el 26 de agosto?
12°C or below 93%
22°C or higher 87%
13°C 85%
19°C 85%
NUEVO
NUEVO
26 ago 2026
12°C or below
93%
13°C
85%
14°C
49%
15°C
27%
16°C
51%
17°C
50%
18°C
49%
19°C
85%
20°C
85%
21°C
2%
22°C or higher
87%
12°C or below 93%
22°C or higher 87%
13°C 85%
19°C 85%
NUEVO
NUEVO
26 ago 2026
12°C or below
$0 Vol.
93%
13°C
$0 Vol.
85%
14°C
$0 Vol.
49%
15°C
$0 Vol.
27%
16°C
$0 Vol.
51%
17°C
$0 Vol.
50%
18°C
$0 Vol.
49%
19°C
$0 Vol.
85%
20°C
$0 Vol.
85%
21°C
$0 Vol.
2%
22°C or higher
$0 Vol.
87%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent short-range ensemble forecasts for Amsterdam show notable divergence in overnight radiative cooling and boundary-layer moisture on August 25–26, driving the near-even split between sub-12 °C and 22 °C-plus minimums. Easterly to southeasterly flow is expected to advect warmer, more humid air while scattered showers and thunderstorms increase cloud cover, limiting nocturnal temperature drops; however, any clearing behind convective activity could allow stronger surface cooling toward historical late-August lows near 13 °C. Model spread in precipitation timing, dew-point depression, and low-level wind shear creates the observed market balance, with updated runs from agencies such as ECMWF and national meteorological services likely to narrow resolution criteria before market close.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Aug 24, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Volumen
$0Fecha de finalización
26 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 24, 2026, 12:31 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ehamResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent short-range ensemble forecasts for Amsterdam show notable divergence in overnight radiative cooling and boundary-layer moisture on August 25–26, driving the near-even split between sub-12 °C and 22 °C-plus minimums. Easterly to southeasterly flow is expected to advect warmer, more humid air while scattered showers and thunderstorms increase cloud cover, limiting nocturnal temperature drops; however, any clearing behind convective activity could allow stronger surface cooling toward historical late-August lows near 13 °C. Model spread in precipitation timing, dew-point depression, and low-level wind shear creates the observed market balance, with updated runs from agencies such as ECMWF and national meteorological services likely to narrow resolution criteria before market close.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$0Fecha de finalización
26 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 24, 2026, 12:31 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ehamResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent short-range ensemble forecasts for Amsterdam show notable divergence in overnight radiative cooling and boundary-layer moisture on August 25–26, driving the near-even split between sub-12 °C and 22 °C-plus minimums. Easterly to southeasterly flow is expected to advect warmer, more humid air while scattered showers and thunderstorms increase cloud cover, limiting nocturnal temperature drops; however, any clearing behind convective activity could allow stronger surface cooling toward historical late-August lows near 13 °C. Model spread in precipitation timing, dew-point depression, and low-level wind shear creates the observed market balance, with updated runs from agencies such as ECMWF and national meteorological services likely to narrow resolution criteria before market close.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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