Strong July 2026 ISM Manufacturing PMI at 55.6—its highest since May 2022—anchors trader expectations for the August release, with new orders at 56.7, production surging to 58.5, and employment returning to expansion at 52.8 for the first time in over two years. This momentum, fueled by AI-driven investment, front-loaded orders ahead of potential tariffs, and low inventories, supports the closely matched probabilities clustered around 54.0–55.9. Persistent pricing volatility, supply-chain strains from geopolitical tensions, and tariff effects introduce downside risks that cap consensus above 56, while resilient demand indicators limit odds of a sharp pullback below 54. The September 1 release will test whether July’s broad-based gains extend into the second half of the year.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado55.0–55.9 28%
54,0–54,9 26%
57.0–57.9 16%
53.0–53.9 12%
NUEVO
NUEVO
1 sep 2026
<51.0
1%
51.0–51.9
2%
52.0–52.9
9%
53.0–53.9
12%
54,0–54,9
26%
55.0–55.9
28%
56.0–56.9
8%
57.0–57.9
16%
58.0–58.9
10%
59.0+
4%
55.0–55.9 28%
54,0–54,9 26%
57.0–57.9 16%
53.0–53.9 12%
NUEVO
NUEVO
1 sep 2026
<51.0
$178 Vol.
1%
51.0–51.9
$173 Vol.
2%
52.0–52.9
$90 Vol.
9%
53.0–53.9
$160 Vol.
12%
54,0–54,9
$2,299 Vol.
26%
55.0–55.9
$6,600 Vol.
28%
56.0–56.9
$125 Vol.
8%
57.0–57.9
$133 Vol.
16%
58.0–58.9
$104 Vol.
10%
59.0+
$90 Vol.
4%
This is a market about the ISM Manufacturing Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) for August 2026, as reported by the Institute for Supply Management (ISM). A reading above 50 indicates expansion in the manufacturing sector relative to the previous month; a reading below 50 indicates contraction.
This market will resolve to the bracket containing the ISM Manufacturing PMI for August 2026 according to the monthly ISM Manufacturing PMI Report On Business.
The resolution source for this market will be the ISM Manufacturing PMI Report On Business released for August 2026 (https://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-reports/reports/ism-report-on-business/), currently scheduled to be released on September 1, 2026, at 10:00 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: although ISM describes the PMI reading using the term "percent" in its official release (e.g., "The Manufacturing PMI registered 52.7 percent"), the PMI is a diffusion index, not a true percentage. For the purposes of this market, the PMI reading will be treated as a plain numerical value, consistent with how the index is universally quoted in financial markets.
Note: The ISM Manufacturing PMI is reported to one decimal point. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market.
If ISM does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open until the scheduled release time of the next ISM Manufacturing PMI report (https://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-reports/reports/rob-report-calendar/). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.Strong July 2026 ISM Manufacturing PMI at 55.6—its highest since May 2022—anchors trader expectations for the August release, with new orders at 56.7, production surging to 58.5, and employment returning to expansion at 52.8 for the first time in over two years. This momentum, fueled by AI-driven investment, front-loaded orders ahead of potential tariffs, and low inventories, supports the closely matched probabilities clustered around 54.0–55.9. Persistent pricing volatility, supply-chain strains from geopolitical tensions, and tariff effects introduce downside risks that cap consensus above 56, while resilient demand indicators limit odds of a sharp pullback below 54. The September 1 release will test whether July’s broad-based gains extend into the second half of the year.
This is a market about the ISM Manufacturing Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) for August 2026, as reported by the Institute for Supply Management (ISM). A reading above 50 indicates expansion in the manufacturing sector relative to the previous month; a reading below 50 indicates contraction.
This market will resolve to the bracket containing the ISM Manufacturing PMI for August 2026 according to the monthly ISM Manufacturing PMI Report On Business.
The resolution source for this market will be the ISM Manufacturing PMI Report On Business released for August 2026 (https://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-reports/reports/ism-report-on-business/), currently scheduled to be released on September 1, 2026, at 10:00 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: although ISM describes the PMI reading using the term "percent" in its official release (e.g., "The Manufacturing PMI registered 52.7 percent"), the PMI is a diffusion index, not a true percentage. For the purposes of this market, the PMI reading will be treated as a plain numerical value, consistent with how the index is universally quoted in financial markets.
Note: The ISM Manufacturing PMI is reported to one decimal point. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market.
If ISM does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open until the scheduled release time of the next ISM Manufacturing PMI report (https://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-reports/reports/rob-report-calendar/). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
This market will resolve to the bracket containing the ISM Manufacturing PMI for August 2026 according to the monthly ISM Manufacturing PMI Report On Business.
The resolution source for this market will be the ISM Manufacturing PMI Report On Business released for August 2026 (https://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-reports/reports/ism-report-on-business/), currently scheduled to be released on September 1, 2026, at 10:00 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: although ISM describes the PMI reading using the term "percent" in its official release (e.g., "The Manufacturing PMI registered 52.7 percent"), the PMI is a diffusion index, not a true percentage. For the purposes of this market, the PMI reading will be treated as a plain numerical value, consistent with how the index is universally quoted in financial markets.
Note: The ISM Manufacturing PMI is reported to one decimal point. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market.
If ISM does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open until the scheduled release time of the next ISM Manufacturing PMI report (https://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-reports/reports/rob-report-calendar/). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
Mercado abierto: Aug 4, 2026, 6:18 PM ET
Volumen
$9,951Fecha de finalización
1 sep 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 4, 2026, 6:18 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This is a market about the ISM Manufacturing Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) for August 2026, as reported by the Institute for Supply Management (ISM). A reading above 50 indicates expansion in the manufacturing sector relative to the previous month; a reading below 50 indicates contraction.
This market will resolve to the bracket containing the ISM Manufacturing PMI for August 2026 according to the monthly ISM Manufacturing PMI Report On Business.
The resolution source for this market will be the ISM Manufacturing PMI Report On Business released for August 2026 (https://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-reports/reports/ism-report-on-business/), currently scheduled to be released on September 1, 2026, at 10:00 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: although ISM describes the PMI reading using the term "percent" in its official release (e.g., "The Manufacturing PMI registered 52.7 percent"), the PMI is a diffusion index, not a true percentage. For the purposes of this market, the PMI reading will be treated as a plain numerical value, consistent with how the index is universally quoted in financial markets.
Note: The ISM Manufacturing PMI is reported to one decimal point. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market.
If ISM does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open until the scheduled release time of the next ISM Manufacturing PMI report (https://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-reports/reports/rob-report-calendar/). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.Strong July 2026 ISM Manufacturing PMI at 55.6—its highest since May 2022—anchors trader expectations for the August release, with new orders at 56.7, production surging to 58.5, and employment returning to expansion at 52.8 for the first time in over two years. This momentum, fueled by AI-driven investment, front-loaded orders ahead of potential tariffs, and low inventories, supports the closely matched probabilities clustered around 54.0–55.9. Persistent pricing volatility, supply-chain strains from geopolitical tensions, and tariff effects introduce downside risks that cap consensus above 56, while resilient demand indicators limit odds of a sharp pullback below 54. The September 1 release will test whether July’s broad-based gains extend into the second half of the year.
This is a market about the ISM Manufacturing Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) for August 2026, as reported by the Institute for Supply Management (ISM). A reading above 50 indicates expansion in the manufacturing sector relative to the previous month; a reading below 50 indicates contraction.
This market will resolve to the bracket containing the ISM Manufacturing PMI for August 2026 according to the monthly ISM Manufacturing PMI Report On Business.
The resolution source for this market will be the ISM Manufacturing PMI Report On Business released for August 2026 (https://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-reports/reports/ism-report-on-business/), currently scheduled to be released on September 1, 2026, at 10:00 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: although ISM describes the PMI reading using the term "percent" in its official release (e.g., "The Manufacturing PMI registered 52.7 percent"), the PMI is a diffusion index, not a true percentage. For the purposes of this market, the PMI reading will be treated as a plain numerical value, consistent with how the index is universally quoted in financial markets.
Note: The ISM Manufacturing PMI is reported to one decimal point. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market.
If ISM does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open until the scheduled release time of the next ISM Manufacturing PMI report (https://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-reports/reports/rob-report-calendar/). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
This market will resolve to the bracket containing the ISM Manufacturing PMI for August 2026 according to the monthly ISM Manufacturing PMI Report On Business.
The resolution source for this market will be the ISM Manufacturing PMI Report On Business released for August 2026 (https://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-reports/reports/ism-report-on-business/), currently scheduled to be released on September 1, 2026, at 10:00 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: although ISM describes the PMI reading using the term "percent" in its official release (e.g., "The Manufacturing PMI registered 52.7 percent"), the PMI is a diffusion index, not a true percentage. For the purposes of this market, the PMI reading will be treated as a plain numerical value, consistent with how the index is universally quoted in financial markets.
Note: The ISM Manufacturing PMI is reported to one decimal point. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market.
If ISM does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open until the scheduled release time of the next ISM Manufacturing PMI report (https://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-reports/reports/rob-report-calendar/). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
Volumen
$9,951Fecha de finalización
1 sep 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 4, 2026, 6:18 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Strong July 2026 ISM Manufacturing PMI at 55.6—its highest since May 2022—anchors trader expectations for the August release, with new orders at 56.7, production surging to 58.5, and employment returning to expansion at 52.8 for the first time in over two years. This momentum, fueled by AI-driven investment, front-loaded orders ahead of potential tariffs, and low inventories, supports the closely matched probabilities clustered around 54.0–55.9. Persistent pricing volatility, supply-chain strains from geopolitical tensions, and tariff effects introduce downside risks that cap consensus above 56, while resilient demand indicators limit odds of a sharp pullback below 54. The September 1 release will test whether July’s broad-based gains extend into the second half of the year.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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