The IA-01 race features a rematch between Republican incumbent Mariannette Miller-Meeks and Democrat Christina Bohannan in a southeastern Iowa district rated a toss-up by nonpartisan forecasters. Miller-Meeks won her June 2026 primary by a comfortable margin after a narrower 2024 victory of just 0.2 points, while Bohannan secured the Democratic nomination with over 80 percent. Recent polling averages show Bohannan ahead by roughly 4–5 points, reflecting the district’s mix of college towns, union households, and suburban voters. Midterm dynamics and Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee targeting contribute to trader consensus favoring a Democratic flip, though the independent candidate and national conditions remain variables that could narrow the gap before November.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoIA-01 Ganador de las elecciones de la Cámara
IA-01 Ganador de las elecciones de la Cámara
NUEVO
NUEVO
4 nov 2026
Partido Demócrata
73%
Partido Republicano
28%
NUEVO
NUEVO
4 nov 2026
Partido Demócrata
$2,597 Vol.
73%
Partido Republicano
$2,390 Vol.
28%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IA-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The IA-01 race features a rematch between Republican incumbent Mariannette Miller-Meeks and Democrat Christina Bohannan in a southeastern Iowa district rated a toss-up by nonpartisan forecasters. Miller-Meeks won her June 2026 primary by a comfortable margin after a narrower 2024 victory of just 0.2 points, while Bohannan secured the Democratic nomination with over 80 percent. Recent polling averages show Bohannan ahead by roughly 4–5 points, reflecting the district’s mix of college towns, union households, and suburban voters. Midterm dynamics and Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee targeting contribute to trader consensus favoring a Democratic flip, though the independent candidate and national conditions remain variables that could narrow the gap before November.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IA-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercado abierto: Dec 16, 2025, 11:57 AM ET
Volumen
$4,987Fecha de finalización
4 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Dec 16, 2025, 11:57 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IA-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The IA-01 race features a rematch between Republican incumbent Mariannette Miller-Meeks and Democrat Christina Bohannan in a southeastern Iowa district rated a toss-up by nonpartisan forecasters. Miller-Meeks won her June 2026 primary by a comfortable margin after a narrower 2024 victory of just 0.2 points, while Bohannan secured the Democratic nomination with over 80 percent. Recent polling averages show Bohannan ahead by roughly 4–5 points, reflecting the district’s mix of college towns, union households, and suburban voters. Midterm dynamics and Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee targeting contribute to trader consensus favoring a Democratic flip, though the independent candidate and national conditions remain variables that could narrow the gap before November.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IA-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volumen
$4,987Fecha de finalización
4 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Dec 16, 2025, 11:57 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The IA-01 race features a rematch between Republican incumbent Mariannette Miller-Meeks and Democrat Christina Bohannan in a southeastern Iowa district rated a toss-up by nonpartisan forecasters. Miller-Meeks won her June 2026 primary by a comfortable margin after a narrower 2024 victory of just 0.2 points, while Bohannan secured the Democratic nomination with over 80 percent. Recent polling averages show Bohannan ahead by roughly 4–5 points, reflecting the district’s mix of college towns, union households, and suburban voters. Midterm dynamics and Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee targeting contribute to trader consensus favoring a Democratic flip, though the independent candidate and national conditions remain variables that could narrow the gap before November.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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