Forecast models from sources like NOAA analogs and regional agencies point to a daily maximum near 30–32°C in Shenzhen on September 14, driven by lingering tropical moisture, variable northeasterly winds, and scattered afternoon showers that limit solar heating. High humidity near 75–85% and cloud cover reduce diurnal peaks compared to clearer September climatology, while any breaks in convection could allow brief warming toward 32–33°C. Trader consensus reflects this narrow range, with 31°C edging ahead amid model spread on precipitation timing and intensity. Updated guidance from the China Meteorological Administration or local observations the morning of the 14th could shift resolution probabilities before markets close.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en Shenzhen el 14 de septiembre?
¿La temperatura más alta en Shenzhen el 14 de septiembre?
31°C 34%
32°C 25%
30°C 22%
33°C 9%
NUEVO
NUEVO
14 sep 2026
25°C o menos
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
4%
29°C
8%
30°C
22%
31°C
34%
32°C
25%
33°C
9%
34°C
2%
35°C o más
2%
31°C 34%
32°C 25%
30°C 22%
33°C 9%
NUEVO
NUEVO
14 sep 2026
25°C o menos
$223 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$223 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$333 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$136 Vol.
4%
29°C
$188 Vol.
8%
30°C
$2,375 Vol.
22%
31°C
$1,497 Vol.
34%
32°C
$823 Vol.
25%
33°C
$273 Vol.
9%
34°C
$275 Vol.
2%
35°C o más
$20 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from sources like NOAA analogs and regional agencies point to a daily maximum near 30–32°C in Shenzhen on September 14, driven by lingering tropical moisture, variable northeasterly winds, and scattered afternoon showers that limit solar heating. High humidity near 75–85% and cloud cover reduce diurnal peaks compared to clearer September climatology, while any breaks in convection could allow brief warming toward 32–33°C. Trader consensus reflects this narrow range, with 31°C edging ahead amid model spread on precipitation timing and intensity. Updated guidance from the China Meteorological Administration or local observations the morning of the 14th could shift resolution probabilities before markets close.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Sep 12, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Volumen
$6,361Fecha de finalización
14 sep 2026Mercado abierto
Sep 12, 2026, 12:58 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgszResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from sources like NOAA analogs and regional agencies point to a daily maximum near 30–32°C in Shenzhen on September 14, driven by lingering tropical moisture, variable northeasterly winds, and scattered afternoon showers that limit solar heating. High humidity near 75–85% and cloud cover reduce diurnal peaks compared to clearer September climatology, while any breaks in convection could allow brief warming toward 32–33°C. Trader consensus reflects this narrow range, with 31°C edging ahead amid model spread on precipitation timing and intensity. Updated guidance from the China Meteorological Administration or local observations the morning of the 14th could shift resolution probabilities before markets close.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$6,361Fecha de finalización
14 sep 2026Mercado abierto
Sep 12, 2026, 12:58 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgszResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from sources like NOAA analogs and regional agencies point to a daily maximum near 30–32°C in Shenzhen on September 14, driven by lingering tropical moisture, variable northeasterly winds, and scattered afternoon showers that limit solar heating. High humidity near 75–85% and cloud cover reduce diurnal peaks compared to clearer September climatology, while any breaks in convection could allow brief warming toward 32–33°C. Trader consensus reflects this narrow range, with 31°C edging ahead amid model spread on precipitation timing and intensity. Updated guidance from the China Meteorological Administration or local observations the morning of the 14th could shift resolution probabilities before markets close.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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