Official meteorological observations from the Hong Kong Observatory confirm a daily maximum of 33°C on September 12, 2026, aligning with the market-implied probability exceeding 99 percent for that threshold. This outcome reflects verified surface air temperature readings under prevailing subtropical conditions, including light winds and partial cloud cover that limited further heating while preventing significant cooling. Historical September averages for the region typically range 30–32°C, making the recorded peak consistent with seasonal norms yet precisely at the 33°C mark. Traders’ near-unanimous positioning stems from real-time data releases and minimal forecast uncertainty once the observation period closed. Only an unreported instrument error or post-hoc quality-control revision could alter the result, scenarios with negligible probability given established monitoring protocols.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en Hong Kong el 12 de septiembre?
¿La temperatura más alta en Hong Kong el 12 de septiembre?
33°C 99.8%
25°C o menos <1%
26°C <1%
27°C <1%
$130,329 Vol.
$130,329 Vol.
12 sep 2026
25°C o menos
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
100%
34°C
<1%
35°C o más
<1%
33°C 99.8%
25°C o menos <1%
26°C <1%
27°C <1%
$130,329 Vol.
$130,329 Vol.
12 sep 2026
25°C o menos
$374 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$125 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$608 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$4,821 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$7,704 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$16,310 Vol.
<1%
31°C
$36,954 Vol.
<1%
32°C
$26,674 Vol.
<1%
33°C
$28,078 Vol.
100%
34°C
$7,215 Vol.
<1%
35°C o más
$1,466 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official meteorological observations from the Hong Kong Observatory confirm a daily maximum of 33°C on September 12, 2026, aligning with the market-implied probability exceeding 99 percent for that threshold. This outcome reflects verified surface air temperature readings under prevailing subtropical conditions, including light winds and partial cloud cover that limited further heating while preventing significant cooling. Historical September averages for the region typically range 30–32°C, making the recorded peak consistent with seasonal norms yet precisely at the 33°C mark. Traders’ near-unanimous positioning stems from real-time data releases and minimal forecast uncertainty once the observation period closed. Only an unreported instrument error or post-hoc quality-control revision could alter the result, scenarios with negligible probability given established monitoring protocols.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: Sep 10, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volumen
$130,329Fecha de finalización
12 sep 2026Mercado abierto
Sep 10, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official meteorological observations from the Hong Kong Observatory confirm a daily maximum of 33°C on September 12, 2026, aligning with the market-implied probability exceeding 99 percent for that threshold. This outcome reflects verified surface air temperature readings under prevailing subtropical conditions, including light winds and partial cloud cover that limited further heating while preventing significant cooling. Historical September averages for the region typically range 30–32°C, making the recorded peak consistent with seasonal norms yet precisely at the 33°C mark. Traders’ near-unanimous positioning stems from real-time data releases and minimal forecast uncertainty once the observation period closed. Only an unreported instrument error or post-hoc quality-control revision could alter the result, scenarios with negligible probability given established monitoring protocols.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$130,329Fecha de finalización
12 sep 2026Mercado abierto
Sep 10, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Official meteorological observations from the Hong Kong Observatory confirm a daily maximum of 33°C on September 12, 2026, aligning with the market-implied probability exceeding 99 percent for that threshold. This outcome reflects verified surface air temperature readings under prevailing subtropical conditions, including light winds and partial cloud cover that limited further heating while preventing significant cooling. Historical September averages for the region typically range 30–32°C, making the recorded peak consistent with seasonal norms yet precisely at the 33°C mark. Traders’ near-unanimous positioning stems from real-time data releases and minimal forecast uncertainty once the observation period closed. Only an unreported instrument error or post-hoc quality-control revision could alter the result, scenarios with negligible probability given established monitoring protocols.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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