Recent official forecasts from sources including the China Meteorological Administration and international models converge on overnight lows of 23–26°C in Shenzhen for September 14, driven by persistent subtropical moisture, light northeasterly winds, and variable cloud cover that limits radiative cooling overnight. High humidity near 85–95% and scattered showers or thunderstorms reduce the potential for sharp temperature drops, while daytime heating to around 30–33°C sets a warm baseline. Market odds cluster tightly around 24–26°C because model runs show only modest differences in the timing and intensity of any clearing or rainfall, with historical September minima averaging near 24°C providing additional context. New observational data and updated model guidance expected overnight will likely refine these probabilities.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿Temperatura más baja en Shenzhen el 14 de septiembre?
¿Temperatura más baja en Shenzhen el 14 de septiembre?
31°C o superior 61%
22°C 39%
23°C 37%
21°C o menos 31%
NUEVO
NUEVO
14 sep 2026
21°C o menos
31%
22°C
39%
23°C
37%
24°C
26%
25°C
29%
26°C
24%
27°C
21%
28°C
9%
29°C
1%
30°C
13%
31°C o superior
61%
31°C o superior 61%
22°C 39%
23°C 37%
21°C o menos 31%
NUEVO
NUEVO
14 sep 2026
21°C o menos
$0 Vol.
31%
22°C
$0 Vol.
39%
23°C
$0 Vol.
37%
24°C
$0 Vol.
26%
25°C
$0 Vol.
29%
26°C
$38 Vol.
24%
27°C
$0 Vol.
21%
28°C
$0 Vol.
9%
29°C
$0 Vol.
1%
30°C
$0 Vol.
13%
31°C o superior
$0 Vol.
61%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official forecasts from sources including the China Meteorological Administration and international models converge on overnight lows of 23–26°C in Shenzhen for September 14, driven by persistent subtropical moisture, light northeasterly winds, and variable cloud cover that limits radiative cooling overnight. High humidity near 85–95% and scattered showers or thunderstorms reduce the potential for sharp temperature drops, while daytime heating to around 30–33°C sets a warm baseline. Market odds cluster tightly around 24–26°C because model runs show only modest differences in the timing and intensity of any clearing or rainfall, with historical September minima averaging near 24°C providing additional context. New observational data and updated model guidance expected overnight will likely refine these probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Sep 12, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Volumen
$38Fecha de finalización
14 sep 2026Mercado abierto
Sep 12, 2026, 12:31 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgszResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official forecasts from sources including the China Meteorological Administration and international models converge on overnight lows of 23–26°C in Shenzhen for September 14, driven by persistent subtropical moisture, light northeasterly winds, and variable cloud cover that limits radiative cooling overnight. High humidity near 85–95% and scattered showers or thunderstorms reduce the potential for sharp temperature drops, while daytime heating to around 30–33°C sets a warm baseline. Market odds cluster tightly around 24–26°C because model runs show only modest differences in the timing and intensity of any clearing or rainfall, with historical September minima averaging near 24°C providing additional context. New observational data and updated model guidance expected overnight will likely refine these probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$38Fecha de finalización
14 sep 2026Mercado abierto
Sep 12, 2026, 12:31 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgszResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent official forecasts from sources including the China Meteorological Administration and international models converge on overnight lows of 23–26°C in Shenzhen for September 14, driven by persistent subtropical moisture, light northeasterly winds, and variable cloud cover that limits radiative cooling overnight. High humidity near 85–95% and scattered showers or thunderstorms reduce the potential for sharp temperature drops, while daytime heating to around 30–33°C sets a warm baseline. Market odds cluster tightly around 24–26°C because model runs show only modest differences in the timing and intensity of any clearing or rainfall, with historical September minima averaging near 24°C providing additional context. New observational data and updated model guidance expected overnight will likely refine these probabilities.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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