Trader consensus heavily favors a 24°C high in São Paulo on August 23 due to stable winter high-pressure conditions typical of the region's dry season, with official forecasts from agencies like INMET and CPTEC aligning closely with the long-term August average of 23–24°C. Recent model runs show minimal frontal activity or cloud cover that could suppress daytime warming, keeping maximum temperatures within a narrow range around this value. Historical climatology indicates low day-to-day variability during this period, supporting the market's near-certainty. A sudden shift in steering patterns or an unforecasted cold surge could still push readings a degree lower or higher, though current observational data and ensemble guidance make such deviations improbable before resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en Sao Paulo el 23 de agosto?
¿La temperatura más alta en Sao Paulo el 23 de agosto?
24°C 99.6%
27°C <1%
26°C <1%
25°C <1%
$11,744 Vol.
$11,744 Vol.
23 ago 2026
20°C or below
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
100%
25°C
<1%
26°C
1%
27°C
1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C or higher
<1%
24°C 99.6%
27°C <1%
26°C <1%
25°C <1%
$11,744 Vol.
$11,744 Vol.
23 ago 2026
20°C or below
$430 Vol.
<1%
21°C
$703 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$1,466 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$2,824 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$1,767 Vol.
100%
25°C
$1,797 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$954 Vol.
1%
27°C
$255 Vol.
1%
28°C
$312 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$300 Vol.
<1%
30°C or higher
$936 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus heavily favors a 24°C high in São Paulo on August 23 due to stable winter high-pressure conditions typical of the region's dry season, with official forecasts from agencies like INMET and CPTEC aligning closely with the long-term August average of 23–24°C. Recent model runs show minimal frontal activity or cloud cover that could suppress daytime warming, keeping maximum temperatures within a narrow range around this value. Historical climatology indicates low day-to-day variability during this period, supporting the market's near-certainty. A sudden shift in steering patterns or an unforecasted cold surge could still push readings a degree lower or higher, though current observational data and ensemble guidance make such deviations improbable before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Aug 21, 2026, 11:55 PM ET
Volumen
$11,744Fecha de finalización
23 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 21, 2026, 11:55 PM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgrResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus heavily favors a 24°C high in São Paulo on August 23 due to stable winter high-pressure conditions typical of the region's dry season, with official forecasts from agencies like INMET and CPTEC aligning closely with the long-term August average of 23–24°C. Recent model runs show minimal frontal activity or cloud cover that could suppress daytime warming, keeping maximum temperatures within a narrow range around this value. Historical climatology indicates low day-to-day variability during this period, supporting the market's near-certainty. A sudden shift in steering patterns or an unforecasted cold surge could still push readings a degree lower or higher, though current observational data and ensemble guidance make such deviations improbable before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$11,744Fecha de finalización
23 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 21, 2026, 11:55 PM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgrResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus heavily favors a 24°C high in São Paulo on August 23 due to stable winter high-pressure conditions typical of the region's dry season, with official forecasts from agencies like INMET and CPTEC aligning closely with the long-term August average of 23–24°C. Recent model runs show minimal frontal activity or cloud cover that could suppress daytime warming, keeping maximum temperatures within a narrow range around this value. Historical climatology indicates low day-to-day variability during this period, supporting the market's near-certainty. A sudden shift in steering patterns or an unforecasted cold surge could still push readings a degree lower or higher, though current observational data and ensemble guidance make such deviations improbable before resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Preguntas frecuentes