Recent ensemble forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and global models converge on daytime maxima of 31–33°C for coastal Qingdao on August 18, driven by moderate northeasterly sea breezes from the Yellow Sea that enhance mixing and limit afternoon heating, alongside persistent cloud cover reducing solar insolation. These conditions align with mid-August climatology, where average highs reach 29–31°C amid high humidity, positioning 33°C as the modal outcome with 50.5% market-implied probability. Updated model runs show limited potential for brief clearing that could push readings to 34°C (18%), while stronger onshore flow keeps downside risk toward 32°C (25.5%) elevated. Traders monitor real-time CMA observations and afternoon model updates through the resolution window.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en Qingdao el 18 de agosto?
¿La temperatura más alta en Qingdao el 18 de agosto?
33°C 57%
32°C 25%
34°C 20%
31°C 4%
NUEVO
$12,531 Vol.
NUEVO
$12,531 Vol.
18 ago 2026
27°C o menos
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
1%
31°C
4%
32°C
25%
33°C
49%
34°C
21%
35°C
4%
36°C
<1%
37°C o más
<1%
33°C 57%
32°C 25%
34°C 20%
31°C 4%
NUEVO
$12,531 Vol.
NUEVO
$12,531 Vol.
18 ago 2026
27°C o menos
$277 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$182 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$821 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$1,151 Vol.
1%
31°C
$1,386 Vol.
4%
32°C
$984 Vol.
25%
33°C
$2,941 Vol.
49%
34°C
$1,625 Vol.
21%
35°C
$890 Vol.
4%
36°C
$1,696 Vol.
<1%
37°C o más
$580 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and global models converge on daytime maxima of 31–33°C for coastal Qingdao on August 18, driven by moderate northeasterly sea breezes from the Yellow Sea that enhance mixing and limit afternoon heating, alongside persistent cloud cover reducing solar insolation. These conditions align with mid-August climatology, where average highs reach 29–31°C amid high humidity, positioning 33°C as the modal outcome with 50.5% market-implied probability. Updated model runs show limited potential for brief clearing that could push readings to 34°C (18%), while stronger onshore flow keeps downside risk toward 32°C (25.5%) elevated. Traders monitor real-time CMA observations and afternoon model updates through the resolution window.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Aug 16, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Volumen
$12,531Fecha de finalización
18 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 16, 2026, 12:58 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQDResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and global models converge on daytime maxima of 31–33°C for coastal Qingdao on August 18, driven by moderate northeasterly sea breezes from the Yellow Sea that enhance mixing and limit afternoon heating, alongside persistent cloud cover reducing solar insolation. These conditions align with mid-August climatology, where average highs reach 29–31°C amid high humidity, positioning 33°C as the modal outcome with 50.5% market-implied probability. Updated model runs show limited potential for brief clearing that could push readings to 34°C (18%), while stronger onshore flow keeps downside risk toward 32°C (25.5%) elevated. Traders monitor real-time CMA observations and afternoon model updates through the resolution window.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$12,531Fecha de finalización
18 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 16, 2026, 12:58 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent ensemble forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and global models converge on daytime maxima of 31–33°C for coastal Qingdao on August 18, driven by moderate northeasterly sea breezes from the Yellow Sea that enhance mixing and limit afternoon heating, alongside persistent cloud cover reducing solar insolation. These conditions align with mid-August climatology, where average highs reach 29–31°C amid high humidity, positioning 33°C as the modal outcome with 50.5% market-implied probability. Updated model runs show limited potential for brief clearing that could push readings to 34°C (18%), while stronger onshore flow keeps downside risk toward 32°C (25.5%) elevated. Traders monitor real-time CMA observations and afternoon model updates through the resolution window.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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