Recent forecast model runs from major centers indicate peak temperatures in Mexico City on August 15 centering on 26–27°C, driving the closely matched market-implied probabilities of 34% and 37%. An ongoing El Niño episode contributes to above-average warmth across the region, while Mexico City's high elevation, urban heat island effect, and typical afternoon convective activity introduce variability in maximum readings. Minor differences in projected cloud cover, humidity levels, and boundary-layer winds can shift the daily high by 1°C between ensemble members, sustaining uncertainty ahead of final observational data from local meteorological stations.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en la Ciudad de México el 15 de agosto?
¿La temperatura más alta en la Ciudad de México el 15 de agosto?
27°C 37%
26°C 34%
25°C 10%
28°C 10%
NUEVO
NUEVO
15 ago 2026
20°C o menos
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
3%
24°C
6%
25°C
10%
26°C
34%
27°C
37%
28°C
10%
29°C
3%
30°C o más
2%
27°C 37%
26°C 34%
25°C 10%
28°C 10%
NUEVO
NUEVO
15 ago 2026
20°C o menos
$124 Vol.
<1%
21°C
$24 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$24 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$92 Vol.
3%
24°C
$58 Vol.
6%
25°C
$154 Vol.
10%
26°C
$50 Vol.
34%
27°C
$661 Vol.
37%
28°C
$49 Vol.
10%
29°C
$14 Vol.
3%
30°C o más
$25 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast model runs from major centers indicate peak temperatures in Mexico City on August 15 centering on 26–27°C, driving the closely matched market-implied probabilities of 34% and 37%. An ongoing El Niño episode contributes to above-average warmth across the region, while Mexico City's high elevation, urban heat island effect, and typical afternoon convective activity introduce variability in maximum readings. Minor differences in projected cloud cover, humidity levels, and boundary-layer winds can shift the daily high by 1°C between ensemble members, sustaining uncertainty ahead of final observational data from local meteorological stations.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Aug 13, 2026, 8:57 PM ET
Volumen
$1,275Fecha de finalización
15 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 13, 2026, 8:57 PM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMXResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast model runs from major centers indicate peak temperatures in Mexico City on August 15 centering on 26–27°C, driving the closely matched market-implied probabilities of 34% and 37%. An ongoing El Niño episode contributes to above-average warmth across the region, while Mexico City's high elevation, urban heat island effect, and typical afternoon convective activity introduce variability in maximum readings. Minor differences in projected cloud cover, humidity levels, and boundary-layer winds can shift the daily high by 1°C between ensemble members, sustaining uncertainty ahead of final observational data from local meteorological stations.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$1,275Fecha de finalización
15 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 13, 2026, 8:57 PM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMXResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast model runs from major centers indicate peak temperatures in Mexico City on August 15 centering on 26–27°C, driving the closely matched market-implied probabilities of 34% and 37%. An ongoing El Niño episode contributes to above-average warmth across the region, while Mexico City's high elevation, urban heat island effect, and typical afternoon convective activity introduce variability in maximum readings. Minor differences in projected cloud cover, humidity levels, and boundary-layer winds can shift the daily high by 1°C between ensemble members, sustaining uncertainty ahead of final observational data from local meteorological stations.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Preguntas frecuentes