Consensus forecasts from the National Weather Service and private models indicate a Dallas high near 101°F on August 15 under persistent high pressure, sunny skies, and moderate southerly flow, aligning with the market-implied 49% probability for 100-101°F. Mid-August climatology supports strong daytime heating with typical highs in the mid-90s to low 100s, while current dry conditions and heat indices near 107°F reinforce trader confidence in this range over cooler or extreme outcomes. Model consensus shows limited spread, though minor steering variations or afternoon convection could shift the official observation by 1–2°F before resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en Dallas el 15 de agosto?
¿La temperatura más alta en Dallas el 15 de agosto?
100-101°F 53%
98-99°F 28%
102-103°F 16%
104-105°F 5%
NUEVO
NUEVO
15 ago 2026
93°F or below
<1%
94-95°F
1%
96-97°F
2%
98-99°F
28%
100-101°F
53%
102-103°F
16%
104-105°F
5%
106-107°F
1%
108-109°F
<1%
110-111°F
<1%
112°F or higher
<1%
100-101°F 53%
98-99°F 28%
102-103°F 16%
104-105°F 5%
NUEVO
NUEVO
15 ago 2026
93°F or below
$143 Vol.
<1%
94-95°F
$656 Vol.
1%
96-97°F
$280 Vol.
2%
98-99°F
$333 Vol.
28%
100-101°F
$4,381 Vol.
53%
102-103°F
$212 Vol.
16%
104-105°F
$195 Vol.
5%
106-107°F
$25 Vol.
1%
108-109°F
$220 Vol.
<1%
110-111°F
$21 Vol.
<1%
112°F or higher
$185 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Dallas Love Field Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Consensus forecasts from the National Weather Service and private models indicate a Dallas high near 101°F on August 15 under persistent high pressure, sunny skies, and moderate southerly flow, aligning with the market-implied 49% probability for 100-101°F. Mid-August climatology supports strong daytime heating with typical highs in the mid-90s to low 100s, while current dry conditions and heat indices near 107°F reinforce trader confidence in this range over cooler or extreme outcomes. Model consensus shows limited spread, though minor steering variations or afternoon convection could shift the official observation by 1–2°F before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Dallas Love Field Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Dallas Love Field Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Aug 13, 2026, 8:56 PM ET
Volumen
$6,652Fecha de finalización
15 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 13, 2026, 8:56 PM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDALResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Dallas Love Field Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Consensus forecasts from the National Weather Service and private models indicate a Dallas high near 101°F on August 15 under persistent high pressure, sunny skies, and moderate southerly flow, aligning with the market-implied 49% probability for 100-101°F. Mid-August climatology supports strong daytime heating with typical highs in the mid-90s to low 100s, while current dry conditions and heat indices near 107°F reinforce trader confidence in this range over cooler or extreme outcomes. Model consensus shows limited spread, though minor steering variations or afternoon convection could shift the official observation by 1–2°F before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Dallas Love Field Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Dallas Love Field Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$6,652Fecha de finalización
15 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 13, 2026, 8:56 PM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDALResolver
0x69c47De9D...Consensus forecasts from the National Weather Service and private models indicate a Dallas high near 101°F on August 15 under persistent high pressure, sunny skies, and moderate southerly flow, aligning with the market-implied 49% probability for 100-101°F. Mid-August climatology supports strong daytime heating with typical highs in the mid-90s to low 100s, while current dry conditions and heat indices near 107°F reinforce trader confidence in this range over cooler or extreme outcomes. Model consensus shows limited spread, though minor steering variations or afternoon convection could shift the official observation by 1–2°F before resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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