Recent National Weather Service and international model consensus for Shanghai indicate overnight lows near 25–26°C on August 16, driven by typical mid-August subtropical conditions with high humidity, light winds, and possible early thunderstorms that limit radiational cooling. These values align closely with climatological averages (roughly 25–26°C) and the latest extended forecasts showing highs around 30–34°C under mostly sunny skies after any morning activity. Traders assign the highest probabilities to 25°C and 26°C because model runs show limited day-to-day variability absent a stronger cold front or typhoon influence, while lower probabilities for 24°C or below reflect the urban heat-island effect and seasonal baseline that make sharper drops unlikely this close to peak summer warmth. Updated model guidance expected within the next 24–48 hours could refine the exact minimum.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿Temperatura más baja en Shanghái el 16 de agosto?
¿Temperatura más baja en Shanghái el 16 de agosto?
26°C 52%
25°C 30%
27°C 15%
24°C 7%
NUEVO
NUEVO
16 ago 2026
20°C o menos
1%
21°C
1%
22°C
5%
23°C
7%
24°C
7%
25°C
30%
26°C
36%
27°C
15%
28°C
7%
29°C
1%
30°C o más
1%
26°C 52%
25°C 30%
27°C 15%
24°C 7%
NUEVO
NUEVO
16 ago 2026
20°C o menos
$22 Vol.
1%
21°C
$27 Vol.
1%
22°C
$27 Vol.
5%
23°C
$0 Vol.
7%
24°C
$41 Vol.
7%
25°C
$0 Vol.
30%
26°C
$17 Vol.
36%
27°C
$16 Vol.
15%
28°C
$0 Vol.
7%
29°C
$27 Vol.
1%
30°C o más
$27 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and international model consensus for Shanghai indicate overnight lows near 25–26°C on August 16, driven by typical mid-August subtropical conditions with high humidity, light winds, and possible early thunderstorms that limit radiational cooling. These values align closely with climatological averages (roughly 25–26°C) and the latest extended forecasts showing highs around 30–34°C under mostly sunny skies after any morning activity. Traders assign the highest probabilities to 25°C and 26°C because model runs show limited day-to-day variability absent a stronger cold front or typhoon influence, while lower probabilities for 24°C or below reflect the urban heat-island effect and seasonal baseline that make sharper drops unlikely this close to peak summer warmth. Updated model guidance expected within the next 24–48 hours could refine the exact minimum.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Aug 14, 2026, 12:28 AM ET
Volumen
$204Fecha de finalización
16 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 14, 2026, 12:28 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and international model consensus for Shanghai indicate overnight lows near 25–26°C on August 16, driven by typical mid-August subtropical conditions with high humidity, light winds, and possible early thunderstorms that limit radiational cooling. These values align closely with climatological averages (roughly 25–26°C) and the latest extended forecasts showing highs around 30–34°C under mostly sunny skies after any morning activity. Traders assign the highest probabilities to 25°C and 26°C because model runs show limited day-to-day variability absent a stronger cold front or typhoon influence, while lower probabilities for 24°C or below reflect the urban heat-island effect and seasonal baseline that make sharper drops unlikely this close to peak summer warmth. Updated model guidance expected within the next 24–48 hours could refine the exact minimum.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$204Fecha de finalización
16 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 14, 2026, 12:28 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent National Weather Service and international model consensus for Shanghai indicate overnight lows near 25–26°C on August 16, driven by typical mid-August subtropical conditions with high humidity, light winds, and possible early thunderstorms that limit radiational cooling. These values align closely with climatological averages (roughly 25–26°C) and the latest extended forecasts showing highs around 30–34°C under mostly sunny skies after any morning activity. Traders assign the highest probabilities to 25°C and 26°C because model runs show limited day-to-day variability absent a stronger cold front or typhoon influence, while lower probabilities for 24°C or below reflect the urban heat-island effect and seasonal baseline that make sharper drops unlikely this close to peak summer warmth. Updated model guidance expected within the next 24–48 hours could refine the exact minimum.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Preguntas frecuentes