Traders are positioning around 82–83°F for Denver’s August 15 high, aligning with National Weather Service guidance of a near-84°F maximum under partly sunny skies and a 70% chance of thunderstorms after 3 p.m. that typically limit afternoon heating through increased cloud cover and evaporative cooling. Recent model consensus from GFS and ECMWF shows persistent monsoon moisture sustaining instability across the Front Range, following hotter early-August conditions, while climatological averages near 88°F underscore how storm timing can shave several degrees from peak readings. Resolution hinges on precise storm initiation and coverage, with updated NWS discussions and hourly model runs expected to drive any late shifts in implied probabilities.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en Denver el 15 de agosto?
¿La temperatura más alta en Denver el 15 de agosto?
82-83°F 36%
80-81°F 31%
84-85°F 16%
78-79°F 7%
NUEVO
NUEVO
15 ago 2026
73°F o menos
1%
74-75°F
1%
76-77°F
4%
78-79°F
7%
80-81°F
31%
82-83°F
36%
84-85°F
16%
86-87°F
4%
88-89°F
1%
90-91°F
<1%
92°F o más
<1%
82-83°F 36%
80-81°F 31%
84-85°F 16%
78-79°F 7%
NUEVO
NUEVO
15 ago 2026
73°F o menos
$147 Vol.
1%
74-75°F
$85 Vol.
1%
76-77°F
$321 Vol.
4%
78-79°F
$156 Vol.
7%
80-81°F
$90 Vol.
31%
82-83°F
$113 Vol.
36%
84-85°F
$373 Vol.
16%
86-87°F
$179 Vol.
4%
88-89°F
$75 Vol.
1%
90-91°F
$102 Vol.
<1%
92°F o más
$291 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Buckley Space Force Base Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders are positioning around 82–83°F for Denver’s August 15 high, aligning with National Weather Service guidance of a near-84°F maximum under partly sunny skies and a 70% chance of thunderstorms after 3 p.m. that typically limit afternoon heating through increased cloud cover and evaporative cooling. Recent model consensus from GFS and ECMWF shows persistent monsoon moisture sustaining instability across the Front Range, following hotter early-August conditions, while climatological averages near 88°F underscore how storm timing can shave several degrees from peak readings. Resolution hinges on precise storm initiation and coverage, with updated NWS discussions and hourly model runs expected to drive any late shifts in implied probabilities.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Buckley Space Force Base Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Buckley Space Force Base Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Aug 13, 2026, 8:56 PM ET
Volumen
$1,933Fecha de finalización
15 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 13, 2026, 8:56 PM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKFResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Buckley Space Force Base Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders are positioning around 82–83°F for Denver’s August 15 high, aligning with National Weather Service guidance of a near-84°F maximum under partly sunny skies and a 70% chance of thunderstorms after 3 p.m. that typically limit afternoon heating through increased cloud cover and evaporative cooling. Recent model consensus from GFS and ECMWF shows persistent monsoon moisture sustaining instability across the Front Range, following hotter early-August conditions, while climatological averages near 88°F underscore how storm timing can shave several degrees from peak readings. Resolution hinges on precise storm initiation and coverage, with updated NWS discussions and hourly model runs expected to drive any late shifts in implied probabilities.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Buckley Space Force Base Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Buckley Space Force Base Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$1,933Fecha de finalización
15 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 13, 2026, 8:56 PM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKFResolver
0x69c47De9D...Traders are positioning around 82–83°F for Denver’s August 15 high, aligning with National Weather Service guidance of a near-84°F maximum under partly sunny skies and a 70% chance of thunderstorms after 3 p.m. that typically limit afternoon heating through increased cloud cover and evaporative cooling. Recent model consensus from GFS and ECMWF shows persistent monsoon moisture sustaining instability across the Front Range, following hotter early-August conditions, while climatological averages near 88°F underscore how storm timing can shave several degrees from peak readings. Resolution hinges on precise storm initiation and coverage, with updated NWS discussions and hourly model runs expected to drive any late shifts in implied probabilities.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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