Recent official forecasts from the Servicio Meteorológico Nacional and global models indicate a maximum temperature of 15–16°C for Buenos Aires on August 15, driven by persistent cool southerly flow, variable cloud cover, and limited daytime heating under stable post-frontal conditions typical of mid-August in the region. Ensemble guidance shows low potential for significant warming, with historical August averages around 15–16°C providing context for the current setup. Traders have positioned 16°C as the modal outcome at 47% implied probability because models show minimal upside risk from advection or insolation changes before resolution. Fresh model runs and any morning observations could refine the exact peak, particularly if winds shift or clearing accelerates.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿Temperatura más alta en Buenos Aires el 15 de agosto?
¿Temperatura más alta en Buenos Aires el 15 de agosto?
16°C 47%
17°C 22%
15°C 19%
18°C 6%
NUEVO
NUEVO
15 ago 2026
12°C or below
1%
13°C
3%
14°C
5%
15°C
19%
16°C
47%
17°C
22%
18°C
6%
19°C
2%
20°C
1%
21°C
<1%
22°C or higher
<1%
16°C 47%
17°C 22%
15°C 19%
18°C 6%
NUEVO
NUEVO
15 ago 2026
12°C or below
$78 Vol.
1%
13°C
$346 Vol.
3%
14°C
$91 Vol.
5%
15°C
$200 Vol.
19%
16°C
$2,097 Vol.
47%
17°C
$158 Vol.
22%
18°C
$16 Vol.
6%
19°C
$63 Vol.
2%
20°C
$42 Vol.
1%
21°C
$16 Vol.
<1%
22°C or higher
$80 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official forecasts from the Servicio Meteorológico Nacional and global models indicate a maximum temperature of 15–16°C for Buenos Aires on August 15, driven by persistent cool southerly flow, variable cloud cover, and limited daytime heating under stable post-frontal conditions typical of mid-August in the region. Ensemble guidance shows low potential for significant warming, with historical August averages around 15–16°C providing context for the current setup. Traders have positioned 16°C as the modal outcome at 47% implied probability because models show minimal upside risk from advection or insolation changes before resolution. Fresh model runs and any morning observations could refine the exact peak, particularly if winds shift or clearing accelerates.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Aug 13, 2026, 8:55 PM ET
Volumen
$3,188Fecha de finalización
15 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 13, 2026, 8:55 PM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official forecasts from the Servicio Meteorológico Nacional and global models indicate a maximum temperature of 15–16°C for Buenos Aires on August 15, driven by persistent cool southerly flow, variable cloud cover, and limited daytime heating under stable post-frontal conditions typical of mid-August in the region. Ensemble guidance shows low potential for significant warming, with historical August averages around 15–16°C providing context for the current setup. Traders have positioned 16°C as the modal outcome at 47% implied probability because models show minimal upside risk from advection or insolation changes before resolution. Fresh model runs and any morning observations could refine the exact peak, particularly if winds shift or clearing accelerates.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$3,188Fecha de finalización
15 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 13, 2026, 8:55 PM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent official forecasts from the Servicio Meteorológico Nacional and global models indicate a maximum temperature of 15–16°C for Buenos Aires on August 15, driven by persistent cool southerly flow, variable cloud cover, and limited daytime heating under stable post-frontal conditions typical of mid-August in the region. Ensemble guidance shows low potential for significant warming, with historical August averages around 15–16°C providing context for the current setup. Traders have positioned 16°C as the modal outcome at 47% implied probability because models show minimal upside risk from advection or insolation changes before resolution. Fresh model runs and any morning observations could refine the exact peak, particularly if winds shift or clearing accelerates.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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