**Forecast models and official guidance from AEMET point to a stable high-pressure pattern over central Spain, delivering clear skies and light southwesterly winds on September 8 that favor strong daytime solar heating in Madrid.** Afternoon temperatures are expected to peak near 34–35 °C, consistent with ensemble runs from ECMWF and GFS showing limited spread around this range and minimal cloud cover or moisture to moderate insolation. This aligns with the market’s heavy weighting toward 35 °C (52 %) and 36 °C (38 %), reflecting trader assessment of the most probable outcomes under current steering patterns and thermal profiles. Historical September maxima in Madrid average around 28 °C, so the elevated baseline reflects the lingering warm anomaly, though the narrow probability distribution on extremes indicates high model consensus with little room for rapid intensification or cooling shifts before resolution. Updated AEMET briefings and next model cycles remain the key near-term catalysts.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en Madrid el 8 de septiembre?
¿La temperatura más alta en Madrid el 8 de septiembre?
35°C 52%
36°C 38%
34°C 8%
37°C 4%
NUEVO
NUEVO
8 sep 2026
31°C o menos
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
8%
35°C
52%
36°C
38%
37°C
4%
38°C
1%
39°C
<1%
40°C
<1%
41°C o más
<1%
35°C 52%
36°C 38%
34°C 8%
37°C 4%
NUEVO
NUEVO
8 sep 2026
31°C o menos
$121 Vol.
<1%
32°C
$121 Vol.
<1%
33°C
$115 Vol.
<1%
34°C
$650 Vol.
8%
35°C
$700 Vol.
52%
36°C
$888 Vol.
38%
37°C
$465 Vol.
4%
38°C
$296 Vol.
1%
39°C
$126 Vol.
<1%
40°C
$492 Vol.
<1%
41°C o más
$355 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast models and official guidance from AEMET point to a stable high-pressure pattern over central Spain, delivering clear skies and light southwesterly winds on September 8 that favor strong daytime solar heating in Madrid.** Afternoon temperatures are expected to peak near 34–35 °C, consistent with ensemble runs from ECMWF and GFS showing limited spread around this range and minimal cloud cover or moisture to moderate insolation. This aligns with the market’s heavy weighting toward 35 °C (52 %) and 36 °C (38 %), reflecting trader assessment of the most probable outcomes under current steering patterns and thermal profiles. Historical September maxima in Madrid average around 28 °C, so the elevated baseline reflects the lingering warm anomaly, though the narrow probability distribution on extremes indicates high model consensus with little room for rapid intensification or cooling shifts before resolution. Updated AEMET briefings and next model cycles remain the key near-term catalysts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Sep 6, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Volumen
$4,329Fecha de finalización
8 sep 2026Mercado abierto
Sep 6, 2026, 12:57 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemdResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast models and official guidance from AEMET point to a stable high-pressure pattern over central Spain, delivering clear skies and light southwesterly winds on September 8 that favor strong daytime solar heating in Madrid.** Afternoon temperatures are expected to peak near 34–35 °C, consistent with ensemble runs from ECMWF and GFS showing limited spread around this range and minimal cloud cover or moisture to moderate insolation. This aligns with the market’s heavy weighting toward 35 °C (52 %) and 36 °C (38 %), reflecting trader assessment of the most probable outcomes under current steering patterns and thermal profiles. Historical September maxima in Madrid average around 28 °C, so the elevated baseline reflects the lingering warm anomaly, though the narrow probability distribution on extremes indicates high model consensus with little room for rapid intensification or cooling shifts before resolution. Updated AEMET briefings and next model cycles remain the key near-term catalysts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$4,329Fecha de finalización
8 sep 2026Mercado abierto
Sep 6, 2026, 12:57 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemdResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Forecast models and official guidance from AEMET point to a stable high-pressure pattern over central Spain, delivering clear skies and light southwesterly winds on September 8 that favor strong daytime solar heating in Madrid.** Afternoon temperatures are expected to peak near 34–35 °C, consistent with ensemble runs from ECMWF and GFS showing limited spread around this range and minimal cloud cover or moisture to moderate insolation. This aligns with the market’s heavy weighting toward 35 °C (52 %) and 36 °C (38 %), reflecting trader assessment of the most probable outcomes under current steering patterns and thermal profiles. Historical September maxima in Madrid average around 28 °C, so the elevated baseline reflects the lingering warm anomaly, though the narrow probability distribution on extremes indicates high model consensus with little room for rapid intensification or cooling shifts before resolution. Updated AEMET briefings and next model cycles remain the key near-term catalysts.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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