The close clustering of market-implied odds around 31–33°C for Kuala Lumpur’s August 19 maximum reflects model uncertainty in the final 24–48 hours of the forecast period. Official guidance from the Malaysian Meteorological Department and global ensembles (ECMWF, GFS) shows a typical southwest-monsoon pattern with light winds, high humidity near 80 %, and scattered afternoon convection that can either suppress or enhance peak readings by 1–2 °C. Urban heat-island effects around the city center add further variability, while climatological baselines for mid-August place the long-term average high at approximately 32 °C. Traders are therefore weighting the most recent model runs and any updated surface observations expected before local midnight.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en Kuala Lumpur el 19 de agosto?
¿La temperatura más alta en Kuala Lumpur el 19 de agosto?
32°C 39%
33°C 32%
31°C 20%
34°C 6%
NUEVO
NUEVO
19 ago 2026
26°C o menos
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
1%
30°C
6%
31°C
20%
32°C
39%
33°C
32%
34°C
6%
35°C
3%
36°C o más
<1%
32°C 39%
33°C 32%
31°C 20%
34°C 6%
NUEVO
NUEVO
19 ago 2026
26°C o menos
$186 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$33 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$202 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$114 Vol.
1%
30°C
$206 Vol.
6%
31°C
$272 Vol.
20%
32°C
$319 Vol.
39%
33°C
$373 Vol.
32%
34°C
$367 Vol.
6%
35°C
$137 Vol.
3%
36°C o más
$202 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Kuala Lumpur Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Kuala Lumpur Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/my/sepang-district/WMKK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.The close clustering of market-implied odds around 31–33°C for Kuala Lumpur’s August 19 maximum reflects model uncertainty in the final 24–48 hours of the forecast period. Official guidance from the Malaysian Meteorological Department and global ensembles (ECMWF, GFS) shows a typical southwest-monsoon pattern with light winds, high humidity near 80 %, and scattered afternoon convection that can either suppress or enhance peak readings by 1–2 °C. Urban heat-island effects around the city center add further variability, while climatological baselines for mid-August place the long-term average high at approximately 32 °C. Traders are therefore weighting the most recent model runs and any updated surface observations expected before local midnight.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Kuala Lumpur Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Kuala Lumpur Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/my/sepang-district/WMKK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Kuala Lumpur Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Kuala Lumpur Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/my/sepang-district/WMKK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Aug 17, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Volumen
$2,409Fecha de finalización
19 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 17, 2026, 12:58 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/my/sepang-district/WMKKResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Kuala Lumpur Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Kuala Lumpur Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/my/sepang-district/WMKK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.The close clustering of market-implied odds around 31–33°C for Kuala Lumpur’s August 19 maximum reflects model uncertainty in the final 24–48 hours of the forecast period. Official guidance from the Malaysian Meteorological Department and global ensembles (ECMWF, GFS) shows a typical southwest-monsoon pattern with light winds, high humidity near 80 %, and scattered afternoon convection that can either suppress or enhance peak readings by 1–2 °C. Urban heat-island effects around the city center add further variability, while climatological baselines for mid-August place the long-term average high at approximately 32 °C. Traders are therefore weighting the most recent model runs and any updated surface observations expected before local midnight.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Kuala Lumpur Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Kuala Lumpur Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/my/sepang-district/WMKK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Kuala Lumpur Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Kuala Lumpur Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/my/sepang-district/WMKK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$2,409Fecha de finalización
19 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 17, 2026, 12:58 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/my/sepang-district/WMKKResolver
0x69c47De9D...The close clustering of market-implied odds around 31–33°C for Kuala Lumpur’s August 19 maximum reflects model uncertainty in the final 24–48 hours of the forecast period. Official guidance from the Malaysian Meteorological Department and global ensembles (ECMWF, GFS) shows a typical southwest-monsoon pattern with light winds, high humidity near 80 %, and scattered afternoon convection that can either suppress or enhance peak readings by 1–2 °C. Urban heat-island effects around the city center add further variability, while climatological baselines for mid-August place the long-term average high at approximately 32 °C. Traders are therefore weighting the most recent model runs and any updated surface observations expected before local midnight.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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