**Forecast consensus across multiple meteorological sources points to a daytime high of 31–33°C in Jinan on September 7, well above the 26°C threshold and supporting the market’s 97% implied probability for that outcome.** Official Chinese weather services and international models (including Yr and AccuWeather) show mostly sunny to partly cloudy skies under a warm air mass with light northerly or northeasterly winds, consistent with late-summer conditions before a cold front arrives overnight. This setup aligns with typical early-September climatology for Shandong, where highs often reach the low 30s before autumn cooling begins. The strong market positioning reflects the high reliability of 24-hour forecasts and limited model spread. A realistic challenge would require an unexpectedly rapid or intense frontal passage shifting the temperature drop earlier than projected, though current guidance places the main cooling and possible light rain on September 8.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en Jinan el 7 de septiembre?
¿La temperatura más alta en Jinan el 7 de septiembre?
26°C o más 99.0%
24°C 7%
18°C 4%
19°C 4%
NUEVO
NUEVO
7 sep 2026
16°C o menos
2%
17°C
<1%
18°C
4%
19°C
4%
20°C
4%
21°C
4%
22°C
4%
23°C
4%
24°C
7%
25°C
2%
26°C o más
99%
26°C o más 99.0%
24°C 7%
18°C 4%
19°C 4%
NUEVO
NUEVO
7 sep 2026
16°C o menos
$0 Vol.
2%
17°C
$65 Vol.
<1%
18°C
$0 Vol.
4%
19°C
$0 Vol.
4%
20°C
$0 Vol.
4%
21°C
$0 Vol.
4%
22°C
$0 Vol.
4%
23°C
$0 Vol.
4%
24°C
$0 Vol.
7%
25°C
$0 Vol.
2%
26°C o más
$387 Vol.
99%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast consensus across multiple meteorological sources points to a daytime high of 31–33°C in Jinan on September 7, well above the 26°C threshold and supporting the market’s 97% implied probability for that outcome.** Official Chinese weather services and international models (including Yr and AccuWeather) show mostly sunny to partly cloudy skies under a warm air mass with light northerly or northeasterly winds, consistent with late-summer conditions before a cold front arrives overnight. This setup aligns with typical early-September climatology for Shandong, where highs often reach the low 30s before autumn cooling begins. The strong market positioning reflects the high reliability of 24-hour forecasts and limited model spread. A realistic challenge would require an unexpectedly rapid or intense frontal passage shifting the temperature drop earlier than projected, though current guidance places the main cooling and possible light rain on September 8.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Sep 6, 2026, 12:55 AM ET
Volumen
$268Fecha de finalización
7 sep 2026Mercado abierto
Sep 6, 2026, 12:55 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJNResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast consensus across multiple meteorological sources points to a daytime high of 31–33°C in Jinan on September 7, well above the 26°C threshold and supporting the market’s 97% implied probability for that outcome.** Official Chinese weather services and international models (including Yr and AccuWeather) show mostly sunny to partly cloudy skies under a warm air mass with light northerly or northeasterly winds, consistent with late-summer conditions before a cold front arrives overnight. This setup aligns with typical early-September climatology for Shandong, where highs often reach the low 30s before autumn cooling begins. The strong market positioning reflects the high reliability of 24-hour forecasts and limited model spread. A realistic challenge would require an unexpectedly rapid or intense frontal passage shifting the temperature drop earlier than projected, though current guidance places the main cooling and possible light rain on September 8.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$268Fecha de finalización
7 sep 2026Mercado abierto
Sep 6, 2026, 12:55 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJNResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Forecast consensus across multiple meteorological sources points to a daytime high of 31–33°C in Jinan on September 7, well above the 26°C threshold and supporting the market’s 97% implied probability for that outcome.** Official Chinese weather services and international models (including Yr and AccuWeather) show mostly sunny to partly cloudy skies under a warm air mass with light northerly or northeasterly winds, consistent with late-summer conditions before a cold front arrives overnight. This setup aligns with typical early-September climatology for Shandong, where highs often reach the low 30s before autumn cooling begins. The strong market positioning reflects the high reliability of 24-hour forecasts and limited model spread. A realistic challenge would require an unexpectedly rapid or intense frontal passage shifting the temperature drop earlier than projected, though current guidance places the main cooling and possible light rain on September 8.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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