Trader consensus at 100% implied probability for a high of 26°C or higher in Jinan on August 23 stems from established summer conditions across eastern China, where observed midday readings have already reached 33–35°C amid typical August patterns of high solar insolation and southerly flow. Official monitoring shows daily maxima averaging near 32°C regionally, with forecast models confirming continued warmth and minimal diurnal cooling under partly cloudy skies. Historical climatology places August highs routinely above 30°C, making sub-26°C outcomes statistically implausible. Only an unseasonal cold surge or major data revision from primary weather services could alter resolution, though current observations and model agreement render such shifts highly improbable before the market settles.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en Jinan el 23 de agosto?
¿La temperatura más alta en Jinan el 23 de agosto?
26°C or higher 100.0%
16°C or below <1%
17°C <1%
18°C <1%
$5,911 Vol.
$5,911 Vol.
23 ago 2026
16°C or below
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C or higher
100%
26°C or higher 100.0%
16°C or below <1%
17°C <1%
18°C <1%
$5,911 Vol.
$5,911 Vol.
23 ago 2026
16°C or below
$215 Vol.
<1%
17°C
$205 Vol.
<1%
18°C
$205 Vol.
<1%
19°C
$215 Vol.
<1%
20°C
$205 Vol.
<1%
21°C
$846 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$774 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$125 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$885 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$691 Vol.
<1%
26°C or higher
$1,545 Vol.
100%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus at 100% implied probability for a high of 26°C or higher in Jinan on August 23 stems from established summer conditions across eastern China, where observed midday readings have already reached 33–35°C amid typical August patterns of high solar insolation and southerly flow. Official monitoring shows daily maxima averaging near 32°C regionally, with forecast models confirming continued warmth and minimal diurnal cooling under partly cloudy skies. Historical climatology places August highs routinely above 30°C, making sub-26°C outcomes statistically implausible. Only an unseasonal cold surge or major data revision from primary weather services could alter resolution, though current observations and model agreement render such shifts highly improbable before the market settles.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Aug 22, 2026, 12:55 AM ET
Volumen
$5,911Fecha de finalización
23 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 22, 2026, 12:55 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJNResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus at 100% implied probability for a high of 26°C or higher in Jinan on August 23 stems from established summer conditions across eastern China, where observed midday readings have already reached 33–35°C amid typical August patterns of high solar insolation and southerly flow. Official monitoring shows daily maxima averaging near 32°C regionally, with forecast models confirming continued warmth and minimal diurnal cooling under partly cloudy skies. Historical climatology places August highs routinely above 30°C, making sub-26°C outcomes statistically implausible. Only an unseasonal cold surge or major data revision from primary weather services could alter resolution, though current observations and model agreement render such shifts highly improbable before the market settles.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$5,911Fecha de finalización
23 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 22, 2026, 12:55 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJNResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus at 100% implied probability for a high of 26°C or higher in Jinan on August 23 stems from established summer conditions across eastern China, where observed midday readings have already reached 33–35°C amid typical August patterns of high solar insolation and southerly flow. Official monitoring shows daily maxima averaging near 32°C regionally, with forecast models confirming continued warmth and minimal diurnal cooling under partly cloudy skies. Historical climatology places August highs routinely above 30°C, making sub-26°C outcomes statistically implausible. Only an unseasonal cold surge or major data revision from primary weather services could alter resolution, though current observations and model agreement render such shifts highly improbable before the market settles.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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