Current forecast model consensus from agencies including the China Meteorological Administration projects a daytime maximum of 32–34°C in Jinan on August 18 under partly cloudy skies with light winds, placing the outcome firmly above the 26°C threshold and aligning with peak summer climatology where regional August highs routinely average 30–35°C. This strong scientific consensus, backed by recent observational trends and ensemble runs, underpins the market's near-certain implied probability for 26°C or higher. Scenarios that could realistically alter resolution include rapid convective cooling from unforecast thunderstorms or official measurement revisions at the primary station, though both remain low-probability given stable synoptic patterns.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en Jinan el 18 de agosto?
¿La temperatura más alta en Jinan el 18 de agosto?
26°C or higher 100.0%
16°C or below <1%
17°C <1%
18°C <1%
NUEVO
NUEVO
18 ago 2026
16°C or below
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C or higher
100%
26°C or higher 100.0%
16°C or below <1%
17°C <1%
18°C <1%
NUEVO
NUEVO
18 ago 2026
16°C or below
$100 Vol.
<1%
17°C
$200 Vol.
<1%
18°C
$210 Vol.
<1%
19°C
$100 Vol.
<1%
20°C
$100 Vol.
<1%
21°C
$110 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$100 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$100 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$115 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$110 Vol.
<1%
26°C or higher
$803 Vol.
100%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast model consensus from agencies including the China Meteorological Administration projects a daytime maximum of 32–34°C in Jinan on August 18 under partly cloudy skies with light winds, placing the outcome firmly above the 26°C threshold and aligning with peak summer climatology where regional August highs routinely average 30–35°C. This strong scientific consensus, backed by recent observational trends and ensemble runs, underpins the market's near-certain implied probability for 26°C or higher. Scenarios that could realistically alter resolution include rapid convective cooling from unforecast thunderstorms or official measurement revisions at the primary station, though both remain low-probability given stable synoptic patterns.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Aug 17, 2026, 12:55 AM ET
Volumen
$2,048Fecha de finalización
18 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 17, 2026, 12:55 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJNResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast model consensus from agencies including the China Meteorological Administration projects a daytime maximum of 32–34°C in Jinan on August 18 under partly cloudy skies with light winds, placing the outcome firmly above the 26°C threshold and aligning with peak summer climatology where regional August highs routinely average 30–35°C. This strong scientific consensus, backed by recent observational trends and ensemble runs, underpins the market's near-certain implied probability for 26°C or higher. Scenarios that could realistically alter resolution include rapid convective cooling from unforecast thunderstorms or official measurement revisions at the primary station, though both remain low-probability given stable synoptic patterns.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$2,048Fecha de finalización
18 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 17, 2026, 12:55 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJNResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecast model consensus from agencies including the China Meteorological Administration projects a daytime maximum of 32–34°C in Jinan on August 18 under partly cloudy skies with light winds, placing the outcome firmly above the 26°C threshold and aligning with peak summer climatology where regional August highs routinely average 30–35°C. This strong scientific consensus, backed by recent observational trends and ensemble runs, underpins the market's near-certain implied probability for 26°C or higher. Scenarios that could realistically alter resolution include rapid convective cooling from unforecast thunderstorms or official measurement revisions at the primary station, though both remain low-probability given stable synoptic patterns.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Preguntas frecuentes