Forecast models from the National Weather Service and AccuWeather indicate Houston will likely see a daily maximum temperature of 98–99°F on August 24 amid persistent high pressure and abundant sunshine, with heat indices potentially exceeding 105°F due to typical late-summer humidity levels near 70–80%. This positions the 98–99°F bin as the market leader at 61% implied probability, as climatological averages for the period hover near 93–95°F but recent ridge patterns have supported upper-90s readings without significant cloud cover or tropical moisture to moderate them. Secondary chances for 100–101°F reflect model spread and slight inland warming potential, while lower outcomes remain improbable absent an unexpected sea-breeze surge or early frontal passage. Traders are weighting official guidance heavily as resolution nears.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en Houston el 24 de agosto?
¿La temperatura más alta en Houston el 24 de agosto?
98-99°F 60%
100-101°F 25%
96-97°F 16%
102-103°F 4%
NUEVO
NUEVO
24 ago 2026
91°F o menos
<1%
92-93°F
<1%
94-95°F
<1%
96-97°F
16%
98-99°F
60%
100-101°F
25%
102-103°F
4%
104-105°F
1%
106-107°F
<1%
108-109°F
<1%
110°F o más
<1%
98-99°F 60%
100-101°F 25%
96-97°F 16%
102-103°F 4%
NUEVO
NUEVO
24 ago 2026
91°F o menos
$444 Vol.
<1%
92-93°F
$282 Vol.
<1%
94-95°F
$935 Vol.
<1%
96-97°F
$739 Vol.
16%
98-99°F
$1,749 Vol.
60%
100-101°F
$716 Vol.
25%
102-103°F
$438 Vol.
4%
104-105°F
$257 Vol.
1%
106-107°F
$132 Vol.
<1%
108-109°F
$149 Vol.
<1%
110°F o más
$149 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from the National Weather Service and AccuWeather indicate Houston will likely see a daily maximum temperature of 98–99°F on August 24 amid persistent high pressure and abundant sunshine, with heat indices potentially exceeding 105°F due to typical late-summer humidity levels near 70–80%. This positions the 98–99°F bin as the market leader at 61% implied probability, as climatological averages for the period hover near 93–95°F but recent ridge patterns have supported upper-90s readings without significant cloud cover or tropical moisture to moderate them. Secondary chances for 100–101°F reflect model spread and slight inland warming potential, while lower outcomes remain improbable absent an unexpected sea-breeze surge or early frontal passage. Traders are weighting official guidance heavily as resolution nears.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Aug 22, 2026, 8:57 PM ET
Volumen
$5,988Fecha de finalización
24 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 22, 2026, 8:57 PM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khouResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from the National Weather Service and AccuWeather indicate Houston will likely see a daily maximum temperature of 98–99°F on August 24 amid persistent high pressure and abundant sunshine, with heat indices potentially exceeding 105°F due to typical late-summer humidity levels near 70–80%. This positions the 98–99°F bin as the market leader at 61% implied probability, as climatological averages for the period hover near 93–95°F but recent ridge patterns have supported upper-90s readings without significant cloud cover or tropical moisture to moderate them. Secondary chances for 100–101°F reflect model spread and slight inland warming potential, while lower outcomes remain improbable absent an unexpected sea-breeze surge or early frontal passage. Traders are weighting official guidance heavily as resolution nears.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$5,988Fecha de finalización
24 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 22, 2026, 8:57 PM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khouResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from the National Weather Service and AccuWeather indicate Houston will likely see a daily maximum temperature of 98–99°F on August 24 amid persistent high pressure and abundant sunshine, with heat indices potentially exceeding 105°F due to typical late-summer humidity levels near 70–80%. This positions the 98–99°F bin as the market leader at 61% implied probability, as climatological averages for the period hover near 93–95°F but recent ridge patterns have supported upper-90s readings without significant cloud cover or tropical moisture to moderate them. Secondary chances for 100–101°F reflect model spread and slight inland warming potential, while lower outcomes remain improbable absent an unexpected sea-breeze surge or early frontal passage. Traders are weighting official guidance heavily as resolution nears.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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