Flavio Bolsonaro’s official announcement on August 5, 2026, naming Liberal Party federal deputy Alfredo Gaspar of Alagoas as his vice-presidential running mate for the October presidential election has driven the market’s decisive pricing. The selection followed unsuccessful efforts to recruit higher-profile figures, including women candidates from allied parties, and produced an all-PL ticket after centrist groups declined broader endorsements. Gaspar’s prior role as rapporteur on a parliamentary inquiry into INSS pension fraud provided limited national visibility within the party base. Trader consensus reflects the finality of the convention-day decision, though late shifts remain theoretically possible if the ticket encounters formal challenges, withdrawal, or unforeseen eligibility issues before balloting.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoAlfredo Gaspar 98.4%
Michelle Bolsonaro <1%
Tereza Cristina <1%
Simone Marquetto <1%
$23,817 Vol.
$23,817 Vol.
Alfredo Gaspar
98%
Michelle Bolsonaro
1%
Tereza Cristina
<1%
Simone Marquetto
<1%
Júlia Zanatta
<1%
Marcos Pontes
<1%
Clarissa Tércio
<1%
Daniella Marques
<1%
Priscila Costa
<1%
Damares Alves
<1%
Renata Abreu
<1%
Gilson Machado
<1%
Bia Kicis
<1%
Rosana Valle
<1%
Rogério Marinho
<1%
Alfredo Gaspar 98.4%
Michelle Bolsonaro <1%
Tereza Cristina <1%
Simone Marquetto <1%
$23,817 Vol.
$23,817 Vol.
Alfredo Gaspar
98%
Michelle Bolsonaro
1%
Tereza Cristina
<1%
Simone Marquetto
<1%
Júlia Zanatta
<1%
Marcos Pontes
<1%
Clarissa Tércio
<1%
Daniella Marques
<1%
Priscila Costa
<1%
Damares Alves
<1%
Renata Abreu
<1%
Gilson Machado
<1%
Bia Kicis
<1%
Rosana Valle
<1%
Rogério Marinho
<1%
An announcement of candidate selection will not alone qualify.
If Flavio Bolsonaro does not officially file a registration request to contest the 2026 Brazil presidential elections by August 15, 2026, 11:59 Brasilia time, this market will resolve to “Other”.
Any subsequent substitution, replacement, withdrawal, disqualification, or other change to the initially registered vice-presidential candidate will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Brazil, including the Superior Electoral Court (TSE, https://divulgacandcontas.tse.jus.br/).
Mercado abierto: Aug 4, 2026, 12:08 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...An announcement of candidate selection will not alone qualify.
If Flavio Bolsonaro does not officially file a registration request to contest the 2026 Brazil presidential elections by August 15, 2026, 11:59 Brasilia time, this market will resolve to “Other”.
Any subsequent substitution, replacement, withdrawal, disqualification, or other change to the initially registered vice-presidential candidate will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Brazil, including the Superior Electoral Court (TSE, https://divulgacandcontas.tse.jus.br/).
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Flavio Bolsonaro’s official announcement on August 5, 2026, naming Liberal Party federal deputy Alfredo Gaspar of Alagoas as his vice-presidential running mate for the October presidential election has driven the market’s decisive pricing. The selection followed unsuccessful efforts to recruit higher-profile figures, including women candidates from allied parties, and produced an all-PL ticket after centrist groups declined broader endorsements. Gaspar’s prior role as rapporteur on a parliamentary inquiry into INSS pension fraud provided limited national visibility within the party base. Trader consensus reflects the finality of the convention-day decision, though late shifts remain theoretically possible if the ticket encounters formal challenges, withdrawal, or unforeseen eligibility issues before balloting.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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