Skip to main content
icon for Caso confirmado de gusano barrenador de EE. UU. en ganado más allá de Texas por...

Caso confirmado de gusano barrenador de EE. UU. en ganado más allá de Texas por...

icon for Caso confirmado de gusano barrenador de EE. UU. en ganado más allá de Texas por...

Caso confirmado de gusano barrenador de EE. UU. en ganado más allá de Texas por...

NUEVO
Polymarket

$4,714 Vol.

Polymarket
icon for 30 de agosto

30 de agosto

$1,544 Vol.

24%

icon for 31 de octubre

31 de octubre

$501 Vol.

46%

icon for 31 de diciembre

31 de diciembre

$534 Vol.

52%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a case of Screwworm in any livestock animal in a state of the United States other than Texas confirmed between market creation and the specified date at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Any laboratory-confirmed screwworm infection identified within a U.S. state other than Texas will qualify, regardless of where exposure or symptom onset occurred. The primary resolution source for this market will be official government information (e.g., the CDC or USDA); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.**New World screwworm (Cochliomyia hominivorax) myiasis in livestock is driven by larval infestation of wounds, with females laying eggs that hatch into flesh-eating maggots; the U.S. has maintained eradication since the 1960s via sterile insect technique (SIT) releases along the southern border.** The June 2026 index case in a Zavala County, Texas calf triggered an APHIS/TAHC response with additional confirmations in La Salle, Gillespie, and other Texas counties through early summer, plus one non-livestock detection in a New Mexico dog near the border. As of mid-August 2026, active cases remain concentrated in Texas livestock with no verified spread to other states in cattle, goats, or sheep per USDA dashboards. Key controls include expanded SIT dispersal, wound treatment protocols, movement restrictions, and port monitoring (e.g., Douglas, AZ reopening August 24 with the nearest active case ~325 miles away). Trader sentiment hinges on containment success versus northward or interstate livestock/wildlife movement during peak fly activity. Upcoming APHIS surveillance updates, any new county-level confirmations, and model runs on fly dispersal or import risk will be primary near-term catalysts. Historical precedent shows rapid SIT response can limit outbreaks, but border proximity sustains reintroduction pressure.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a case of Screwworm in any livestock animal in a state of the United States other than Texas confirmed between market creation and the specified date at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Any laboratory-confirmed screwworm infection identified within a U.S. state other than Texas will qualify, regardless of where exposure or symptom onset occurred.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official government information (e.g., the CDC or USDA); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.
Volumen
$4,714
Mercado abierto
Jun 9, 2026, 10:17 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a case of Screwworm in any livestock animal in a state of the United States other than Texas confirmed between market creation and the specified date at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Any laboratory-confirmed screwworm infection identified within a U.S. state other than Texas will qualify, regardless of where exposure or symptom onset occurred. The primary resolution source for this market will be official government information (e.g., the CDC or USDA); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a case of Screwworm in any livestock animal in a state of the United States other than Texas confirmed between market creation and the specified date at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Any laboratory-confirmed screwworm infection identified within a U.S. state other than Texas will qualify, regardless of where exposure or symptom onset occurred. The primary resolution source for this market will be official government information (e.g., the CDC or USDA); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.**New World screwworm (Cochliomyia hominivorax) myiasis in livestock is driven by larval infestation of wounds, with females laying eggs that hatch into flesh-eating maggots; the U.S. has maintained eradication since the 1960s via sterile insect technique (SIT) releases along the southern border.** The June 2026 index case in a Zavala County, Texas calf triggered an APHIS/TAHC response with additional confirmations in La Salle, Gillespie, and other Texas counties through early summer, plus one non-livestock detection in a New Mexico dog near the border. As of mid-August 2026, active cases remain concentrated in Texas livestock with no verified spread to other states in cattle, goats, or sheep per USDA dashboards. Key controls include expanded SIT dispersal, wound treatment protocols, movement restrictions, and port monitoring (e.g., Douglas, AZ reopening August 24 with the nearest active case ~325 miles away). Trader sentiment hinges on containment success versus northward or interstate livestock/wildlife movement during peak fly activity. Upcoming APHIS surveillance updates, any new county-level confirmations, and model runs on fly dispersal or import risk will be primary near-term catalysts. Historical precedent shows rapid SIT response can limit outbreaks, but border proximity sustains reintroduction pressure.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a case of Screwworm in any livestock animal in a state of the United States other than Texas confirmed between market creation and the specified date at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Any laboratory-confirmed screwworm infection identified within a U.S. state other than Texas will qualify, regardless of where exposure or symptom onset occurred.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official government information (e.g., the CDC or USDA); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.
Volumen
$4,714
Mercado abierto
Jun 9, 2026, 10:17 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a case of Screwworm in any livestock animal in a state of the United States other than Texas confirmed between market creation and the specified date at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Any laboratory-confirmed screwworm infection identified within a U.S. state other than Texas will qualify, regardless of where exposure or symptom onset occurred. The primary resolution source for this market will be official government information (e.g., the CDC or USDA); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"Caso confirmado de gusano barrenador de EE. UU. en ganado más allá de Texas por..." es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 4 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "31 de diciembre" con 52%, seguido de "31 de octubre" con 46%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 52¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 52% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

"Caso confirmado de gusano barrenador de EE. UU. en ganado más allá de Texas por..." es un mercado recién creado en Polymarket, lanzado el Jun 9, 2026. Como mercado nuevo, esta es tu oportunidad de ser uno de los primeros operadores en establecer las probabilidades y las señales de precio iniciales del mercado. También puedes guardar esta página en marcadores para seguir el volumen y la actividad de trading a medida que el mercado gana tracción.

Para operar en "Caso confirmado de gusano barrenador de EE. UU. en ganado más allá de Texas por...", explora los 4 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "Caso confirmado de gusano barrenador de EE. UU. en ganado más allá de Texas por..." es "31 de diciembre" con 52%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 52% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es "31 de octubre" con 46%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "Caso confirmado de gusano barrenador de EE. UU. en ganado más allá de Texas por..." definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.