Canada’s July 2026 monthly GDP flash estimate of 0.0% from Statistics Canada, released alongside June’s upwardly revised 0.3% gain, anchors trader sentiment near the 0.0–0.1% range at 65% implied probability. Narrowing trade surplus data, driven by a 2.3% drop in exports (led by lower gold and energy shipments) and a 2.2% rise in imports (including record motor vehicles), points to a likely reversal of Q2 net-trade support. Persistent U.S. tariff uncertainty and elevated energy prices add downside risks to goods-producing sectors, while services activity has provided limited offset. The full July GDP release on September 29 will resolve the market, with recent labor-market cooling and Bank of Canada commentary on uncertain growth reinforcing expectations for subdued or flat momentum.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado0.0 a 0.1% 60%
<0,0% 25%
0.2 a 0.3% 13%
0,6 a 0,7% 5.5%
NUEVO
NUEVO
29 sep 2026
<0,0%
25%
0.0 a 0.1%
64%
0.2 a 0.3%
13%
0,4 a 0,5%
2%
0,6 a 0,7%
6%
0,8%+
1%
0.0 a 0.1% 60%
<0,0% 25%
0.2 a 0.3% 13%
0,6 a 0,7% 5.5%
NUEVO
NUEVO
29 sep 2026
<0,0%
$1,149 Vol.
25%
0.0 a 0.1%
$575 Vol.
64%
0.2 a 0.3%
$57 Vol.
13%
0,4 a 0,5%
$1,094 Vol.
2%
0,6 a 0,7%
$95 Vol.
6%
0,8%+
$1,047 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve according to Canada’s gross domestic product growth rate over the one-month period ending July 2026 (Real GDP monthly change, %), as reported by Statistics Canada’s (StatCan) “Gross domestic product by industry” release for July 2026, scheduled for release on September 29, 2026.
The GDP release and relevant statistics are expected to be made available here: https://www150.statcan.gc.ca/n1/dai-quo/ind1-eng.htm
If the specified release is not published, this market will resolve based on the first published figure for the specified month’s GDP growth rate compared to the prior month. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
Note: the resolution source for this market reports GDP growth rates compared to the prior month to only one decimal point (e.g. 0.8%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following month or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release will not be considered for this market's resolution. For the full release schedule, see: https://www150.statcan.gc.ca/n1/dai-quo/cal1-eng.htm?sk=3569.Canada’s July 2026 monthly GDP flash estimate of 0.0% from Statistics Canada, released alongside June’s upwardly revised 0.3% gain, anchors trader sentiment near the 0.0–0.1% range at 65% implied probability. Narrowing trade surplus data, driven by a 2.3% drop in exports (led by lower gold and energy shipments) and a 2.2% rise in imports (including record motor vehicles), points to a likely reversal of Q2 net-trade support. Persistent U.S. tariff uncertainty and elevated energy prices add downside risks to goods-producing sectors, while services activity has provided limited offset. The full July GDP release on September 29 will resolve the market, with recent labor-market cooling and Bank of Canada commentary on uncertain growth reinforcing expectations for subdued or flat momentum.
This market will resolve according to Canada’s gross domestic product growth rate over the one-month period ending July 2026 (Real GDP monthly change, %), as reported by Statistics Canada’s (StatCan) “Gross domestic product by industry” release for July 2026, scheduled for release on September 29, 2026.
The GDP release and relevant statistics are expected to be made available here: https://www150.statcan.gc.ca/n1/dai-quo/ind1-eng.htm
If the specified release is not published, this market will resolve based on the first published figure for the specified month’s GDP growth rate compared to the prior month. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
Note: the resolution source for this market reports GDP growth rates compared to the prior month to only one decimal point (e.g. 0.8%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following month or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release will not be considered for this market's resolution. For the full release schedule, see: https://www150.statcan.gc.ca/n1/dai-quo/cal1-eng.htm?sk=3569.
The GDP release and relevant statistics are expected to be made available here: https://www150.statcan.gc.ca/n1/dai-quo/ind1-eng.htm
If the specified release is not published, this market will resolve based on the first published figure for the specified month’s GDP growth rate compared to the prior month. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
Note: the resolution source for this market reports GDP growth rates compared to the prior month to only one decimal point (e.g. 0.8%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following month or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release will not be considered for this market's resolution. For the full release schedule, see: https://www150.statcan.gc.ca/n1/dai-quo/cal1-eng.htm?sk=3569.
Mercado abierto: Sep 8, 2026, 7:36 PM ET
Volumen
$4,019Fecha de finalización
29 sep 2026Mercado abierto
Sep 8, 2026, 7:36 PM ETFuente de resolución
https://www150.statcan.gc.ca/n1/dai-quo/ind1-eng.htmResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to Canada’s gross domestic product growth rate over the one-month period ending July 2026 (Real GDP monthly change, %), as reported by Statistics Canada’s (StatCan) “Gross domestic product by industry” release for July 2026, scheduled for release on September 29, 2026.
The GDP release and relevant statistics are expected to be made available here: https://www150.statcan.gc.ca/n1/dai-quo/ind1-eng.htm
If the specified release is not published, this market will resolve based on the first published figure for the specified month’s GDP growth rate compared to the prior month. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
Note: the resolution source for this market reports GDP growth rates compared to the prior month to only one decimal point (e.g. 0.8%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following month or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release will not be considered for this market's resolution. For the full release schedule, see: https://www150.statcan.gc.ca/n1/dai-quo/cal1-eng.htm?sk=3569.Canada’s July 2026 monthly GDP flash estimate of 0.0% from Statistics Canada, released alongside June’s upwardly revised 0.3% gain, anchors trader sentiment near the 0.0–0.1% range at 65% implied probability. Narrowing trade surplus data, driven by a 2.3% drop in exports (led by lower gold and energy shipments) and a 2.2% rise in imports (including record motor vehicles), points to a likely reversal of Q2 net-trade support. Persistent U.S. tariff uncertainty and elevated energy prices add downside risks to goods-producing sectors, while services activity has provided limited offset. The full July GDP release on September 29 will resolve the market, with recent labor-market cooling and Bank of Canada commentary on uncertain growth reinforcing expectations for subdued or flat momentum.
This market will resolve according to Canada’s gross domestic product growth rate over the one-month period ending July 2026 (Real GDP monthly change, %), as reported by Statistics Canada’s (StatCan) “Gross domestic product by industry” release for July 2026, scheduled for release on September 29, 2026.
The GDP release and relevant statistics are expected to be made available here: https://www150.statcan.gc.ca/n1/dai-quo/ind1-eng.htm
If the specified release is not published, this market will resolve based on the first published figure for the specified month’s GDP growth rate compared to the prior month. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
Note: the resolution source for this market reports GDP growth rates compared to the prior month to only one decimal point (e.g. 0.8%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following month or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release will not be considered for this market's resolution. For the full release schedule, see: https://www150.statcan.gc.ca/n1/dai-quo/cal1-eng.htm?sk=3569.
The GDP release and relevant statistics are expected to be made available here: https://www150.statcan.gc.ca/n1/dai-quo/ind1-eng.htm
If the specified release is not published, this market will resolve based on the first published figure for the specified month’s GDP growth rate compared to the prior month. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
Note: the resolution source for this market reports GDP growth rates compared to the prior month to only one decimal point (e.g. 0.8%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following month or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release will not be considered for this market's resolution. For the full release schedule, see: https://www150.statcan.gc.ca/n1/dai-quo/cal1-eng.htm?sk=3569.
Volumen
$4,019Fecha de finalización
29 sep 2026Mercado abierto
Sep 8, 2026, 7:36 PM ETFuente de resolución
https://www150.statcan.gc.ca/n1/dai-quo/ind1-eng.htmResolver
0x69c47De9D...Canada’s July 2026 monthly GDP flash estimate of 0.0% from Statistics Canada, released alongside June’s upwardly revised 0.3% gain, anchors trader sentiment near the 0.0–0.1% range at 65% implied probability. Narrowing trade surplus data, driven by a 2.3% drop in exports (led by lower gold and energy shipments) and a 2.2% rise in imports (including record motor vehicles), points to a likely reversal of Q2 net-trade support. Persistent U.S. tariff uncertainty and elevated energy prices add downside risks to goods-producing sectors, while services activity has provided limited offset. The full July GDP release on September 29 will resolve the market, with recent labor-market cooling and Bank of Canada commentary on uncertain growth reinforcing expectations for subdued or flat momentum.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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