President Trump signed Executive Order 14409 on June 2, 2026, establishing a voluntary framework for federal review of “covered frontier models” up to 30 days before release to assess cybersecurity risks, alongside measures to harden government and critical infrastructure systems. The order followed months of internal debate and a last-minute pullback of an earlier draft over concerns that a longer 90-day window would hinder U.S. competitiveness with China. It emphasizes collaboration with industry, protection of intellectual property, and enforcement against AI-enabled cybercrime rather than mandatory licensing or broad curbs. In mid-September 2026, Trump publicly rejected additional regulatory proposals, labeling safety concerns a hoax and directing agencies away from further restrictions. These developments shape trader assessments of whether future actions meet the market’s criteria for “AI restrictions” within any remaining resolution window.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertNEU
30. Sep. 2026
30. September
7%
31. Oktober
40%
31. Dezember
50%
$272 Vol.
30. September
$268 Vol.
7%
31. Oktober
$0 Vol.
40%
31. Dezember
$5 Vol.
50%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump signs an executive order, proclamation, or presidential memorandum that imposes, or directs a federal agency to impose, a mandatory requirement on the training, development, or deployment of artificial intelligence models by non-governmental developers or deployers, by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A mandatory requirement is one AI model developers or deployers must meet as a condition of training, releasing, or operating a model, such as pre-release government review, required safety testing, compute or capability thresholds that trigger obligations, restrictions on training data, limits on autonomous operation, or prohibitions on specified uses. An order that directs an agency to establish such a requirement within a stated period qualifies.
Studies, reports, guidance, standards, or voluntary frameworks do not count. Orders that only govern the federal government's own use or procurement of AI, impose export or chip controls, regulate data-center energy or permitting, address immigration, or regulate only AI-generated content do not qualify.
The signing or issuance of a qualifying order within this market's timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of when the order takes effect, and regardless of whether it is subsequently stayed, enjoined, revoked, or superseded.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the government of the United States, including the text of presidential actions published at whitehouse.gov and in the Federal Register; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.President Trump signed Executive Order 14409 on June 2, 2026, establishing a voluntary framework for federal review of “covered frontier models” up to 30 days before release to assess cybersecurity risks, alongside measures to harden government and critical infrastructure systems. The order followed months of internal debate and a last-minute pullback of an earlier draft over concerns that a longer 90-day window would hinder U.S. competitiveness with China. It emphasizes collaboration with industry, protection of intellectual property, and enforcement against AI-enabled cybercrime rather than mandatory licensing or broad curbs. In mid-September 2026, Trump publicly rejected additional regulatory proposals, labeling safety concerns a hoax and directing agencies away from further restrictions. These developments shape trader assessments of whether future actions meet the market’s criteria for “AI restrictions” within any remaining resolution window.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump signs an executive order, proclamation, or presidential memorandum that imposes, or directs a federal agency to impose, a mandatory requirement on the training, development, or deployment of artificial intelligence models by non-governmental developers or deployers, by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A mandatory requirement is one AI model developers or deployers must meet as a condition of training, releasing, or operating a model, such as pre-release government review, required safety testing, compute or capability thresholds that trigger obligations, restrictions on training data, limits on autonomous operation, or prohibitions on specified uses. An order that directs an agency to establish such a requirement within a stated period qualifies.
Studies, reports, guidance, standards, or voluntary frameworks do not count. Orders that only govern the federal government's own use or procurement of AI, impose export or chip controls, regulate data-center energy or permitting, address immigration, or regulate only AI-generated content do not qualify.
The signing or issuance of a qualifying order within this market's timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of when the order takes effect, and regardless of whether it is subsequently stayed, enjoined, revoked, or superseded.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the government of the United States, including the text of presidential actions published at whitehouse.gov and in the Federal Register; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A mandatory requirement is one AI model developers or deployers must meet as a condition of training, releasing, or operating a model, such as pre-release government review, required safety testing, compute or capability thresholds that trigger obligations, restrictions on training data, limits on autonomous operation, or prohibitions on specified uses. An order that directs an agency to establish such a requirement within a stated period qualifies.
Studies, reports, guidance, standards, or voluntary frameworks do not count. Orders that only govern the federal government's own use or procurement of AI, impose export or chip controls, regulate data-center energy or permitting, address immigration, or regulate only AI-generated content do not qualify.
The signing or issuance of a qualifying order within this market's timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of when the order takes effect, and regardless of whether it is subsequently stayed, enjoined, revoked, or superseded.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the government of the United States, including the text of presidential actions published at whitehouse.gov and in the Federal Register; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Markt eröffnet: Sep 17, 2026, 2:28 PM ET
Volumen
$272Enddatum
1. Jan. 2027Markt eröffnet
Sep 17, 2026, 2:28 PM ETAbwickler
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump signs an executive order, proclamation, or presidential memorandum that imposes, or directs a federal agency to impose, a mandatory requirement on the training, development, or deployment of artificial intelligence models by non-governmental developers or deployers, by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A mandatory requirement is one AI model developers or deployers must meet as a condition of training, releasing, or operating a model, such as pre-release government review, required safety testing, compute or capability thresholds that trigger obligations, restrictions on training data, limits on autonomous operation, or prohibitions on specified uses. An order that directs an agency to establish such a requirement within a stated period qualifies.
Studies, reports, guidance, standards, or voluntary frameworks do not count. Orders that only govern the federal government's own use or procurement of AI, impose export or chip controls, regulate data-center energy or permitting, address immigration, or regulate only AI-generated content do not qualify.
The signing or issuance of a qualifying order within this market's timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of when the order takes effect, and regardless of whether it is subsequently stayed, enjoined, revoked, or superseded.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the government of the United States, including the text of presidential actions published at whitehouse.gov and in the Federal Register; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.President Trump signed Executive Order 14409 on June 2, 2026, establishing a voluntary framework for federal review of “covered frontier models” up to 30 days before release to assess cybersecurity risks, alongside measures to harden government and critical infrastructure systems. The order followed months of internal debate and a last-minute pullback of an earlier draft over concerns that a longer 90-day window would hinder U.S. competitiveness with China. It emphasizes collaboration with industry, protection of intellectual property, and enforcement against AI-enabled cybercrime rather than mandatory licensing or broad curbs. In mid-September 2026, Trump publicly rejected additional regulatory proposals, labeling safety concerns a hoax and directing agencies away from further restrictions. These developments shape trader assessments of whether future actions meet the market’s criteria for “AI restrictions” within any remaining resolution window.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump signs an executive order, proclamation, or presidential memorandum that imposes, or directs a federal agency to impose, a mandatory requirement on the training, development, or deployment of artificial intelligence models by non-governmental developers or deployers, by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A mandatory requirement is one AI model developers or deployers must meet as a condition of training, releasing, or operating a model, such as pre-release government review, required safety testing, compute or capability thresholds that trigger obligations, restrictions on training data, limits on autonomous operation, or prohibitions on specified uses. An order that directs an agency to establish such a requirement within a stated period qualifies.
Studies, reports, guidance, standards, or voluntary frameworks do not count. Orders that only govern the federal government's own use or procurement of AI, impose export or chip controls, regulate data-center energy or permitting, address immigration, or regulate only AI-generated content do not qualify.
The signing or issuance of a qualifying order within this market's timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of when the order takes effect, and regardless of whether it is subsequently stayed, enjoined, revoked, or superseded.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the government of the United States, including the text of presidential actions published at whitehouse.gov and in the Federal Register; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A mandatory requirement is one AI model developers or deployers must meet as a condition of training, releasing, or operating a model, such as pre-release government review, required safety testing, compute or capability thresholds that trigger obligations, restrictions on training data, limits on autonomous operation, or prohibitions on specified uses. An order that directs an agency to establish such a requirement within a stated period qualifies.
Studies, reports, guidance, standards, or voluntary frameworks do not count. Orders that only govern the federal government's own use or procurement of AI, impose export or chip controls, regulate data-center energy or permitting, address immigration, or regulate only AI-generated content do not qualify.
The signing or issuance of a qualifying order within this market's timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of when the order takes effect, and regardless of whether it is subsequently stayed, enjoined, revoked, or superseded.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the government of the United States, including the text of presidential actions published at whitehouse.gov and in the Federal Register; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volumen
$272Enddatum
1. Jan. 2027Markt eröffnet
Sep 17, 2026, 2:28 PM ETAbwickler
0x65070BE91...President Trump signed Executive Order 14409 on June 2, 2026, establishing a voluntary framework for federal review of “covered frontier models” up to 30 days before release to assess cybersecurity risks, alongside measures to harden government and critical infrastructure systems. The order followed months of internal debate and a last-minute pullback of an earlier draft over concerns that a longer 90-day window would hinder U.S. competitiveness with China. It emphasizes collaboration with industry, protection of intellectual property, and enforcement against AI-enabled cybercrime rather than mandatory licensing or broad curbs. In mid-September 2026, Trump publicly rejected additional regulatory proposals, labeling safety concerns a hoax and directing agencies away from further restrictions. These developments shape trader assessments of whether future actions meet the market’s criteria for “AI restrictions” within any remaining resolution window.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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