Ongoing U.S.-Iran negotiations following 2025-2026 military strikes on Iranian nuclear sites have produced a June 2026 memorandum of understanding that reaffirms Iran's commitment not to develop nuclear weapons and opens 60-day technical talks on enrichment limits and stockpile issues, but leaves core disagreements unresolved. Iran continues to assert its right to uranium enrichment under the NPT while U.S. positions emphasize extended suspensions or restrictions, with no verified commitment to a full halt by December 31. Recent IAEA reporting and official statements confirm no resumption of enrichment activities amid damaged infrastructure, yet the absence of a final accord on permanent cessation sustains trader expectations that agreement on ending enrichment by the deadline remains unlikely.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertJa
11% Chance
$1,632,617 Vol.
$1,632,617 Vol.
30. Dez. 2026
Ja
11% Chance
$1,632,617 Vol.
$1,632,617 Vol.
30. Dez. 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Iran publicly agrees to end all enrichment of uranium by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An official pledge by Iran to end all enrichment of Uranium will qualify for a “Yes” resolution whether as a unilateral announcement or part of an agreement with the U.S. or Israel.
Any agreement or pledge made before the resolution date of this market will qualify, regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium for any amount of time will count.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium as a precondition of a more comprehensive peace process or deal will qualify, even if the agreement is not finalized or part of a formalized peace deal.
Agreements to merely limit or cap the level or quality of enrichment—such as reducing enrichment to below weapons-grade thresholds—will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. Ongoing U.S.-Iran negotiations following 2025-2026 military strikes on Iranian nuclear sites have produced a June 2026 memorandum of understanding that reaffirms Iran's commitment not to develop nuclear weapons and opens 60-day technical talks on enrichment limits and stockpile issues, but leaves core disagreements unresolved. Iran continues to assert its right to uranium enrichment under the NPT while U.S. positions emphasize extended suspensions or restrictions, with no verified commitment to a full halt by December 31. Recent IAEA reporting and official statements confirm no resumption of enrichment activities amid damaged infrastructure, yet the absence of a final accord on permanent cessation sustains trader expectations that agreement on ending enrichment by the deadline remains unlikely.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Iran publicly agrees to end all enrichment of uranium by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An official pledge by Iran to end all enrichment of Uranium will qualify for a “Yes” resolution whether as a unilateral announcement or part of an agreement with the U.S. or Israel.
Any agreement or pledge made before the resolution date of this market will qualify, regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium for any amount of time will count.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium as a precondition of a more comprehensive peace process or deal will qualify, even if the agreement is not finalized or part of a formalized peace deal.
Agreements to merely limit or cap the level or quality of enrichment—such as reducing enrichment to below weapons-grade thresholds—will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
An official pledge by Iran to end all enrichment of Uranium will qualify for a “Yes” resolution whether as a unilateral announcement or part of an agreement with the U.S. or Israel.
Any agreement or pledge made before the resolution date of this market will qualify, regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium for any amount of time will count.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium as a precondition of a more comprehensive peace process or deal will qualify, even if the agreement is not finalized or part of a formalized peace deal.
Agreements to merely limit or cap the level or quality of enrichment—such as reducing enrichment to below weapons-grade thresholds—will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Markt eröffnet: Mar 31, 2026, 4:10 PM ET
Volumen
$1,632,617Enddatum
31. Dez. 2026Markt eröffnet
Mar 31, 2026, 4:10 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Iran publicly agrees to end all enrichment of uranium by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An official pledge by Iran to end all enrichment of Uranium will qualify for a “Yes” resolution whether as a unilateral announcement or part of an agreement with the U.S. or Israel.
Any agreement or pledge made before the resolution date of this market will qualify, regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium for any amount of time will count.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium as a precondition of a more comprehensive peace process or deal will qualify, even if the agreement is not finalized or part of a formalized peace deal.
Agreements to merely limit or cap the level or quality of enrichment—such as reducing enrichment to below weapons-grade thresholds—will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. Ongoing U.S.-Iran negotiations following 2025-2026 military strikes on Iranian nuclear sites have produced a June 2026 memorandum of understanding that reaffirms Iran's commitment not to develop nuclear weapons and opens 60-day technical talks on enrichment limits and stockpile issues, but leaves core disagreements unresolved. Iran continues to assert its right to uranium enrichment under the NPT while U.S. positions emphasize extended suspensions or restrictions, with no verified commitment to a full halt by December 31. Recent IAEA reporting and official statements confirm no resumption of enrichment activities amid damaged infrastructure, yet the absence of a final accord on permanent cessation sustains trader expectations that agreement on ending enrichment by the deadline remains unlikely.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Iran publicly agrees to end all enrichment of uranium by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An official pledge by Iran to end all enrichment of Uranium will qualify for a “Yes” resolution whether as a unilateral announcement or part of an agreement with the U.S. or Israel.
Any agreement or pledge made before the resolution date of this market will qualify, regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium for any amount of time will count.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium as a precondition of a more comprehensive peace process or deal will qualify, even if the agreement is not finalized or part of a formalized peace deal.
Agreements to merely limit or cap the level or quality of enrichment—such as reducing enrichment to below weapons-grade thresholds—will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
An official pledge by Iran to end all enrichment of Uranium will qualify for a “Yes” resolution whether as a unilateral announcement or part of an agreement with the U.S. or Israel.
Any agreement or pledge made before the resolution date of this market will qualify, regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium for any amount of time will count.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium as a precondition of a more comprehensive peace process or deal will qualify, even if the agreement is not finalized or part of a formalized peace deal.
Agreements to merely limit or cap the level or quality of enrichment—such as reducing enrichment to below weapons-grade thresholds—will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Volumen
$1,632,617Enddatum
31. Dez. 2026Markt eröffnet
Mar 31, 2026, 4:10 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Ongoing U.S.-Iran negotiations following 2025-2026 military strikes on Iranian nuclear sites have produced a June 2026 memorandum of understanding that reaffirms Iran's commitment not to develop nuclear weapons and opens 60-day technical talks on enrichment limits and stockpile issues, but leaves core disagreements unresolved. Iran continues to assert its right to uranium enrichment under the NPT while U.S. positions emphasize extended suspensions or restrictions, with no verified commitment to a full halt by December 31. Recent IAEA reporting and official statements confirm no resumption of enrichment activities amid damaged infrastructure, yet the absence of a final accord on permanent cessation sustains trader expectations that agreement on ending enrichment by the deadline remains unlikely.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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