Ongoing US-Iran nuclear negotiations, anchored by the June 2026 memorandum of understanding that froze further enrichment and set a 60-day window for resolving enrichment limits, stockpile handling, and verification, have produced no agreement as of mid-August. Iran maintains its position that any deal must preserve a right to uranium enrichment, while US demands include extended moratoriums or dismantlement of facilities, consistent with prior talks. Israeli and US strikes in 2025-2026 degraded Iran's enrichment infrastructure and buried much of its highly enriched uranium stockpile, reducing immediate breakout capacity but leaving core diplomatic sticking points unresolved. With December 31 deadlines looming amid these barriers, traders price a low probability of full Iranian agreement to end enrichment.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertJa
11% Chance
$1,632,617 Vol.
$1,632,617 Vol.
30. Dez. 2026
Ja
11% Chance
$1,632,617 Vol.
$1,632,617 Vol.
30. Dez. 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Iran publicly agrees to end all enrichment of uranium by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An official pledge by Iran to end all enrichment of Uranium will qualify for a “Yes” resolution whether as a unilateral announcement or part of an agreement with the U.S. or Israel.
Any agreement or pledge made before the resolution date of this market will qualify, regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium for any amount of time will count.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium as a precondition of a more comprehensive peace process or deal will qualify, even if the agreement is not finalized or part of a formalized peace deal.
Agreements to merely limit or cap the level or quality of enrichment—such as reducing enrichment to below weapons-grade thresholds—will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. Ongoing US-Iran nuclear negotiations, anchored by the June 2026 memorandum of understanding that froze further enrichment and set a 60-day window for resolving enrichment limits, stockpile handling, and verification, have produced no agreement as of mid-August. Iran maintains its position that any deal must preserve a right to uranium enrichment, while US demands include extended moratoriums or dismantlement of facilities, consistent with prior talks. Israeli and US strikes in 2025-2026 degraded Iran's enrichment infrastructure and buried much of its highly enriched uranium stockpile, reducing immediate breakout capacity but leaving core diplomatic sticking points unresolved. With December 31 deadlines looming amid these barriers, traders price a low probability of full Iranian agreement to end enrichment.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Iran publicly agrees to end all enrichment of uranium by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An official pledge by Iran to end all enrichment of Uranium will qualify for a “Yes” resolution whether as a unilateral announcement or part of an agreement with the U.S. or Israel.
Any agreement or pledge made before the resolution date of this market will qualify, regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium for any amount of time will count.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium as a precondition of a more comprehensive peace process or deal will qualify, even if the agreement is not finalized or part of a formalized peace deal.
Agreements to merely limit or cap the level or quality of enrichment—such as reducing enrichment to below weapons-grade thresholds—will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
An official pledge by Iran to end all enrichment of Uranium will qualify for a “Yes” resolution whether as a unilateral announcement or part of an agreement with the U.S. or Israel.
Any agreement or pledge made before the resolution date of this market will qualify, regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium for any amount of time will count.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium as a precondition of a more comprehensive peace process or deal will qualify, even if the agreement is not finalized or part of a formalized peace deal.
Agreements to merely limit or cap the level or quality of enrichment—such as reducing enrichment to below weapons-grade thresholds—will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Markt eröffnet: Mar 31, 2026, 4:10 PM ET
Volumen
$1,632,617Enddatum
31. Dez. 2026Markt eröffnet
Mar 31, 2026, 4:10 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Iran publicly agrees to end all enrichment of uranium by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An official pledge by Iran to end all enrichment of Uranium will qualify for a “Yes” resolution whether as a unilateral announcement or part of an agreement with the U.S. or Israel.
Any agreement or pledge made before the resolution date of this market will qualify, regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium for any amount of time will count.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium as a precondition of a more comprehensive peace process or deal will qualify, even if the agreement is not finalized or part of a formalized peace deal.
Agreements to merely limit or cap the level or quality of enrichment—such as reducing enrichment to below weapons-grade thresholds—will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. Ongoing US-Iran nuclear negotiations, anchored by the June 2026 memorandum of understanding that froze further enrichment and set a 60-day window for resolving enrichment limits, stockpile handling, and verification, have produced no agreement as of mid-August. Iran maintains its position that any deal must preserve a right to uranium enrichment, while US demands include extended moratoriums or dismantlement of facilities, consistent with prior talks. Israeli and US strikes in 2025-2026 degraded Iran's enrichment infrastructure and buried much of its highly enriched uranium stockpile, reducing immediate breakout capacity but leaving core diplomatic sticking points unresolved. With December 31 deadlines looming amid these barriers, traders price a low probability of full Iranian agreement to end enrichment.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Iran publicly agrees to end all enrichment of uranium by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An official pledge by Iran to end all enrichment of Uranium will qualify for a “Yes” resolution whether as a unilateral announcement or part of an agreement with the U.S. or Israel.
Any agreement or pledge made before the resolution date of this market will qualify, regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium for any amount of time will count.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium as a precondition of a more comprehensive peace process or deal will qualify, even if the agreement is not finalized or part of a formalized peace deal.
Agreements to merely limit or cap the level or quality of enrichment—such as reducing enrichment to below weapons-grade thresholds—will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
An official pledge by Iran to end all enrichment of Uranium will qualify for a “Yes” resolution whether as a unilateral announcement or part of an agreement with the U.S. or Israel.
Any agreement or pledge made before the resolution date of this market will qualify, regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium for any amount of time will count.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium as a precondition of a more comprehensive peace process or deal will qualify, even if the agreement is not finalized or part of a formalized peace deal.
Agreements to merely limit or cap the level or quality of enrichment—such as reducing enrichment to below weapons-grade thresholds—will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Volumen
$1,632,617Enddatum
31. Dez. 2026Markt eröffnet
Mar 31, 2026, 4:10 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Ongoing US-Iran nuclear negotiations, anchored by the June 2026 memorandum of understanding that froze further enrichment and set a 60-day window for resolving enrichment limits, stockpile handling, and verification, have produced no agreement as of mid-August. Iran maintains its position that any deal must preserve a right to uranium enrichment, while US demands include extended moratoriums or dismantlement of facilities, consistent with prior talks. Israeli and US strikes in 2025-2026 degraded Iran's enrichment infrastructure and buried much of its highly enriched uranium stockpile, reducing immediate breakout capacity but leaving core diplomatic sticking points unresolved. With December 31 deadlines looming amid these barriers, traders price a low probability of full Iranian agreement to end enrichment.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Häufig gestellte Fragen