Trump’s Truth Social output has averaged roughly 19 posts per day in 2026, producing a baseline near 152 posts over any eight-day stretch, yet frequent bursts well above 30 posts in a single session have pushed recent weekly totals into the 180–199 range. The current 50.5% implied probability on 200+ reflects trader expectations that mid-September political activity—midterm endorsements, convention follow-through, and routine use of AI-generated content—will sustain or exceed the elevated pace seen during the Labor Day weekend. Historical patterns show volume rising sharply around elections, policy announcements, and weekend social-media sessions, while quieter periods revert toward the annual mean. Market pricing therefore embeds the likelihood of at least one or two high-activity days within the September 15–22 window.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert200+ 51%
160-179 18%
180-199 16%
140-159 12%
<20
1%
20-39
1%
40-59
1%
60-79
1%
80-99
3%
100-119
6%
120-139
8%
140-159
12%
160-179
18%
180-199
16%
200+
51%
200+ 51%
160-179 18%
180-199 16%
140-159 12%
<20
1%
20-39
1%
40-59
1%
60-79
1%
80-99
3%
100-119
6%
120-139
8%
140-159
12%
160-179
18%
180-199
16%
200+
51%
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.poly.havingsomuch.fun. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Markt eröffnet: Sep 12, 2026, 12:00 AM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://truthsocial.com/@realDonaldTrumpAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.poly.havingsomuch.fun. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://truthsocial.com/@realDonaldTrumpAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...Trump’s Truth Social output has averaged roughly 19 posts per day in 2026, producing a baseline near 152 posts over any eight-day stretch, yet frequent bursts well above 30 posts in a single session have pushed recent weekly totals into the 180–199 range. The current 50.5% implied probability on 200+ reflects trader expectations that mid-September political activity—midterm endorsements, convention follow-through, and routine use of AI-generated content—will sustain or exceed the elevated pace seen during the Labor Day weekend. Historical patterns show volume rising sharply around elections, policy announcements, and weekend social-media sessions, while quieter periods revert toward the annual mean. Market pricing therefore embeds the likelihood of at least one or two high-activity days within the September 15–22 window.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertVerwandte
Wird Donald Trump vom 8. bis 15. September 2026 zwischen 100 und 119 Truth Social Beiträge veröffentlichen?
Wird Donald Trump vom 11. September bis zum 18. September 2026 mehr als 200 Truth Social-Posts veröffentlichen?
Wird das Weiße Haus vom 15. bis 22. September 2026 mehr als 200 Beiträge veröffentlichen?
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
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