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Politik·Brasilien

Wahlsieger des Gouverneurs von Santa Catarina

icon for Wahlsieger des Gouverneurs von Santa Catarina
Politik·Brasilien

Wahlsieger des Gouverneurs von Santa Catarina

Jorginho Mello 96.2%

João Rodrigues 2.1%

Marcelo Brigadeiro 1.3%

Décio Lima <1%

Polymarket

$117,316 Vol.

Jorginho Mello 96.2%

João Rodrigues 2.1%

Marcelo Brigadeiro 1.3%

Décio Lima <1%

Polymarket

$117,316 Vol.

icon for Jorginho Mello

Jorginho Mello

$27,404 Vol.

96%

icon for João Rodrigues

João Rodrigues

$2,794 Vol.

2%

icon for Marcelo Brigadeiro

Marcelo Brigadeiro

$15,567 Vol.

1%

icon for Décio Lima

Décio Lima

$63,926 Vol.

<1%

icon for Afrânio Boppré

Afrânio Boppré

$2,166 Vol.

<1%

icon for Marcos Vieira

Marcos Vieira

$1,839 Vol.

<1%

icon for Adriano Silva

Adriano Silva

$1,629 Vol.

<1%

icon for Gelson Merisio

Gelson Merisio

$1,991 Vol.

<1%

The Santa Catarina gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Jorginho Mello (PL), the incumbent governor of Santa Catarina, holds a dominant position in the October 4, 2026, election due to consistent polling leads of around 50% in first-round scenarios, roughly 33 points ahead of main challenger João Rodrigues (PSD). Recent Quaest and Neokemp surveys show his government approval near 70%, with voters citing continuity on infrastructure, sanitation, and security priorities. Mello’s party convention formalized his ticket with Adriano Silva as running mate, and he secured legislative approval for a campaign leave starting late August, allowing full focus without using state resources. Strong alignment with conservative voters and Bolsonaro family backing further consolidates support in the state. While his margin suggests a possible first-round victory, shifts could arise from undecided voters (around 16%), debate performances, or late campaign developments before the October runoff window if needed.

The Santa Catarina gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volumen
$117,316
Enddatum
4. Okt. 2026
Markt eröffnet
Jun 9, 2026, 10:21 PM ET

Abwickler

0x69c47De9D...
The Santa Catarina gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
The Santa Catarina gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Jorginho Mello (PL), the incumbent governor of Santa Catarina, holds a dominant position in the October 4, 2026, election due to consistent polling leads of around 50% in first-round scenarios, roughly 33 points ahead of main challenger João Rodrigues (PSD). Recent Quaest and Neokemp surveys show his government approval near 70%, with voters citing continuity on infrastructure, sanitation, and security priorities. Mello’s party convention formalized his ticket with Adriano Silva as running mate, and he secured legislative approval for a campaign leave starting late August, allowing full focus without using state resources. Strong alignment with conservative voters and Bolsonaro family backing further consolidates support in the state. While his margin suggests a possible first-round victory, shifts could arise from undecided voters (around 16%), debate performances, or late campaign developments before the October runoff window if needed.

The Santa Catarina gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volumen
$117,316
Enddatum
4. Okt. 2026
Markt eröffnet
Jun 9, 2026, 10:21 PM ET

Abwickler

0x69c47De9D...
The Santa Catarina gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).

Verwandte

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Will Ciro Gomes win the 2026 Ceará gubernatorial election?

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Vorsicht bei externen Links.

Häufig gestellte Fragen

„Wahlsieger des Gouverneurs von Santa Catarina" ist ein Prognosemarkt auf Polymarket mit 8 möglichen Ergebnissen, bei dem Händler Anteile auf Basis ihrer Einschätzung kaufen und verkaufen. Das aktuell führende Ergebnis ist „Jorginho Mello" mit 96%, gefolgt von „João Rodrigues" mit 2%. Die Preise spiegeln Echtzeit-Wahrscheinlichkeiten der Community wider. Ein Anteilspreis von 96¢ bedeutet, dass der Markt diesem Ergebnis eine Wahrscheinlichkeit von 96% zuweist. Diese Quoten ändern sich laufend, wenn Händler auf neue Entwicklungen reagieren. Anteile am richtigen Ergebnis können bei Marktauflösung für jeweils $1 eingelöst werden.

Stand heute hat „Wahlsieger des Gouverneurs von Santa Catarina" ein Gesamthandelsvolumen von $117.3K generiert, seit der Markt am Jun 9, 2026 gestartet wurde. Dieses Aktivitätsniveau spiegelt starkes Engagement der Polymarket-Community wider und stellt sicher, dass die aktuellen Quoten von einem breiten Pool an Marktteilnehmern geprägt werden. Sie können Live-Preisbewegungen verfolgen und direkt auf dieser Seite auf jedes Ergebnis handeln.

Um auf „Wahlsieger des Gouverneurs von Santa Catarina" zu handeln, durchsuchen Sie die 8 verfügbaren Ergebnisse auf dieser Seite. Jedes Ergebnis zeigt einen aktuellen Preis, der die implizierte Wahrscheinlichkeit des Marktes darstellt. Um eine Position einzunehmen, wählen Sie das Ergebnis, das Sie für am wahrscheinlichsten halten, wählen Sie „Ja" um dafür oder „Nein" um dagegen zu handeln, geben Sie Ihren Betrag ein und klicken Sie auf „Handeln". Liegt Ihr gewähltes Ergebnis bei Marktauflösung richtig, zahlen Ihre „Ja"-Anteile jeweils $1 aus. Liegt es falsch, zahlen sie $0. Sie können Ihre Anteile auch jederzeit vor der Auflösung verkaufen.

Der aktuelle Favorit für „Wahlsieger des Gouverneurs von Santa Catarina" ist „Jorginho Mello" mit 96%, was bedeutet, dass der Markt diesem Ergebnis eine Wahrscheinlichkeit von 96% zuweist. Das nächstliegende Ergebnis ist „João Rodrigues" mit 2%. Diese Quoten werden in Echtzeit aktualisiert, wenn Händler Anteile kaufen und verkaufen. Schauen Sie regelmäßig vorbei oder speichern Sie diese Seite als Lesezeichen.

Die Auflösungsregeln für „Wahlsieger des Gouverneurs von Santa Catarina" definieren genau, was passieren muss, damit jedes Ergebnis als Gewinner erklärt wird – einschließlich der offiziellen Datenquellen zur Bestimmung des Ergebnisses. Sie können die vollständigen Auflösungskriterien im Abschnitt „Regeln" auf dieser Seite über den Kommentaren einsehen. Wir empfehlen, die Regeln vor dem Handeln sorgfältig zu lesen, da sie die genauen Bedingungen, Sonderfälle und Quellen festlegen.