Fábio Mitidieri, the PSD incumbent governor of Sergipe seeking re-election, anchors trader consensus at 73.5% for the October 4, 2026 first-round vote due to consistent polling leads and structural advantages as the sitting executive. Recent surveys, including one showing him at 54.7% of valid votes against Valmir de Francisquinho's 35.5%, reinforce this positioning ahead of the formal campaign period that began in mid-August following candidate registration deadlines. Valmir (Republicanos) trails at 18% amid a fragmented field of lower-visibility contenders such as Ricardo Marques, Emanuel Cacho, Dr. Helton, and Taty Cristina de Jesus, each below 1%. Market prices reflect the wisdom of crowds assessing Fábio's path to outright victory or a favorable runoff, though late shifts in undecided voters or coalition dynamics could still influence outcomes before election day.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertFábio 74%
Valmir de Francisquinho 18%
Taty Cristina de Jesus <1%
Emanuel Cacho <1%
$10,749 Vol.
$10,749 Vol.
4. Okt. 2026
Fábio
74%
Valmir de Francisquinho
18%
Taty Cristina de Jesus
1%
Emanuel Cacho
1%
Dr. Helton
<1%
Ricardo Marques
<1%
Fábio 74%
Valmir de Francisquinho 18%
Taty Cristina de Jesus <1%
Emanuel Cacho <1%
$10,749 Vol.
$10,749 Vol.
4. Okt. 2026
Fábio
$8,247 Vol.
74%
Valmir de Francisquinho
$941 Vol.
18%
Taty Cristina de Jesus
$330 Vol.
1%
Emanuel Cacho
$391 Vol.
1%
Dr. Helton
$455 Vol.
<1%
Ricardo Marques
$385 Vol.
<1%
The Sergipe gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Fábio Mitidieri, the PSD incumbent governor of Sergipe seeking re-election, anchors trader consensus at 73.5% for the October 4, 2026 first-round vote due to consistent polling leads and structural advantages as the sitting executive. Recent surveys, including one showing him at 54.7% of valid votes against Valmir de Francisquinho's 35.5%, reinforce this positioning ahead of the formal campaign period that began in mid-August following candidate registration deadlines. Valmir (Republicanos) trails at 18% amid a fragmented field of lower-visibility contenders such as Ricardo Marques, Emanuel Cacho, Dr. Helton, and Taty Cristina de Jesus, each below 1%. Market prices reflect the wisdom of crowds assessing Fábio's path to outright victory or a favorable runoff, though late shifts in undecided voters or coalition dynamics could still influence outcomes before election day.
The Sergipe gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Markt eröffnet: Aug 17, 2026, 5:45 AM ET
Volumen
$10,749Enddatum
4. Okt. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 17, 2026, 5:45 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Sergipe gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Fábio Mitidieri, the PSD incumbent governor of Sergipe seeking re-election, anchors trader consensus at 73.5% for the October 4, 2026 first-round vote due to consistent polling leads and structural advantages as the sitting executive. Recent surveys, including one showing him at 54.7% of valid votes against Valmir de Francisquinho's 35.5%, reinforce this positioning ahead of the formal campaign period that began in mid-August following candidate registration deadlines. Valmir (Republicanos) trails at 18% amid a fragmented field of lower-visibility contenders such as Ricardo Marques, Emanuel Cacho, Dr. Helton, and Taty Cristina de Jesus, each below 1%. Market prices reflect the wisdom of crowds assessing Fábio's path to outright victory or a favorable runoff, though late shifts in undecided voters or coalition dynamics could still influence outcomes before election day.
The Sergipe gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volumen
$10,749Enddatum
4. Okt. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 17, 2026, 5:45 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Fábio Mitidieri, the PSD incumbent governor of Sergipe seeking re-election, anchors trader consensus at 73.5% for the October 4, 2026 first-round vote due to consistent polling leads and structural advantages as the sitting executive. Recent surveys, including one showing him at 54.7% of valid votes against Valmir de Francisquinho's 35.5%, reinforce this positioning ahead of the formal campaign period that began in mid-August following candidate registration deadlines. Valmir (Republicanos) trails at 18% amid a fragmented field of lower-visibility contenders such as Ricardo Marques, Emanuel Cacho, Dr. Helton, and Taty Cristina de Jesus, each below 1%. Market prices reflect the wisdom of crowds assessing Fábio's path to outright victory or a favorable runoff, though late shifts in undecided voters or coalition dynamics could still influence outcomes before election day.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Häufig gestellte Fragen