Skip to main content
icon for Wahlsieger des Gouverneurs von Rio de Janeiro
Wahlen·Brasilien

Wahlsieger des Gouverneurs von Rio de Janeiro

icon for Wahlsieger des Gouverneurs von Rio de Janeiro
Wahlen·Brasilien

Wahlsieger des Gouverneurs von Rio de Janeiro

Eduardo Paes 96.5%

Douglas Ruas 1.4%

Anthony Garotinho <1%

Rafa Luz <1%

Polymarket

$325,136 Vol.

Eduardo Paes 96.5%

Douglas Ruas 1.4%

Anthony Garotinho <1%

Rafa Luz <1%

Polymarket

$325,136 Vol.

icon for Eduardo Paes

Eduardo Paes

$47,825 Vol.

97%

icon for Douglas Ruas

Douglas Ruas

$13,030 Vol.

1%

icon for Anthony Garotinho

Anthony Garotinho

$15,333 Vol.

1%

icon for Rafa Luz

Rafa Luz

$6,672 Vol.

1%

icon for Lindbergh Farias

Lindbergh Farias

$10,049 Vol.

<1%

icon for Oberst Busnello

Oberst Busnello

$10,134 Vol.

<1%

icon for Wilson Witzel

Wilson Witzel

$12,807 Vol.

<1%

icon for Felipe Curi

Felipe Curi

$19,051 Vol.

<1%

icon for Chico Machado

Chico Machado

$9,843 Vol.

<1%

icon for Fred Pacheco

Fred Pacheco

$134,487 Vol.

<1%

icon for André Ceciliano

André Ceciliano

$12,315 Vol.

<1%

icon for Tarcísio Motta

Tarcísio Motta

$11,578 Vol.

<1%

icon for Dr. Luizinho

Dr. Luizinho

$10,219 Vol.

<1%

icon for Eduardo Pazuello

Eduardo Pazuello

$2,717 Vol.

<1%

icon for Nicola Miccione

Nicola Miccione

$5,387 Vol.

<1%

icon for André Português

André Português

$3,688 Vol.

<1%

The Rio de Janeiro gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Eduardo Paes maintains a commanding lead in the 2026 Rio de Janeiro gubernatorial race due to his high name recognition as the outgoing mayor, consistent polling advantages, and PSD party backing after resigning his post in March 2026 to enter the contest. Traders price his victory at 96.5% ahead of the October 4 first-round vote, reflecting broad centrist appeal and the fragmented field of lower-profile challengers including Douglas Ruas and others. Recent conventions have formalized his candidacy without major disruptions, while the prior governor’s resignation created an open race favoring established figures. Late-breaking scandals, health developments, or unexpected opposition consolidation could still shift probabilities before election day.

The Rio de Janeiro gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volumen
$325,136
Enddatum
5. Okt. 2026
Markt eröffnet
Jun 9, 2026, 10:22 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The Rio de Janeiro gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
The Rio de Janeiro gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Eduardo Paes maintains a commanding lead in the 2026 Rio de Janeiro gubernatorial race due to his high name recognition as the outgoing mayor, consistent polling advantages, and PSD party backing after resigning his post in March 2026 to enter the contest. Traders price his victory at 96.5% ahead of the October 4 first-round vote, reflecting broad centrist appeal and the fragmented field of lower-profile challengers including Douglas Ruas and others. Recent conventions have formalized his candidacy without major disruptions, while the prior governor’s resignation created an open race favoring established figures. Late-breaking scandals, health developments, or unexpected opposition consolidation could still shift probabilities before election day.

The Rio de Janeiro gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volumen
$325,136
Enddatum
5. Okt. 2026
Markt eröffnet
Jun 9, 2026, 10:22 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The Rio de Janeiro gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).

Verwandte

icon for Wird Allyson die Gouverneurswahl 2026 in Rio Grande do Norte gewinnen?

Wird Allyson die Gouverneurswahl 2026 in Rio Grande do Norte gewinnen?

75%
Ja
icon for Will Luciano Zucco win the Governor of Rio Grande do Sul election?

Will Luciano Zucco win the Governor of Rio Grande do Sul election?

61%
icon for Wird Arthur Henrique die Gouverneurswahl 2026 in Roraima gewinnen?

Wird Arthur Henrique die Gouverneurswahl 2026 in Roraima gewinnen?

91%
Ja

Vorsicht bei externen Links.

Häufig gestellte Fragen

„Wahlsieger des Gouverneurs von Rio de Janeiro" ist ein Prognosemarkt auf Polymarket mit 16 möglichen Ergebnissen, bei dem Händler Anteile auf Basis ihrer Einschätzung kaufen und verkaufen. Das aktuell führende Ergebnis ist „Eduardo Paes" mit 97%, gefolgt von „Douglas Ruas" mit 1%. Die Preise spiegeln Echtzeit-Wahrscheinlichkeiten der Community wider. Ein Anteilspreis von 97¢ bedeutet, dass der Markt diesem Ergebnis eine Wahrscheinlichkeit von 97% zuweist. Diese Quoten ändern sich laufend, wenn Händler auf neue Entwicklungen reagieren. Anteile am richtigen Ergebnis können bei Marktauflösung für jeweils $1 eingelöst werden.

Stand heute hat „Wahlsieger des Gouverneurs von Rio de Janeiro" ein Gesamthandelsvolumen von $325.1K generiert, seit der Markt am Jun 9, 2026 gestartet wurde. Dieses Aktivitätsniveau spiegelt starkes Engagement der Polymarket-Community wider und stellt sicher, dass die aktuellen Quoten von einem breiten Pool an Marktteilnehmern geprägt werden. Sie können Live-Preisbewegungen verfolgen und direkt auf dieser Seite auf jedes Ergebnis handeln.

Um auf „Wahlsieger des Gouverneurs von Rio de Janeiro" zu handeln, durchsuchen Sie die 16 verfügbaren Ergebnisse auf dieser Seite. Jedes Ergebnis zeigt einen aktuellen Preis, der die implizierte Wahrscheinlichkeit des Marktes darstellt. Um eine Position einzunehmen, wählen Sie das Ergebnis, das Sie für am wahrscheinlichsten halten, wählen Sie „Ja" um dafür oder „Nein" um dagegen zu handeln, geben Sie Ihren Betrag ein und klicken Sie auf „Handeln". Liegt Ihr gewähltes Ergebnis bei Marktauflösung richtig, zahlen Ihre „Ja"-Anteile jeweils $1 aus. Liegt es falsch, zahlen sie $0. Sie können Ihre Anteile auch jederzeit vor der Auflösung verkaufen.

Der aktuelle Favorit für „Wahlsieger des Gouverneurs von Rio de Janeiro" ist „Eduardo Paes" mit 97%, was bedeutet, dass der Markt diesem Ergebnis eine Wahrscheinlichkeit von 97% zuweist. Das nächstliegende Ergebnis ist „Douglas Ruas" mit 1%. Diese Quoten werden in Echtzeit aktualisiert, wenn Händler Anteile kaufen und verkaufen. Schauen Sie regelmäßig vorbei oder speichern Sie diese Seite als Lesezeichen.

Die Auflösungsregeln für „Wahlsieger des Gouverneurs von Rio de Janeiro" definieren genau, was passieren muss, damit jedes Ergebnis als Gewinner erklärt wird – einschließlich der offiziellen Datenquellen zur Bestimmung des Ergebnisses. Sie können die vollständigen Auflösungskriterien im Abschnitt „Regeln" auf dieser Seite über den Kommentaren einsehen. Wir empfehlen, die Regeln vor dem Handeln sorgfältig zu lesen, da sie die genauen Bedingungen, Sonderfälle und Quellen festlegen.