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Politik·Hauptwahl

Rio Grande do Sul Governor Election Winner

icon for Rio Grande do Sul Governor Election Winner
Politik·Hauptwahl

Rio Grande do Sul Governor Election Winner

Luciano Zucco 61%

Juliana Brizola 36%

Gabriel Souza 3.9%

Marcelo Maranata <1%

Polymarket

$91,095 Vol.

Luciano Zucco 61%

Juliana Brizola 36%

Gabriel Souza 3.9%

Marcelo Maranata <1%

Polymarket

$91,095 Vol.

Luciano Zucco

$40,147 Vol.

61%

Juliana Brizola

$32,459 Vol.

36%

Gabriel Souza

$9,514 Vol.

4%

Marcelo Maranata

$6,524 Vol.

<1%

Luis Carlos Heinze

$2,452 Vol.

<1%

The Rio Grande do Sul gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Luciano Zucco of the Liberal Party holds the leading position in the October 4, 2026, first-round contest for Rio Grande do Sul governor, an open race created by term limits on incumbent Eduardo Leite of the PSD. Traders assign Zucco a 61% chance of victory, ahead of PDT candidate Juliana Brizola at 35.5%, with MDB's Gabriel Souza and smaller contenders trailing far behind. This positioning stems from Zucco's profile as a federal deputy aligned with conservative coalitions, early polling volatility that has shown technical ties or narrow leads in both directions, and the broader national polarization shaping state-level alignments. Brizola benefits from left-leaning support and running-mate dynamics, yet market pricing reflects Zucco's edge in coalition-building and name recognition heading into the campaign's final stretch.

The Rio Grande do Sul gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volumen
$91,095
Enddatum
4. Okt. 2026
Markt eröffnet
May 28, 2026, 5:40 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The Rio Grande do Sul gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
The Rio Grande do Sul gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Luciano Zucco of the Liberal Party holds the leading position in the October 4, 2026, first-round contest for Rio Grande do Sul governor, an open race created by term limits on incumbent Eduardo Leite of the PSD. Traders assign Zucco a 61% chance of victory, ahead of PDT candidate Juliana Brizola at 35.5%, with MDB's Gabriel Souza and smaller contenders trailing far behind. This positioning stems from Zucco's profile as a federal deputy aligned with conservative coalitions, early polling volatility that has shown technical ties or narrow leads in both directions, and the broader national polarization shaping state-level alignments. Brizola benefits from left-leaning support and running-mate dynamics, yet market pricing reflects Zucco's edge in coalition-building and name recognition heading into the campaign's final stretch.

The Rio Grande do Sul gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volumen
$91,095
Enddatum
4. Okt. 2026
Markt eröffnet
May 28, 2026, 5:40 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The Rio Grande do Sul gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).

Verwandte

icon for Wird Allyson die Gouverneurswahl 2026 in Rio Grande do Norte gewinnen?

Wird Allyson die Gouverneurswahl 2026 in Rio Grande do Norte gewinnen?

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Ja
icon for Wird Eduardo Riedel die Gouverneurswahl 2026 in Mato Grosso do Sul gewinnen?

Wird Eduardo Riedel die Gouverneurswahl 2026 in Mato Grosso do Sul gewinnen?

93%
Ja
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Wird Eduardo Paes die Wahl zum Gouverneur von Rio de Janeiro gewinnen?

96%
Ja

Vorsicht bei externen Links.

Häufig gestellte Fragen

„Rio Grande do Sul Governor Election Winner" ist ein Prognosemarkt auf Polymarket mit 5 möglichen Ergebnissen, bei dem Händler Anteile auf Basis ihrer Einschätzung kaufen und verkaufen. Das aktuell führende Ergebnis ist „Luciano Zucco" mit 61%, gefolgt von „Juliana Brizola" mit 36%. Die Preise spiegeln Echtzeit-Wahrscheinlichkeiten der Community wider. Ein Anteilspreis von 61¢ bedeutet, dass der Markt diesem Ergebnis eine Wahrscheinlichkeit von 61% zuweist. Diese Quoten ändern sich laufend, wenn Händler auf neue Entwicklungen reagieren. Anteile am richtigen Ergebnis können bei Marktauflösung für jeweils $1 eingelöst werden.

Stand heute hat „Rio Grande do Sul Governor Election Winner" ein Gesamthandelsvolumen von $91.1K generiert, seit der Markt am May 28, 2026 gestartet wurde. Dieses Aktivitätsniveau spiegelt starkes Engagement der Polymarket-Community wider und stellt sicher, dass die aktuellen Quoten von einem breiten Pool an Marktteilnehmern geprägt werden. Sie können Live-Preisbewegungen verfolgen und direkt auf dieser Seite auf jedes Ergebnis handeln.

Um auf „Rio Grande do Sul Governor Election Winner" zu handeln, durchsuchen Sie die 5 verfügbaren Ergebnisse auf dieser Seite. Jedes Ergebnis zeigt einen aktuellen Preis, der die implizierte Wahrscheinlichkeit des Marktes darstellt. Um eine Position einzunehmen, wählen Sie das Ergebnis, das Sie für am wahrscheinlichsten halten, wählen Sie „Ja" um dafür oder „Nein" um dagegen zu handeln, geben Sie Ihren Betrag ein und klicken Sie auf „Handeln". Liegt Ihr gewähltes Ergebnis bei Marktauflösung richtig, zahlen Ihre „Ja"-Anteile jeweils $1 aus. Liegt es falsch, zahlen sie $0. Sie können Ihre Anteile auch jederzeit vor der Auflösung verkaufen.

Der aktuelle Favorit für „Rio Grande do Sul Governor Election Winner" ist „Luciano Zucco" mit 61%, was bedeutet, dass der Markt diesem Ergebnis eine Wahrscheinlichkeit von 61% zuweist. Das nächstliegende Ergebnis ist „Juliana Brizola" mit 36%. Diese Quoten werden in Echtzeit aktualisiert, wenn Händler Anteile kaufen und verkaufen. Schauen Sie regelmäßig vorbei oder speichern Sie diese Seite als Lesezeichen.

Die Auflösungsregeln für „Rio Grande do Sul Governor Election Winner" definieren genau, was passieren muss, damit jedes Ergebnis als Gewinner erklärt wird – einschließlich der offiziellen Datenquellen zur Bestimmung des Ergebnisses. Sie können die vollständigen Auflösungskriterien im Abschnitt „Regeln" auf dieser Seite über den Kommentaren einsehen. Wir empfehlen, die Regeln vor dem Handeln sorgfältig zu lesen, da sie die genauen Bedingungen, Sonderfälle und Quellen festlegen.