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icon for Wahlsieger bei den Gouverneurswahlen in Rio Grande do Norte
Politik·Brasilien

Wahlsieger bei den Gouverneurswahlen in Rio Grande do Norte

icon for Wahlsieger bei den Gouverneurswahlen in Rio Grande do Norte
Politik·Brasilien

Wahlsieger bei den Gouverneurswahlen in Rio Grande do Norte

Allyson 74%

Cadu de Lula 32%

Álvaro Dias 11%

Professor Roberio Paulino 2.0%

Polymarket
NEU

Allyson 74%

Cadu de Lula 32%

Álvaro Dias 11%

Professor Roberio Paulino 2.0%

Polymarket
NEU
icon for Allyson

Allyson

$1,612 Vol.

74%

icon for Cadu de Lula

Cadu de Lula

$382 Vol.

25%

icon for Álvaro Dias

Álvaro Dias

$219 Vol.

11%

icon for Professor Roberio Paulino

Professor Roberio Paulino

$251 Vol.

2%

icon for Rodrigo Bolsonaro

Rodrigo Bolsonaro

$261 Vol.

1%

icon for Henrique Lyra

Henrique Lyra

$262 Vol.

1%

icon for Carlos Jararaca

Carlos Jararaca

$240 Vol.

1%

icon for Arinalda do MLB

Arinalda do MLB

$237 Vol.

<1%

icon for Dário Barbosa

Dário Barbosa

$229 Vol.

<1%

The Rio Grande do Norte gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Allyson Bezerra leads the 2026 Rio Grande do Norte gubernatorial race at 76.5% implied probability, reflecting her July 2026 convention launch by União Brasil with a wide center-right coalition that includes MDB support and Hermano Morais as running mate. The former Mossoró mayor benefits from term limits barring incumbent Fátima Bezerra (PT) from seeking re-election, positioning Allyson as the main alternative to the PT-led state government. Cadu Xavier, the PT finance secretary backed as the continuity candidate, trails at 15%, while Álvaro Dias sits at 9.5% amid shifts in right-leaning alignments. Earlier 2026 polling showed Allyson ahead, and the broad coalition formation has reinforced trader consensus on her frontrunner status ahead of the October 4 first-round vote.

The Rio Grande do Norte gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volumen
$3,691
Enddatum
4. Okt. 2026
Markt eröffnet
Aug 17, 2026, 5:45 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The Rio Grande do Norte gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
The Rio Grande do Norte gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Allyson Bezerra leads the 2026 Rio Grande do Norte gubernatorial race at 76.5% implied probability, reflecting her July 2026 convention launch by União Brasil with a wide center-right coalition that includes MDB support and Hermano Morais as running mate. The former Mossoró mayor benefits from term limits barring incumbent Fátima Bezerra (PT) from seeking re-election, positioning Allyson as the main alternative to the PT-led state government. Cadu Xavier, the PT finance secretary backed as the continuity candidate, trails at 15%, while Álvaro Dias sits at 9.5% amid shifts in right-leaning alignments. Earlier 2026 polling showed Allyson ahead, and the broad coalition formation has reinforced trader consensus on her frontrunner status ahead of the October 4 first-round vote.

The Rio Grande do Norte gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volumen
$3,691
Enddatum
4. Okt. 2026
Markt eröffnet
Aug 17, 2026, 5:45 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The Rio Grande do Norte gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).

Verwandte

icon for Will Luciano Zucco win the Governor of Rio Grande do Sul election?

Will Luciano Zucco win the Governor of Rio Grande do Sul election?

61%
icon for Wird Eduardo Paes die Wahl zum Gouverneur von Rio de Janeiro gewinnen?

Wird Eduardo Paes die Wahl zum Gouverneur von Rio de Janeiro gewinnen?

96%
Ja
icon for Wird Raquel Lyra die Gouverneurswahl in Pernambuco gewinnen?

Wird Raquel Lyra die Gouverneurswahl in Pernambuco gewinnen?

63%
Ja

Vorsicht bei externen Links.

Häufig gestellte Fragen

„Wahlsieger bei den Gouverneurswahlen in Rio Grande do Norte" ist ein Prognosemarkt auf Polymarket mit 9 möglichen Ergebnissen, bei dem Händler Anteile auf Basis ihrer Einschätzung kaufen und verkaufen. Das aktuell führende Ergebnis ist „Allyson" mit 74%, gefolgt von „Cadu de Lula" mit 25%. Die Preise spiegeln Echtzeit-Wahrscheinlichkeiten der Community wider. Ein Anteilspreis von 74¢ bedeutet, dass der Markt diesem Ergebnis eine Wahrscheinlichkeit von 74% zuweist. Diese Quoten ändern sich laufend, wenn Händler auf neue Entwicklungen reagieren. Anteile am richtigen Ergebnis können bei Marktauflösung für jeweils $1 eingelöst werden.

„Wahlsieger bei den Gouverneurswahlen in Rio Grande do Norte" ist ein neu erstellter Markt auf Polymarket, gestartet am Aug 17, 2026. Als früher Markt haben Sie die Gelegenheit, zu den ersten Händlern zu gehören, die die Quoten setzen und die ersten Preissignale des Marktes etablieren. Sie können diese Seite auch als Lesezeichen speichern, um Volumen und Handelsaktivität zu verfolgen, während der Markt an Fahrt gewinnt.

Um auf „Wahlsieger bei den Gouverneurswahlen in Rio Grande do Norte" zu handeln, durchsuchen Sie die 9 verfügbaren Ergebnisse auf dieser Seite. Jedes Ergebnis zeigt einen aktuellen Preis, der die implizierte Wahrscheinlichkeit des Marktes darstellt. Um eine Position einzunehmen, wählen Sie das Ergebnis, das Sie für am wahrscheinlichsten halten, wählen Sie „Ja" um dafür oder „Nein" um dagegen zu handeln, geben Sie Ihren Betrag ein und klicken Sie auf „Handeln". Liegt Ihr gewähltes Ergebnis bei Marktauflösung richtig, zahlen Ihre „Ja"-Anteile jeweils $1 aus. Liegt es falsch, zahlen sie $0. Sie können Ihre Anteile auch jederzeit vor der Auflösung verkaufen.

Der aktuelle Favorit für „Wahlsieger bei den Gouverneurswahlen in Rio Grande do Norte" ist „Allyson" mit 74%, was bedeutet, dass der Markt diesem Ergebnis eine Wahrscheinlichkeit von 74% zuweist. Das nächstliegende Ergebnis ist „Cadu de Lula" mit 25%. Diese Quoten werden in Echtzeit aktualisiert, wenn Händler Anteile kaufen und verkaufen. Schauen Sie regelmäßig vorbei oder speichern Sie diese Seite als Lesezeichen.

Die Auflösungsregeln für „Wahlsieger bei den Gouverneurswahlen in Rio Grande do Norte" definieren genau, was passieren muss, damit jedes Ergebnis als Gewinner erklärt wird – einschließlich der offiziellen Datenquellen zur Bestimmung des Ergebnisses. Sie können die vollständigen Auflösungskriterien im Abschnitt „Regeln" auf dieser Seite über den Kommentaren einsehen. Wir empfehlen, die Regeln vor dem Handeln sorgfältig zu lesen, da sie die genauen Bedingungen, Sonderfälle und Quellen festlegen.