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Politik·Brasilien

Senatswahl Sergipe: 2. Platz

icon for Senatswahl Sergipe: 2. Platz
Politik·Brasilien

Senatswahl Sergipe: 2. Platz

Rogerio Carvalho 25%

André Moura 18%

Delegado Alessandro 14.2%

Rodrigo Valadares 12%

Polymarket

$14,026 Vol.

Rogerio Carvalho 25%

André Moura 18%

Delegado Alessandro 14.2%

Rodrigo Valadares 12%

Polymarket

$14,026 Vol.

icon for Rogerio Carvalho

Rogerio Carvalho

$3,772 Vol.

25%

icon for André Moura

André Moura

$1,740 Vol.

18%

icon for Delegado Alessandro

Delegado Alessandro

$1,225 Vol.

14%

icon for Rodrigo Valadares

Rodrigo Valadares

$770 Vol.

12%

icon for Eduardo Amorim

Eduardo Amorim

$1,158 Vol.

11%

icon for Delegado André David

Delegado André David

$1,490 Vol.

9%

icon for Paulinho da União Tur

Paulinho da União Tur

$685 Vol.

1%

icon for Renatinha

Renatinha

$1,053 Vol.

1%

icon for Coronel Rocha

Coronel Rocha

$536 Vol.

1%

icon for Edvaldo

Edvaldo

$407 Vol.

1%

icon for Iran Barbosa

Iran Barbosa

$1,190 Vol.

<1%

The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Sergipe is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).**In the Sergipe Senate race for the two seats up for election on October 4, 2026, traders see a wide-open contest for second place amid a fragmented field of 11 registered candidates.** Recent polls from May through mid-August, including those by INOR, Visão Pesquisas, Real Time Big Data, and CTAS, consistently show high undecided and blank/null responses—often exceeding 30-50% for the second vote—while top contenders like Delegado André David (Republicanos), Eduardo Amorim (Republicanos), André Moura (União), Rogério Carvalho (PT), Alessandro Vieira (MDB), and Rodrigo Valadares (PL) trade narrow leads or cluster within margins of error. The dual-vote system amplifies volatility for second place, as voter preferences split across party alliances, incumbency advantages, and regional strongholds without a clear consolidation around any single challenger. Recent candidate registrations and coalition formalizations in August have not yet produced decisive shifts, leaving implied probabilities sensitive to upcoming campaign events, further surveys, or late developments in the concurrent gubernatorial contest.

The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Sergipe is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.

Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volumen
$14,026
Enddatum
4. Okt. 2026
Markt eröffnet
Aug 17, 2026, 6:21 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Sergipe is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Sergipe is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).**In the Sergipe Senate race for the two seats up for election on October 4, 2026, traders see a wide-open contest for second place amid a fragmented field of 11 registered candidates.** Recent polls from May through mid-August, including those by INOR, Visão Pesquisas, Real Time Big Data, and CTAS, consistently show high undecided and blank/null responses—often exceeding 30-50% for the second vote—while top contenders like Delegado André David (Republicanos), Eduardo Amorim (Republicanos), André Moura (União), Rogério Carvalho (PT), Alessandro Vieira (MDB), and Rodrigo Valadares (PL) trade narrow leads or cluster within margins of error. The dual-vote system amplifies volatility for second place, as voter preferences split across party alliances, incumbency advantages, and regional strongholds without a clear consolidation around any single challenger. Recent candidate registrations and coalition formalizations in August have not yet produced decisive shifts, leaving implied probabilities sensitive to upcoming campaign events, further surveys, or late developments in the concurrent gubernatorial contest.

The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Sergipe is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.

Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volumen
$14,026
Enddatum
4. Okt. 2026
Markt eröffnet
Aug 17, 2026, 6:21 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Sergipe is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).

Verwandte

icon for Will Delegado André David win the most votes in the 2026 Sergipe Senate election?

Will Delegado André David win the most votes in the 2026 Sergipe Senate election?

52%
icon for Wird Guilherme Derrite bei der Senatswahl 2026 in São Paulo die zweitmeisten Stimmen erhalten?

Wird Guilherme Derrite bei der Senatswahl 2026 in São Paulo die zweitmeisten Stimmen erhalten?

30%
Ja
icon for Wird Leila do Vôlei bei der Senatswahl 2026 im Bundesdistrikt die zweitmeisten Stimmen erhalten?

Wird Leila do Vôlei bei der Senatswahl 2026 im Bundesdistrikt die zweitmeisten Stimmen erhalten?

45%
Ja

Vorsicht bei externen Links.

Häufig gestellte Fragen

„Senatswahl Sergipe: 2. Platz" ist ein Prognosemarkt auf Polymarket mit 11 möglichen Ergebnissen, bei dem Händler Anteile auf Basis ihrer Einschätzung kaufen und verkaufen. Das aktuell führende Ergebnis ist „Rogerio Carvalho" mit 25%, gefolgt von „André Moura" mit 18%. Die Preise spiegeln Echtzeit-Wahrscheinlichkeiten der Community wider. Ein Anteilspreis von 25¢ bedeutet, dass der Markt diesem Ergebnis eine Wahrscheinlichkeit von 25% zuweist. Diese Quoten ändern sich laufend, wenn Händler auf neue Entwicklungen reagieren. Anteile am richtigen Ergebnis können bei Marktauflösung für jeweils $1 eingelöst werden.

Stand heute hat „Senatswahl Sergipe: 2. Platz" ein Gesamthandelsvolumen von $14K generiert, seit der Markt am Aug 17, 2026 gestartet wurde. Dieses Aktivitätsniveau spiegelt starkes Engagement der Polymarket-Community wider und stellt sicher, dass die aktuellen Quoten von einem breiten Pool an Marktteilnehmern geprägt werden. Sie können Live-Preisbewegungen verfolgen und direkt auf dieser Seite auf jedes Ergebnis handeln.

Um auf „Senatswahl Sergipe: 2. Platz" zu handeln, durchsuchen Sie die 11 verfügbaren Ergebnisse auf dieser Seite. Jedes Ergebnis zeigt einen aktuellen Preis, der die implizierte Wahrscheinlichkeit des Marktes darstellt. Um eine Position einzunehmen, wählen Sie das Ergebnis, das Sie für am wahrscheinlichsten halten, wählen Sie „Ja" um dafür oder „Nein" um dagegen zu handeln, geben Sie Ihren Betrag ein und klicken Sie auf „Handeln". Liegt Ihr gewähltes Ergebnis bei Marktauflösung richtig, zahlen Ihre „Ja"-Anteile jeweils $1 aus. Liegt es falsch, zahlen sie $0. Sie können Ihre Anteile auch jederzeit vor der Auflösung verkaufen.

Der aktuelle Favorit für „Senatswahl Sergipe: 2. Platz" ist „Rogerio Carvalho" mit 25%, was bedeutet, dass der Markt diesem Ergebnis eine Wahrscheinlichkeit von 25% zuweist. Das nächstliegende Ergebnis ist „André Moura" mit 18%. Diese Quoten werden in Echtzeit aktualisiert, wenn Händler Anteile kaufen und verkaufen. Schauen Sie regelmäßig vorbei oder speichern Sie diese Seite als Lesezeichen.

Die Auflösungsregeln für „Senatswahl Sergipe: 2. Platz" definieren genau, was passieren muss, damit jedes Ergebnis als Gewinner erklärt wird – einschließlich der offiziellen Datenquellen zur Bestimmung des Ergebnisses. Sie können die vollständigen Auflösungskriterien im Abschnitt „Regeln" auf dieser Seite über den Kommentaren einsehen. Wir empfehlen, die Regeln vor dem Handeln sorgfältig zu lesen, da sie die genauen Bedingungen, Sonderfälle und Quellen festlegen.