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icon for Brasilianische Präsidentschaftswahl, erste Runde: 1. Platz in Amapá
Politik·Brasilien

Brasilianische Präsidentschaftswahl, erste Runde: 1. Platz in Amapá

icon for Brasilianische Präsidentschaftswahl, erste Runde: 1. Platz in Amapá
Politik·Brasilien

Brasilianische Präsidentschaftswahl, erste Runde: 1. Platz in Amapá

Lula 63%

Flavio Bolsonaro 32%

Hertz Dias 1.6%

Pablo Marçal 1.3%

Polymarket

$13,532 Vol.

Lula 63%

Flavio Bolsonaro 32%

Hertz Dias 1.6%

Pablo Marçal 1.3%

Polymarket

$13,532 Vol.

icon for Lula

Lula

$3,619 Vol.

63%

icon for Flavio Bolsonaro

Flavio Bolsonaro

$2,617 Vol.

32%

icon for Hertz Dias

Hertz Dias

$935 Vol.

2%

icon for Pablo Marçal

Pablo Marçal

$1,124 Vol.

1%

icon for Rui Costa Pimenta

Rui Costa Pimenta

$640 Vol.

<1%

icon for Ronaldo Caiado

Ronaldo Caiado

$627 Vol.

<1%

icon for Clariana Barao

Clariana Barao

$357 Vol.

<1%

icon for Edmilson Costa

Edmilson Costa

$343 Vol.

<1%

icon for Escritor Augusto Cury

Escritor Augusto Cury

$697 Vol.

<1%

icon for Renan Santos

Renan Santos

$747 Vol.

<1%

icon for Samara

Samara

$624 Vol.

<1%

icon for Veterinário Wilson Grassi

Veterinário Wilson Grassi

$561 Vol.

<1%

icon for Zema

Zema

$641 Vol.

<1%

A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Amapá, Brazil on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Amapá. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Amapá. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).Lula leads recent state-level polling for first place in Amapá’s presidential first round, including a late-August Quaest survey showing 36% support against 33% for Flávio Bolsonaro and single-digit or lower figures for remaining contenders. This positioning reflects the incumbent’s national incumbency advantage, local alliances with Senate President Davi Alcolumbre, and the political boost from Petrobras oil discoveries announced in the state during the campaign window. Flávio Bolsonaro’s closer showing stems from residual PT-PL polarization and name recognition in northern conservative pockets, while minor candidates remain discounted due to negligible measured support and limited campaign infrastructure in the small electorate. The October 4 first-round date and start of free electoral broadcasts further anchor trader focus on these state-specific trends ahead of broader national dynamics.

A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Amapá, Brazil on October 4, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Amapá.

Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Amapá. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
Volumen
$13,532
Enddatum
4. Okt. 2026
Markt eröffnet
Aug 17, 2026, 6:25 AM ET

Abwickler

0x69c47De9D...
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Amapá, Brazil on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Amapá. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Amapá. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Amapá, Brazil on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Amapá. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Amapá. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).Lula leads recent state-level polling for first place in Amapá’s presidential first round, including a late-August Quaest survey showing 36% support against 33% for Flávio Bolsonaro and single-digit or lower figures for remaining contenders. This positioning reflects the incumbent’s national incumbency advantage, local alliances with Senate President Davi Alcolumbre, and the political boost from Petrobras oil discoveries announced in the state during the campaign window. Flávio Bolsonaro’s closer showing stems from residual PT-PL polarization and name recognition in northern conservative pockets, while minor candidates remain discounted due to negligible measured support and limited campaign infrastructure in the small electorate. The October 4 first-round date and start of free electoral broadcasts further anchor trader focus on these state-specific trends ahead of broader national dynamics.

A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Amapá, Brazil on October 4, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Amapá.

Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Amapá. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
Volumen
$13,532
Enddatum
4. Okt. 2026
Markt eröffnet
Aug 17, 2026, 6:25 AM ET

Abwickler

0x69c47De9D...
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Amapá, Brazil on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Amapá. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Amapá. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).

Verwandte

icon for Wird Flavio Bolsonaro bei der nächsten brasilianischen Präsidentschaftswahl in São Paulo die meisten Stimmen erhalten?

Wird Flavio Bolsonaro bei der nächsten brasilianischen Präsidentschaftswahl in São Paulo die meisten Stimmen erhalten?

67%
Ja
icon for Wird Lula bei der nächsten Präsidentschaftswahl in Brasilien die meisten Stimmen in Pará erhalten?

Wird Lula bei der nächsten Präsidentschaftswahl in Brasilien die meisten Stimmen in Pará erhalten?

95%
Ja
icon for Wird Lula in der ersten Runde der brasilianischen Präsidentschaftswahl 2026 die meisten Stimmen erhalten?

Wird Lula in der ersten Runde der brasilianischen Präsidentschaftswahl 2026 die meisten Stimmen erhalten?

92%
Ja

Vorsicht bei externen Links.

Häufig gestellte Fragen

„Brasilianische Präsidentschaftswahl, erste Runde: 1. Platz in Amapá" ist ein Prognosemarkt auf Polymarket mit 13 möglichen Ergebnissen, bei dem Händler Anteile auf Basis ihrer Einschätzung kaufen und verkaufen. Das aktuell führende Ergebnis ist „Lula" mit 63%, gefolgt von „Flavio Bolsonaro" mit 32%. Die Preise spiegeln Echtzeit-Wahrscheinlichkeiten der Community wider. Ein Anteilspreis von 63¢ bedeutet, dass der Markt diesem Ergebnis eine Wahrscheinlichkeit von 63% zuweist. Diese Quoten ändern sich laufend, wenn Händler auf neue Entwicklungen reagieren. Anteile am richtigen Ergebnis können bei Marktauflösung für jeweils $1 eingelöst werden.

Stand heute hat „Brasilianische Präsidentschaftswahl, erste Runde: 1. Platz in Amapá" ein Gesamthandelsvolumen von $13.5K generiert, seit der Markt am Aug 17, 2026 gestartet wurde. Dieses Aktivitätsniveau spiegelt starkes Engagement der Polymarket-Community wider und stellt sicher, dass die aktuellen Quoten von einem breiten Pool an Marktteilnehmern geprägt werden. Sie können Live-Preisbewegungen verfolgen und direkt auf dieser Seite auf jedes Ergebnis handeln.

Um auf „Brasilianische Präsidentschaftswahl, erste Runde: 1. Platz in Amapá" zu handeln, durchsuchen Sie die 13 verfügbaren Ergebnisse auf dieser Seite. Jedes Ergebnis zeigt einen aktuellen Preis, der die implizierte Wahrscheinlichkeit des Marktes darstellt. Um eine Position einzunehmen, wählen Sie das Ergebnis, das Sie für am wahrscheinlichsten halten, wählen Sie „Ja" um dafür oder „Nein" um dagegen zu handeln, geben Sie Ihren Betrag ein und klicken Sie auf „Handeln". Liegt Ihr gewähltes Ergebnis bei Marktauflösung richtig, zahlen Ihre „Ja"-Anteile jeweils $1 aus. Liegt es falsch, zahlen sie $0. Sie können Ihre Anteile auch jederzeit vor der Auflösung verkaufen.

Der aktuelle Favorit für „Brasilianische Präsidentschaftswahl, erste Runde: 1. Platz in Amapá" ist „Lula" mit 63%, was bedeutet, dass der Markt diesem Ergebnis eine Wahrscheinlichkeit von 63% zuweist. Das nächstliegende Ergebnis ist „Flavio Bolsonaro" mit 32%. Diese Quoten werden in Echtzeit aktualisiert, wenn Händler Anteile kaufen und verkaufen. Schauen Sie regelmäßig vorbei oder speichern Sie diese Seite als Lesezeichen.

Die Auflösungsregeln für „Brasilianische Präsidentschaftswahl, erste Runde: 1. Platz in Amapá" definieren genau, was passieren muss, damit jedes Ergebnis als Gewinner erklärt wird – einschließlich der offiziellen Datenquellen zur Bestimmung des Ergebnisses. Sie können die vollständigen Auflösungskriterien im Abschnitt „Regeln" auf dieser Seite über den Kommentaren einsehen. Wir empfehlen, die Regeln vor dem Handeln sorgfältig zu lesen, da sie die genauen Bedingungen, Sonderfälle und Quellen festlegen.