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icon for Saint-François Quebec National Assembly Election Winner
Wahlen·Kanada

Saint-François Quebec National Assembly Election Winner

icon for Saint-François Quebec National Assembly Election Winner
Wahlen·Kanada

Saint-François Quebec National Assembly Election Winner

Sylvie Tanguay 45%

Geneviève Hébert 35%

Jacqueline Belleau 11%

Mia Fréchette 6%

Polymarket
NEU

Sylvie Tanguay 45%

Geneviève Hébert 35%

Jacqueline Belleau 11%

Mia Fréchette 6%

Polymarket
NEU
icon for Sylvie Tanguay

Sylvie Tanguay

$181 Vol.

45%

icon for Geneviève Hébert

Geneviève Hébert

$582 Vol.

35%

icon for Jacqueline Belleau

Jacqueline Belleau

$550 Vol.

11%

icon for Mia Fréchette

Mia Fréchette

$768 Vol.

6%

Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Saint-François Quebec National Assembly election for a full term beginning in October 2026 or thereafter. If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).**The 2026 Quebec general election for the Saint-François riding in the Estrie region, scheduled for October 5, features a competitive multi-party contest among confirmed candidates including Parti Québécois nominee Sylvie Tanguay, incumbent Coalition Avenir Québec MNA Geneviève Hébert seeking a third term, Liberal Jacqueline Belleau, Québec solidaire’s Mia Fréchette, and Conservative Party contender Esteban Mendez-Hord.** Projections from 338Canada as of early September place the PQ in the lead on projected vote share, reflecting broader provincial polling trends where the PQ and CAQ remain closely positioned ahead of the Liberals and QS. The market’s closely matched pricing among top contenders stems from the riding’s history of shifting support—CAQ gains in 2018 and 2022 followed by recent redistribution and voter movement—combined with local priorities such as immigration targets, temporary foreign worker programs, and regional health services. With the writ dropped in late August and the nomination period closing mid-September, trader sentiment tracks evolving provincial dynamics and the potential for late-campaign developments in battleground areas to alter the narrow margins.

Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Saint-François Quebec National Assembly election for a full term beginning in October 2026 or thereafter.

If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Saint-François Quebec National Assembly election for a full term beginning in October 2026 or thereafter. If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).
Volumen
$2,081
Enddatum
5. Okt. 2026
Markt eröffnet
Aug 31, 2026, 3:52 PM ET

Abwicklungsquelle

https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/

Abwickler

0x69c47De9D...
Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Saint-François Quebec National Assembly election for a full term beginning in October 2026 or thereafter. If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).**The 2026 Quebec general election for the Saint-François riding in the Estrie region, scheduled for October 5, features a competitive multi-party contest among confirmed candidates including Parti Québécois nominee Sylvie Tanguay, incumbent Coalition Avenir Québec MNA Geneviève Hébert seeking a third term, Liberal Jacqueline Belleau, Québec solidaire’s Mia Fréchette, and Conservative Party contender Esteban Mendez-Hord.** Projections from 338Canada as of early September place the PQ in the lead on projected vote share, reflecting broader provincial polling trends where the PQ and CAQ remain closely positioned ahead of the Liberals and QS. The market’s closely matched pricing among top contenders stems from the riding’s history of shifting support—CAQ gains in 2018 and 2022 followed by recent redistribution and voter movement—combined with local priorities such as immigration targets, temporary foreign worker programs, and regional health services. With the writ dropped in late August and the nomination period closing mid-September, trader sentiment tracks evolving provincial dynamics and the potential for late-campaign developments in battleground areas to alter the narrow margins.

Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Saint-François Quebec National Assembly election for a full term beginning in October 2026 or thereafter.

If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Saint-François Quebec National Assembly election for a full term beginning in October 2026 or thereafter. If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).
Volumen
$2,081
Enddatum
5. Okt. 2026
Markt eröffnet
Aug 31, 2026, 3:52 PM ET

Abwicklungsquelle

https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/

Abwickler

0x69c47De9D...

Verwandte

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Will Benoit Clermont win the next Saint-Henri–Sainte-Anne Quebec National Assembly election?

38%
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Will Claude Reid win the next Beauharnois Quebec National Assembly election?

65%
icon for Wird Valérie Hamel die nächste Wahl zur Nationalversammlung von Québec im Bezirk Côte-du-Sud gewinnen?

Wird Valérie Hamel die nächste Wahl zur Nationalversammlung von Québec im Bezirk Côte-du-Sud gewinnen?

39%
Ja

Vorsicht bei externen Links.

Häufig gestellte Fragen

„Saint-François Quebec National Assembly Election Winner" ist ein Prognosemarkt auf Polymarket mit 4 möglichen Ergebnissen, bei dem Händler Anteile auf Basis ihrer Einschätzung kaufen und verkaufen. Das aktuell führende Ergebnis ist „Sylvie Tanguay" mit 45%, gefolgt von „Geneviève Hébert" mit 35%. Die Preise spiegeln Echtzeit-Wahrscheinlichkeiten der Community wider. Ein Anteilspreis von 45¢ bedeutet, dass der Markt diesem Ergebnis eine Wahrscheinlichkeit von 45% zuweist. Diese Quoten ändern sich laufend, wenn Händler auf neue Entwicklungen reagieren. Anteile am richtigen Ergebnis können bei Marktauflösung für jeweils $1 eingelöst werden.

„Saint-François Quebec National Assembly Election Winner" ist ein neu erstellter Markt auf Polymarket, gestartet am Aug 31, 2026. Als früher Markt haben Sie die Gelegenheit, zu den ersten Händlern zu gehören, die die Quoten setzen und die ersten Preissignale des Marktes etablieren. Sie können diese Seite auch als Lesezeichen speichern, um Volumen und Handelsaktivität zu verfolgen, während der Markt an Fahrt gewinnt.

Um auf „Saint-François Quebec National Assembly Election Winner" zu handeln, durchsuchen Sie die 4 verfügbaren Ergebnisse auf dieser Seite. Jedes Ergebnis zeigt einen aktuellen Preis, der die implizierte Wahrscheinlichkeit des Marktes darstellt. Um eine Position einzunehmen, wählen Sie das Ergebnis, das Sie für am wahrscheinlichsten halten, wählen Sie „Ja" um dafür oder „Nein" um dagegen zu handeln, geben Sie Ihren Betrag ein und klicken Sie auf „Handeln". Liegt Ihr gewähltes Ergebnis bei Marktauflösung richtig, zahlen Ihre „Ja"-Anteile jeweils $1 aus. Liegt es falsch, zahlen sie $0. Sie können Ihre Anteile auch jederzeit vor der Auflösung verkaufen.

Der aktuelle Favorit für „Saint-François Quebec National Assembly Election Winner" ist „Sylvie Tanguay" mit 45%, was bedeutet, dass der Markt diesem Ergebnis eine Wahrscheinlichkeit von 45% zuweist. Das nächstliegende Ergebnis ist „Geneviève Hébert" mit 35%. Diese Quoten werden in Echtzeit aktualisiert, wenn Händler Anteile kaufen und verkaufen. Schauen Sie regelmäßig vorbei oder speichern Sie diese Seite als Lesezeichen.

Die Auflösungsregeln für „Saint-François Quebec National Assembly Election Winner" definieren genau, was passieren muss, damit jedes Ergebnis als Gewinner erklärt wird – einschließlich der offiziellen Datenquellen zur Bestimmung des Ergebnisses. Sie können die vollständigen Auflösungskriterien im Abschnitt „Regeln" auf dieser Seite über den Kommentaren einsehen. Wir empfehlen, die Regeln vor dem Handeln sorgfältig zu lesen, da sie die genauen Bedingungen, Sonderfälle und Quellen festlegen.